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Tips for 2016 (Future) PGP Applicants

soonihope

Champion Member
May 18, 2013
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Parent backlog was still about 42000 in 2015 as per the link below:

http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/department/media/backgrounders/2013/2013-10-29a.asp
 

vnexpress

Hero Member
Jul 2, 2015
517
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irinako said:
This is very good news.
However:
- The numbers will apply to people who are currently in line (waiting for years)
- The "Processing Times" page for PGP has not been changed for months and still shows "we are currently processing November 4, 2011".
So my assumption is they have way more waiting files than 20,000. But good news is that if this number is processed this year, we will move in line too :)
If I am not mistaken they have around 60,000 people in the PGP inventory and at this kind of quota people at the end of the line (applied in 2016) could expect to wait 3 more years to become permanent residents, which seem to be still long.
 

soonihope

Champion Member
May 18, 2013
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citizenship_seeker said:
Yes.. will be interesting to know how many people are in inventory for now? Will help us determine the processing times our applications are going to take. CIC shows the following for now in terms of PGP applications:

Working on applications received on or before November 4, 2011 ..

What does that mean - they have started the evaluation of sponsorship for these applicants?

Also when did they stop receiving applications and then start again?
They stopped taking applications on 5 Nov 2011 and started again on 2nd Jan 2014
 

citizenship_seeker

Star Member
May 5, 2015
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soonihope said:
They stopped taking applications on 5 Nov 2011 and started again on 2nd Jan 2014
So they took 5000 in 2014, 5000 in 2015 and 10000 in 2016.. .. now if the backlog was 42000 at the beginning of 2015 and now it should be 42000-20000 (applications processed in 2015)+5000 (for 2015)+10000 (for 2016) = 47000.. At this rate our applications should get processed in 2018... Just some guess work though.. lol

Just wondering what is the ratio of time taken for sponsorship approval vs the processing time in the home country...
 

soonihope

Champion Member
May 18, 2013
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citizenship_seeker said:
So they took 5000 in 2014, 5000 in 2015 and 10000 in 2016.. makes a total of 2016.. now if the backlog was 42000 at the beginning of 2015 and now it should be 42000-20000+5000+10000 = 47000.. At this rate our applications should get processed in 2018... Just some guess work though.. lol

Just wondering what is the ratio of time taken for sponsorship approval vs the processing time in the home country...
It will probably be 42000 towards the end of the year.
 

vnexpress

Hero Member
Jul 2, 2015
517
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citizenship_seeker said:
So they took 5000 in 2014, 5000 in 2015 and 10000 in 2016.. .. now if the backlog was 42000 at the beginning of 2015 and now it should be 42000-20000 (applications processed in 2015)+5000 (for 2015)+10000 (for 2016) = 47000.. At this rate our applications should get processed in 2018... Just some guess work though.. lol

Just wondering what is the ratio of time taken for sponsorship approval vs the processing time in the home country...
The Immigration Levels Plan talk about number of visas, aka headcounts, not the intake of applications. Each application might have one, two or more than two people included. If the backlog right now is 42,000 PEOPLE, they are giving 20,000 visas each year then the wait could be 2-3 years for the end of the line.
 

soonihope

Champion Member
May 18, 2013
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vnexpress said:
The Immigration Levels Plan talk about number of visas, aka headcounts, not the intake of applications. Each application might have one, two or more than two people included. If the backlog right now is 42,000 PEOPLE, they are giving 20,000 visas each year then the wait could be 2-3 years for the end of the line.
That absolutely correct. Some applications have just a single parent whereas others have both parents and a dependent child. If you take each application to have 2 people on average then just this year alone requires 20000 visas.
 

soonihope

Champion Member
May 18, 2013
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They say the backlog will be reduced by 15% by the end of 2016 in the link below. That means the actual backlog is way larger than everyone is thinking.

http://news.gc.ca/web/article-en.do?nid=1038709

That makes the current backlog about 133000 people because 15% of this number is 19950.

This can't be right.
 

vnexpress

Hero Member
Jul 2, 2015
517
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soonihope said:
They say the backlog will be reduced by 15% by the end of 2016 in the link below. That means the actual backlog is way larger than everyone is thinking.

http://news.gc.ca/web/article-en.do?nid=1038709

That makes the current backlog about 133000 people because 15% of this number is 19950.

This can't be right.

How did you come up with 133k?
 

wangshd

Star Member
Jan 29, 2015
51
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soonihope said:
15% of 133000 is approximately 20000
My question is: IRCC will issue 20,000 visa, which is equal to 10,000 applications. Meanwhile, they added another 10,000 application in the inventory. How come they can cut the backlog by 15%? IRCC does not consider the new app in the inventory as backlog.

But it is possible that: apps could be rejected, withdrawn, which leads no visa being issued!