Ray of hope - FSW - 1

[Scalphunter]

That’s... not how it works

Okay, then it sucks even more for FSW.

 

[Fidiya21]

So draw happened. But PNP only

 

[ashu2111]

Great!! Best grammar book for self learning???

Not sure about grammar but try assimil level B1/ B2/C1. They really explain things in detail. You have one page completely in English and the other one in French.

 

[NOC98]

Looking at the current pool, the 461-470 range finally dropped below 10k, so does this mean that there are less people coming in vs those being drawn out with ITAs?

If IRCC keeps drawing 5k every two weeks, will we see the scores drop to 440s even for all program draws like in 2018-2019?

 

[saly118]

Looking at the current pool, the 461-470 range finally dropped below 10k, so does this mean that there are less people coming in vs those being drawn out with ITAs?

If IRCC keeps drawing 5k every two weeks, will we see the scores drop to 440s even for all program draws like in 2018-2019?

I see nothing against this probability. Particularly in the period ending before September which the smaller pickup scores are more likely!

 

[fmfame]

Oh shoot. Hahaha
I feel like the ultimate stupid because of what i did.

 

[HolmesZ]

Looking at the current pool, the 461-470 range finally dropped below 10k, so does this mean that there are less people coming in vs those being drawn out with ITAs?

If IRCC keeps drawing 5k every two weeks, will we see the scores drop to 440s even for all program draws like in 2018-2019?

BUT, there probably are the FSWs in the pool and rank in the higher range. We can calculate the number of CECs and FSWs. Last time, the number of range between 461-470 is 10K+ and draws took about 2000+ CECs in this range and 2000+ in 471- 600( total 4750). So this time, we can see 8K+ in this range that might be most FSWs.

So, basically, there are more FSWs candidates than CECs' in the pool. Some guys said that CECs candidates have the higher scores than Fsw applicants, which is a wrong statement.

 

[NOC98]

BUT, there probably are the FSWs in the pool and rank in the higher range. We can calculate the number of CECs and FSWs. Last time, the number of range between 461-470 is 10K+ and draws took about 2000+ CECs in this range and 2000+ in 471- 600( total 4750). So this time, we can see 8K+ in this range that might be most FSWs.

So, basically, there are more FSWs candidates than CECs' in the pool. Some guys said that CECs candidates have the higher scores than Fsw applicants, which is a wrong statement.

Yep, I agree with you, we can’t ignore the fact that some FSWs are up-skilling (eg., getting masters, learning French) to increase their scores and/or younger (20-29 age range) and be in the 470-490 range. FSWs also composed at least 43% of the 2019 pool vs 37% of CECs.

 

[Juswea]

It seems like CEC/PNP draws are connected to lockdowns in Canada. I get it, but it takes 6+ months to process applications and the vaccine should circulating more by then.

 

[BlindGoku]

Hello everyone, haven’t posted here for a while but I know you people are the best in helping/ analyzing the steps so maybe you can help me!
My application is stopped in Security, which has not started since early December/2020. Now that I’ve saw @ZAtoCD app has stopped in Set/2020 I’m getting worried!! From what I’ve read security avg waiting time is 110 days, but does it take that long every time? And does any one have a theory why on earth are they not processing it at all? Obviously I know COVID has slowed everything down but this is so frustrating!!
@BlindGoku is your application stucked in security not started as well??

Hey man! Not sure, haven't asked for GSCM notes yet, haven't seen much movement on my file. Planning to order my notes in the next couple weeks to check my status!
FSWs we are stucked :/ hope that the vaccine rollout will easy the PPRs

 

[EropbI4]

FSW draw should be in 2 weeks or even more considering the situation with COVID in Canada should be logic due to huge backlog of FSW candidates and rising numbers of infection

 

[jrossi]

No one knows for sure how long this wave of CEC/PNPs is going to last, so if you're a FSW, don't rest still waiting for a miracle. Take advantage of that "standby" time for FSWs and look forward to improve your IELTS or learn french. When I did this back in March, when the CEC/PNP nightmare started, i was full of uncertainties, but for sure, it was just the best decision of my whole life.
The cost of just waiting could be just way too high.

 

[huyypeter]

No one knows for sure how long this wave of CEC/PNPs is going to last, so if you're a FSW, don't rest still waiting for a miracle. Take advantage of that "standby" time for FSWs and look forward to improve your IELTS or learn french. When I did this back in March, when the CEC/PNP nightmare started, i was full of uncertainties, but for sure, it was just the best decision of my whole life.
The cost of just waiting could be just way too high.

So the draw pattern really links to the lockdown, exactly like last year: Ontario locked down: only cec pnp, phase 2 on July: alternate draws, phase 3: back with reg all program draws. The only thing you can do is to prepare when they reopen fsw, try to make ur crs 475+. Clearly that they are trying to give cec chances to extend their bowp, stay and work, especially in essential businesses during the lockdown

 

[joconstantine]

So the draw pattern really links to the lockdown, exactly like last year: Ontario locked down: only cec pnp, phase 2 on July: alternate draws, phase 3: back with reg all program draws. The only thing you can do is to prepare when they reopen fsw, try to make ur crs 475+. Clearly that they are trying to give cec chances to extend their bowp, stay and work, especially in essential businesses during the lockdown

I imagine, if someone rejected his invitation, he would not be entering the pool, he is entering another limbo state.
Not a good start of the year, definitely.

 

[willapp]

So the draw pattern really links to the lockdown, exactly like last year: Ontario locked down: only cec pnp, phase 2 on July: alternate draws, phase 3: back with reg all program draws. The only thing you can do is to prepare when they reopen fsw, try to make ur crs 475+. Clearly that they are trying to give cec chances to extend their bowp, stay and work, especially in essential businesses during the lockdown

According to the recent update, IRCC is processing CEC with full capacity. I think when they have a plan to process FSW they will start invite again. Now the backlog of FSW is too much.