Can someone know if inspect turn into complete means they mailed the card?
Submit online: March 05
Turn to complete (in inspect mode): March 20
Mark today April 21
It's 47 days
I know it's still within their est. processing time and it could take 6 weeks to receive the card, but I lost track of the application. So I'm a bit panic.
I don't get my card and my GC key cannot be linked. When I search my application, it will link back to my 1st PR card application.
Odds are the application has gone into a queue to be handled in the same processing stream as mailed-in applications, such that a processing agent will open and
begin actually processing the application around five to six weeks or so (based on currently published processing time, which is 57 days, for PR card renewal) after the date it was made.
Most PR card applications, those not subject to non-routine processing, are processed when opened; if not immediately approved, they are generally approved within a few days, or a week or two. Followed by the logistical time for printing and mailing the card (three to six week generally).
In particular, as best we can figure out, if an online application is not approved within a few days of being submitted, it will go into a queue to be opened and processed in the same order as mailed in applications.
In other words, do not expect to see decision made or the application approved until around 55 or so days after the date it was submitted.
Explanation and a Whole Lot of FWIW, FWII (For Who is Interested)
Observations:
As discussed numerous times in this forum, online applications are most likely initially "
processed" electronically, first screened to determine if the application is eligible for
automated decision-making, and if it is eligible then subject to triage screening categorizing the application's level of complexity. This is all done electronically.
Only low complex applications will benefit from the automated decision-making process. We see the results of this, online applications which are approved through the automated decision-making process, in many anecdotal reports from PRs indicating their online application has been approved within just days of making the application. These PRs generally receive their new PR cards within three to six weeks of making their application.
Online applications which are not eligible for automated decision-making, and those which are eligible for automated decision-making but categorized in the triage as any more complex than low, go into a queue to be opened and processed in the same order as mailed in applications.
This probably (information about the particular procedures in this process have not yet been disseminated, at least not widely enough to be generally known) means that the online application that does not get approved through automated decision-making is basically in a
before-AOR status, waiting to be opened and logged in, very similarly to mailed-in applications. Thus, there is no application file opened for it, again until it is opened to be processed by an IRCC official.
Complexity Categorizations:
We do not know the criteria employed in the triage determining how complex a PR card application is.
I am not even sure of what the levels of complexity are; the automated decision-making pilot projects which IRCC has published information about, in regards to other types of applications, categorized applications as low, medium, or high complex. And again, only those categorized as low complex were then processed through automated decision-making (incorporating many of the various elements of AI, including machine-learning).
That said, no advanced degrees in bureaucratic decision-making necessary to have a general sense of what factors or circumstances will influence the triage. In particular, many of the factors or circumstances that will cause a PR card application to be categorized as high-level complex are easily discerned; this would include things like significant discrepancies in the information provided by the PR, significant deviations between the travel history reported and other information, perhaps including the CBSA travel history, among other readily recognizable risk factors.
Many might anticipate, much as I did, that among the factors likely to cause the PR card application to be at least a medium level of complex (and thus not given automated decision-making), would be not just
cutting-it-close in regards to Residency Obligation compliance (which would be in-Canada days totaling less than 900, as that would mean the PR is outside Canada more than IN Canada), but
cutting-it-close by a very small margin (as in just barely a day or so more than 730 days in Canada). However, there has been at least one or two anecdotal reports from PRs who made online applications with barely a day or so more than 730 claiming to have gotten approval within a few days of making the online application. So, assuming the veracity of these anecdotal reports, it appears that cutting-it-close does not, not in it-self, preclude categorizing the application as low complex and getting the benefit of automated decision-making.
Speculating some, my sense is that applications by PRs relying on credit for days outside Canada (such as those accompanying a Canadian citizen spouse abroad) are likely NOT going to categorized as low level complex.
Applications by PRs relying on H&C relief for a failure to meet the RO, in contrast, are most likely high complex, and not only unlikely to benefit from automated decision-making but probably referred into a non-routine processing stream.
There is little direct corroboration, but I am quite confident that however it is assessed, that if the information included in what is considered suggests the PR is NOT permanently settled in Canada, that likely means a more complex categorization; indeed, depending on the PR's history and pattern in time periods IN Canada, my sense is this factor can have a big impact in whether a PR card application is referred to non-routine processing (which would mean a processing timeline well in excess of the current timelines posted by IRCC).
