Location: Toronto, ON
Citizenship Timeline -
App Sent: May 15, 2015
App Recd: May 21, 2015
AOR: July 22, 2015
Processing Started: August 10, 2015
Test Date: May 18, 2016
CIT 0520 RQ: May 18, 2016 (Responded: May 21, 2016)
Another RQ by supervisor officer: October 27, 2016 (Responded: November 24, 2016)
curent: 30 Sep. 2017: Processing!
Any idea?!
Any idea about what?
About how long it will be before you see the next step taken?
Hard to guess. It has gone on long enough now, however, you can probably anticipate news about the next step any day . . . but there is no guarantee it will be soon. And of course the timing is in significant part dependent on what the next step is.
About what the next step will be?
There are limited options, which I'd guess you already know (should know anyway). Which of those will actually happen next is impossible to guess given the very limited information you provide.
To be clear, next step could be:
-- scheduled to take the oath
-- scheduled for an interview/hearing with a Citizenship Officer
-- scheduled for an interview/hearing with a Citizenship Judge
Technically the next step could be notice that your application is being rejected. But it appears the question, the issue in your case, is whether you met the 3/4
Residency rule in effect on the date you applied (May 2015).
Given how long it has been since you submitted the response to the second RQ, the more likely
guess (emphasizing it is indeed largely a guess) is that your case is in queue waiting for the Citizenship Officer to complete the FPAT for a referral to a Citizenship Judge, or if that is completed, in queue waiting to be scheduled for an interview/hearing with a Citizenship Judge. That would not be good news. That would mean that IRCC has, in effect, declined to grant citizenship but on the grounds you did not meet the residency requirement, which entitles you to have a CJ consider and decide the case.
Or, are you asking for any idea about what the outcome will be?
You for sure know these options: application approved and citizenship granted, OR, application denied.
Given the stage of processing, there appears to be a substantial risk of the latter, that the application will be denied. But you do not give anywhere near enough information to allow so much as a wild guess as to which way this is going . . . beyond, again, the fact that given the stage of processing, that in itself suggests a real risk you could be denied citizenship.
There are many facts and circumstances which would be relevant to an assessment of the merits and risks of being denied. I will not try to enumerate even the more important ones except the most obvious one: the number of days you declared you were actually physically present in Canada during the four years prior to May 2015. If that number is less than 1120, and definitely if less than 1095, the risk of a negative outcome is high.
I will mention one other really big factor: whether you have been living and working in Canada since applying, and if not, when did you leave Canada.