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Ray of Hope - 90th Draw

Reddiered07

Hero Member
May 3, 2018
613
499
I hope so too... but frankly seeing the current trend I doubt it..... cause I have few friends who have got scores added up to 1000 + in this draw due to OINP pnp... dont know how much of that has been released... but still losing hope with each draw
441s will be for sure cleared out in the coming draw..come on guys..we can't say that there are over 1k people sitting 441...there might be around 500 people sitting on 441..they will be cleared and there is a scope of 500 to 800 clearing from 440 and below....i am sure the worst case on 23rd may draw would be 440 with a tie-breaker < mid april 2018 and the best case would be 439 with tie breaker < dec 2017:)
 

Beniyer

Newbie
May 21, 2018
1
0
Hi everyone,

I have a crs of 432, what do u think are the chances of me getting it in the draw. Could somebody help me understand how much longer it might take for my profile to get picked up.

Many thanks
 

special3220

Hero Member
Jul 15, 2017
344
448
NOC Code......
6235
If the no of Itas remain the same then it is not very likely to see score dropping below 440 anytime soon. Back to back draws or 4000+ ITAs per draw will be needed. In the last few weeks the no of profile above 440 has increased a lot. So there are almost 3000+ entry above 440 in every two weeks at this moment which makes cut off decreasing very difficult.
 

Reddiered07

Hero Member
May 3, 2018
613
499
If the no of Itas remain the same then it is not very likely to see score dropping below 440 anytime soon. Back to back draws or 4000+ ITAs per draw will be needed. In the last few weeks the no of profile above 440 has increased a lot. So there are almost 3000+ entry above 440 in every two weeks at this moment which makes cut off decreasing very difficult.
No of ITA will be increased from june onwards...lets wait and watch!! :)
 
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lightning_crashes

Hero Member
May 13, 2018
275
197
NOC Code......
0213
Hi everyone,

I have a crs of 432, what do u think are the chances of me getting it in the draw. Could somebody help me understand how much longer it might take for my profile to get picked up.

Many thanks
Only a miracle this year will bring the score down to 432. I'm near your score as well at 434. Suggest to look into PNP or Australia etc as alternative
 

Reddiered07

Hero Member
May 3, 2018
613
499
Based on the poll results and extrapolating 7500 from 431 to 440.. guess these are numbers on each score...seems like many on 438 around 2k

CRS || 440 || 439 || 438 || 437 || 436 || 435 || 434 || 433 || 432 || 431 ||
#Ppl || 723 || 678 || 1943 || 633 || 678 || 994 || 361 || 587 || 497 || 407 ||
 

dodogirl

Hero Member
Mar 30, 2018
631
369
I think the hard version is more reliable in case different dates are mentioned on the report. You should email WES to confirm the date, as its an important information that you need to mention while filling out your post-ITA forms.
Ok, thanks. I will do that.
 

Midnight Blessing

Hero Member
Mar 16, 2017
888
683
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
SGVO
Passport Req..
27-01-2022
VISA ISSUED...
17-02-2022
Based on the poll results and extrapolating 7500 from 431 to 440.. guess these are numbers on each score...seems like many on 438 around 2k

CRS || 440 || 439 || 438 || 437 || 436 || 435 || 434 || 433 || 432 || 431 ||
#Ppl || 723 || 678 || 1943 || 633 || 678 || 994 || 361 || 587 || 497 || 407 ||

& the worst part is it will keep rising till the end 430's gets clear which is improbable to observe considering no back to back draws and increasing competition. Now it seems like it might take over 10 draws to see cutoff at 436 region...:(
 

Reddiered07

Hero Member
May 3, 2018
613
499
& the worst part is it will keep rising till the end 430's gets clear which is improbable to observe considering no back to back draws and increasing competition. Now it seems like it might take over 10 draws to see cutoff at 436 region...:(
The above distribution is just based on the poll reaponses as of now..i repeat again that many from 431 to 435 have not voted..distribution changes once we see those people start voting!!
 

ShahidWS

Star Member
Feb 8, 2018
53
45
The above distribution is just based on the poll reaponses as of now..i repeat again that many from 431 to 435 have not voted..distribution changes once we see those people start voting!!
I think the most traffic is on 435,438 and 441. And then 436, 433 and 430 due to a lot of people from the first lot losing 5 points on their bdays.