I don't think there are too many people with 460+. And it is very likely that the score will drop below 460 in the next couple draws.manidhatt said:Cut off will remain around 465-475 unless no. of ITAs go back to 1500 which doesn't seem to be in the near future.
What makes you think that? the pool of applicants is not static, it is changing every minutes and every hour. There are thousands of people somewhere will have ew IELTS score tomorrow, new working experience next week, or new degree/master next month. We are talking about a pool of at least 60,000 active applicants which only one thousand of those got the invitations.kaku2011 said:I don't think there are too many people with 460+. And it is very likely that the score will drop below 460 in the next couple draws.
I wish we had more data.RamsayBolton said:What makes you think that? the pool of applicants is not static, it is changing every minutes and every hour. There are thousands of people somewhere will have ew IELTS score tomorrow, new working experience next week, or new degree/master next month. We are talking about a pool of at least 60,000 active applicants which only one thousand of those got the invitations.
Anyone saying the score will drop down sub 460 is just lying to themselves.
It was stated in the year-end report, there were only about 900 candidates above 460. Yes, the pool is not static, but the purpose of such report is to help people speculate about what would be likely to happen in the future. I don't see below 460 unless they do back-to-back draw, or increase # of invitations per draw, but above 460 should be hopeful.RamsayBolton said:What makes you think that? the pool of applicants is not static, it is changing every minutes and every hour. There are thousands of people somewhere will have ew IELTS score tomorrow, new working experience next week, or new degree/master next month. We are talking about a pool of at least 60,000 active applicants which only one thousand of those got the invitations.
Anyone saying the score will drop down sub 460 is just lying to themselves.
Did you read the Year End report? what more data do you need? It is true that the biggest trunk is in sub 450, but out of 23 1,5k-ita draws in 2015, do you see it ever go sub 450? The draws only reached 450 only two times, and most of the times draw score were above 460.SergeSD said:I wish we had more data.
According to the year-end report, there were about 1,600 people in the 450-499 range. The biggest chunk sits below 450. According to CIC News, the pools receive a thousand new profiles a week and not all of them are elegible. Unless the nominations are processed at the speed of lightning, we should be able to at least feel hopeful.
Maybe not on the 33rd, but we'll start witnessing a downward trend in May.
Fingers crossed!
Yes, the score will not go sub 460 or 450 unless they increase the ita per draw or draw per month. However, it's virtually impossible since we have less quota than last year.ee2015 said:It was stated in the year-end report, there were only about 900 candidates above 460. Yes, the pool is not static, but the purpose of such report is to help people speculate about what would be likely to happen in the future. I don't see below 460 unless they do back-to-back draw, or increase # of invitations per draw, but above 460 should be hopeful.