I have an almost similar question about RO compliance. My permanent resident card will be expiring this summer, and on the day of expiry I would have lived in Canada for an estimated 696 +/- 10 days out of 730 days in Canada.
. . . . . . . . .
I know I can wait until I get 730 days, but my worry is what if I get an emergency back at home? I am literally the breadwinner for my siblings as we have lost both parents and have to look out for them. Obviously, I can't sponsor them since they are older.
I largely concur with
@armoured . . .
. . . with a caution.
Caution: Check your arithmetic. Remember that as of the fifth year anniversary of the day you landed that your compliance with the Residency Obligation will be based on days in Canada within the last five years, ONLY the last five years.
For example, noting you landed in May 2018, if as of June 1, 2023 you will have been physically present IN Canada 696 days since June 1, 2018 (remember, days prior to June 1, 2018 NO longer count at this point), be aware that if you were in Canada the entire month of June 2018, then for the entire month of June 2023 your RO calculation will stay the same, it will still be 696 days credit toward RO compliance (or less if you were to leave Canada during June). This is because as long as you are IN Canada during June you get one day credit for each day you are here, this year, but also lose one day credit for that date back in 2018, as that date in 2018 falls outside the relevant five years that count.
WAITING is the only for sure SAFE approach. (Question is how long will you need to wait; looks like it is significantly longer than just another 30 or 40 days -- perhaps not until near the end of the year? or even into early 2024?)
Otherwise, you are relying either on leniency in the enforcement of the RO, or on qualifying for and being allowed relief based on H&C considerations. The PR who is in breach is AT RISK of RO enforcement action (and loss of PR status) anytime the PR:
-- arrives at a Canadian Port-of-Entry when returning to Canada from abroad
-- applies for a new PR card
-- applies for a PR Travel Document
-- applies to sponsor a family member's PR application
It appears you may have already benefitted from leniency in the enforcement of the RO, apparently waived through a PoE a time or two after you had been outside Canada for more than 1095 days since the date of your landing (which would mean there was no way to meet being in Canada 730 days within the first five years), and perhaps in being approved to sponsor your family despite being in breach of the RO (depending on whether you passed the 1095 days outside Canada threshold as of the date of that application).
Your current circumstances suggest good odds you could continue to experience significant leeway. But there is NO guarantee of that; there is some RISK otherwise. As already noted, a PR in breach is at RISK of RO enforcement action anytime the PR arrives at a Canadian PoE, applies for a new PR card, or applies for a PR TD.
We cannot offer much quantification of the risks, no precise quantification at all, and for sure not any assurances as to what is even likely to happen let alone what will happen. The leniency you appear to have experienced so far is consistent with what we know, including what we know based on actual cases in which the RO has been enforced, and what we can reasonably glean from scores of anecdotal reports similar to yours. We can surmise that the odds are good you will not lose your PR status if you apply for a PR card or take a brief trip abroad, albeit the risks might be considerably more if you go abroad and need to obtain a PR TD to return to Canada. The length of time abroad would be a big factor as well..
@armoured states "
a later submission, including a PRTD, gives you at least more days in Canada." The point of this is that more days IN Canada decreases the risk of negative action, improving the odds you will be granted a new PR card, or a PR TD, and not subject to inadmissibility proceedings. And even if your RO calculation itself is stuck for awhile (losing a 2018 day for the same date you are here in 2023), for H&C purposes the more days you stay now, and as of now further establishing you are settled here, should improve your odds even if it does not increase the number of days credit (with the caveat that the number of days credit remains a big factor, a bigger factor).
PR Card Application In Particular:
Again, we cannot say what will happen or what will most likely happen. But we know that applications relying on H&C relief generally go into non-routine processing and take longer to process. So, even if the PR card application ultimately succeeds, as in it is approved and the PR is delivered a new card, this can take a lot longer than it will for an application by a PR who meets the RO as of the day the application is made. So for many PRs there is NO advantage at all in rushing the application, since making it sooner does NOT result in getting a new PR card sooner, and indeed for the PR in breach it can and often will mean not getting a new PR card for a longer period of time . . . meanwhile that application is made at the risk of triggering inadmissibility proceedings rather than the application being approved.
Summary: waiting to apply when in RO compliance improves the odds of getting a new PR card sooner, in addition to eliminating the RISK of a negative outcome.
Emergency Travel and PR TDs:
Once your PR card expires, if you go abroad without waiting, first, to get into RO compliance, the risk of RO enforcement issues increase significantly. Remember, a PR abroad without a valid PR card is PRESUMED to not have valid PR status. Remember that PR TD applications relying on H&C relief tend to take longer, sometimes a lot, lot longer to process. Just how long the PR is stuck abroad pending PR TD application processing can become an issue for the PR in breach relying on H&C relief.
As long as your PR card is valid, it looks like you have good odds you can travel abroad, briefly, and return to Canada with fairly low risk of triggering inadmissibility proceedings at the PoE. Probably. We cannot say for sure. There is no guarantee. But as you noted yourself, some positive consideration will be given a PR who fits the profile of an immigrant who may have had some issues getting here while and settling here, but otherwise finally managing to get settled here, to stay here.
That's about leniency. Leniency has its limits. Not at all well defined limits. Rather, rather nebulous limits. It is very difficult to predict what will tip the scales in these cases.
Applications for a PR Travel Document, however, go more by the book. If you are short, that is in breach of the RO, you really will be relying on H&C relief; not leniency but overt H&C relief. Yes, of course you can explain your reasons, the circumstances that led to being outside Canada so long you fail to meet the RO, and those will be taken into consideration before a decision is made to deny the PR TD application. But that's a gamble. And, again, the presumption is against you. And, again, just getting stuck abroad during this process can be a real problem for many.
My guess, emphasis on it being a GUESS, is you would still be OK. But there is a significant risk of being stuck abroad while the application for a PR TD is processed, and then being denied a PR TD, and having to appeal and apply for a special PR TD to return to Canada pending an appeal, and if you are serious about saving your chance to build a life in Canada going forward . . . well, there's how long all that takes, whether to suffer the cost of a lawyer versus taking your chances on appeal without one, and whether your spouse now in Canada can ultimately sponsor you if you lose PR status. Lots of what-ifs, with lots of ways to save your PR status despite this or that negative decision along the way, BUT, but that is no way to go if you can avoid it. You can avoid it (the worst of it anyway) by staying long enough you have been IN Canada 730 days within the preceding five years.