Within next 2 weeks if the EE draw happens without any further PNP/FSTP nominations the scores are gonna go down below 440... my estimate will be between 435-438 (+/- 5%)
Ray of Hope - 92nd Draw
- Thread starter AlliBatista
- Start date
Today’s draw was an eye opener for me. I underestimated number of people above 450 who are get added into pool. 3 weeks back there were 0. That means 3750 people got added with 451 and above score. That’s a huge number.
hi all, I'm just about at the cut-off. How do I know if I've made it or not? Is it only if I receive and ITA ?
Is the below footnote if and only if you are exactly at the cutoff?
Is the below footnote if and only if you are exactly at the cutoff?
- If more than one candidate has the lowest score, the cut-off is based on the date and time they submitted their Express Entry profiles
Between May24th and June 8th.
Candidates with 451+ scores entering the pool is 175 per day
Candidates with 441 to 450 entering the pool is 69 per day
Approximate number candidates in pool with 441+ scores after today’s draw is 1700.
Considering draws remain stable at 3750 ITAs per two weeks, new candidates with 441+ will take a lion share of 3450 ITAs.
Means 6 more draws are required for people on 440 to get an ITA.
Any score below 439 is hopeless unless we get consecutive draws, everyone below that needs to focus on improving their CRS score.
Candidates with 451+ scores entering the pool is 175 per day
Candidates with 441 to 450 entering the pool is 69 per day
Approximate number candidates in pool with 441+ scores after today’s draw is 1700.
Considering draws remain stable at 3750 ITAs per two weeks, new candidates with 441+ will take a lion share of 3450 ITAs.
Means 6 more draws are required for people on 440 to get an ITA.
Any score below 439 is hopeless unless we get consecutive draws, everyone below that needs to focus on improving their CRS score.
Last edited:
I am currently standing at 445. Is it possible to get an ITA within the next 1-3 draws? I have seen score going down pretty fiercely last year when they sent conducted PNP, FSW and CEC draws within couple of weeks.
It could also be people who have increased their score, couldn't it? For example, if they previously only had 2 years of work experience, but now they have 3, or if they took their language exam again and got a higher score. The profile creation date would be older, but the score itself would have just been updated. I don't think the profile date updates when you change information in it.I think the only explanation is someone "declined" a previous ITA which effectively put them back into the pool. There should be very little people left above 451 at this moment.
Scary thing is we are seeing record number of people joining...with CIC skipping draws it could be game over for some... I predicted beginning of the year that we WONT go below 428 this year... but I really hope I'm wrong as I want everyone to stay hopeful!
Congrats to everyone receiving an ITA !
In my case, I enrolled my hubby in french lessons! Currently, he is also the main applicantenrolled my hubby in Mater's
Btw, good luck with IELTS on Jun 30! Me too, I booked that one. I hope to reach the mininum CLB 6 required for FSSW
Hey guys, my CRS is 472 and I submitted my profile on Jun 12, 4PM UTC. Will I be included in this round?
The cutoff is 451 but I haven't seen the ITA email or any messages on my account. Does anyone have any experience with the timeline of receiving ITA?
The cutoff is 451 but I haven't seen the ITA email or any messages on my account. Does anyone have any experience with the timeline of receiving ITA?
