It is more complicated than that. I do not mean to dismiss the efficacy of pursuing Mandamus in the sundry situations which, at least historically, judicial action is warranted. That is, sometimes an applicant needs to seek judicial intervention.So in essence unless an application is suspended or on hold then there's no point in mandamus.
But that is not a bet worth making based on the mere passage of time.
If an extraordinary amount of time has passed, AND after queries have been made there is still NO ACTION, that may signal something amiss, and then it is time to take affirmative action to prompt IRCC into proceeding, or find out WHY there is no progress. At that stage an applicant may begin thinking about whether pursuing Mandamus is worth considering (but if so, there is yet a long way to go before actually pursuing Mandamus).
There are almost no signs this sort of thing, that is extraordinary long processing times, is happening much (subject, of course, to invariable exceptions) WITHOUT CAUSE. There are always for-cause cases getting hung up. For example, some applicants have security issues which can drag on for years.
And there may be certain groups of applicants who might see extra-long processing times, applicants with potential issues particular to their group:
-- for example, we are waiting to see reports about how it will go for some PR-refugees with potential cessation issues who have citizenship applications pending, recognizing some signs IRCC may be stalling a bit in these cases
-- another example, there are some faint signals that applicants perceived to be living abroad may continue to be bogged down in processing that drags on much longer than it does for others
WHAT ABOUT EXTRAORDINARILY LONG PROCESSING TIMES:
I also do not mean to dismiss an applicant's questions or concerns if and when a rather long period of time has passed, particularly if that has been with no action at all on the application.
BUT if it has been extraordinarily long, not just longer than many but longer than almost everyone else, rushing to pursue a Writ of Mandamus is rarely the prudent move.
As I posted in my first post:
There are other more efficient ways to prompt IRCC to take action IF for some reason the application is simply stalled for no reason. This does happen. How often is difficult to discern. Perhaps more often than rare but if so not by much more. In such cases just the webform query or perhaps even a help centre telephone call can prompt IRCC to take action and move the application forward.
It can help to do some homework and approach the webform query or help centre call intelligently, strategically, in a mode to be persuasive which is easier done the better informed and more thoughtful one is, exercising patience and being polite, somewhat persistent but decidedly polite.
It can help to do some homework and approach the webform query or help centre call intelligently, strategically, in a mode to be persuasive which is easier done the better informed and more thoughtful one is, exercising patience and being polite, somewhat persistent but decidedly polite.
THEN, there is the ATIP application, which if customized is far more likely to both generate real information and perhaps be an impetus for IRCC to take action. The generic ATIP is nearly worthless. A worthwhile customized ATIP is NOT easy. Demands doing real homework. Demands an astute, diligent, and creative focus. Demands crafty and cogent composition. The applicant needs to know what to ask for, specifically, and how to ask.
And if IRCC just sits on the application after all that, or the applicant discovers the application is on hold or suspended and the reason for that seems unjustified, THEN it is time to see a lawyer, and perhaps talk about Mandamus. Which at that stage would be to talk about further steps to take BEFORE any application for the Writ of Mandamus.
THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT VERY, VERY FEW APPLICANTS SHOULD GET ANYWHERE NEAR SUCH A SCENARIO!
For the vast, vast majority of applicants, preparing for this eventuality would be a total waste of time because there should NEVER be a need to go this way.
Note: pursuing a Writ of Mandamus is litigation. Judicial litigation. A lawsuit. A lawsuit against the Minister, in effect against the government of Canada. It is formal, official, and serious. It tends to be expensive. The loser can be ordered to pay the other side's legal costs. That can be very expensive. And until they are actually in the fray there is a cost many, many litigants underestimate: litigation is a lot more emotionally and psychologically taxing than most anticipate, a lot, lot more. Moreover, as I have emphasized, pursuing Mandamus is litigation which is more technical than most civil lawsuits and thus virtually demands employing a lawyer and not just any lawyer, and it can indeed be difficult to find a reasonably priced, yet competent lawyer, and even when one is found and hired, such lawyers can be difficult to communicate or work with.
Short version: suing the government is NOT going to be any fun. Even the masochist is likely to find it excessively punishing if not rather brutal.
WHAT IS AN EXTRAORDINARY LONG TIME:
Of course the rhino-in-the-cabinet underlying all this is what constitutes an extraordinary long time.
My sense is that the when-is-it-overtime? question was the real question. A year plus a day? Not by long shot.
How long is too long is relative. Timelines vary greatly. They vary from person to person. They vary from local office to local office. They vary from year to year, even season to season. And even when MOST applicants are sailing through the process rather quickly (for awhile it looked like timelines for many if not most were going shorter than six months; my sense is the median timeline is growing longer these days), even then a significant percentage of applicants can face considerably longer processing timelines.
To put timelines in context, back when it was easy to look up how long it had taken CIC to process 20%, 50%, and 80% of applications (back when CIC was actually more or less transparent and published such information where it was easy to access), for various types of applications including citizenship, including spousal sponsored PR visa applications, among others, there was a rough correlation (very rough, but nonetheless readily discerned) among many of the different processes: it tended to take somewhat more than twice as long to process 80% of the applicants than it did to process 50%. The difference between 20% and 50% varied depending on what type of process it was, but for citizenship and for spousal sponsored PR applications, the difference between how long it took to process the first 20% and 50% was small . . . it appeared that about 50% of applications went through the process about as fast as any were processed, so the first 20% were little or no faster than how long it took to process 50%. But then it took a lot longer, twice as long plus some for the rest, with some (the remaining 20% after 80% had been processed) taking way longer than that.
Timelines today may not follow that pattern but my guess is that the rough correlation continues . . . that ratio persisted through some rather wild swings in the numbers themselves.
We all like to be in the 20/50% group. The fast lane. Those who are not can anticipate things going around twice as long. Or longer.
In other words, if it looks like around half or so those who applied around the same time have a five to seven month timeline, there probably is NO reason to be concerned about an unusual or excessive hold on an application for at least 13 or 14 months. And only then if in the meantime it looks like almost everyone else, and I do mean almost everyone else (not just most, let alone just many), is reaching a Decision Made and scheduled for the Oath, only then is it really time to start digging, do the homework, make the queries to the call centre and/or a webform query, and go from there.
My sense, my guess, is that median timelines are probably going to get, at minimum for awhile, at least six to eight or ten months . . . which will mean that most are processed in well less than a year, but a large percentage will take more like 14 to 16 months . . . meaning it is likely there will be no reason to get at all concerned until at least a year has past, and no significant cause to undertake affirmative, proactive steps until fifteen or so months have past. And that does not mean it is time to pursue Mandamus.
But of course there will be scores of forum participants freaking out after much shorter time periods, bogging down the help centre telephone line, abusing IRCC resources and taxpayers' dollars making premature and unnecessary ATIP requests, not behaving like a citizen at all. So it goes.
Last edited: