Ray Of Hope - 87th Draw

[feritto]

For once, I guessed it right...

https://www.canadavisa.com/canada-i...of-hope-86th-draw.548903/page-64#post-6821994

Wow congratulations!!!

 

[shersingh]

My score was 438 which increased to 442 after spouse ielts results came through. We sent it for remarking and hoping for 2 points increase to 444. As I read somewhere during remarking status Ielts score is not valid, I am thinking if I made a mistake by applying for remarking. If next round cut off goes to 442, I will be sad as I have updated my profile with her old ielts score and currently CRS is 438. Anyone went through the similar situation...or if you know someone

Per IELTS, you can not use the test result during the remarking period. If the remkarking result is negative, they will return the same result form. If the result changes, I can't say how IRCC will react to a different IELTS score and possibly different TRF number. Safer bet might be remove IELTS score until you get it back or withdraw the reevaluation. Just my 2 cents.

 

[ankurrana]

Looking at the number of CRS profile changes in the pool, there have been very less addition to the pool with high CRS scores. Looks like CRS might go down to high 430s also but as we all know, prediction is something which goes for a toss in this Game of ITAs.
Lets wait for predictions from the number guys..

 

[Krystine]

oh what! what a blessing Monday morning with a surprising draw... Hope the next cut off goes down to 430s....... Waiting at 444 eagerly...

 

[alexross]

Calculations I have done on net new applicants entering the pool at different CRS point levels, based on the CRS pool distributions:

From oct 26th to Nov 9th:
above 440: 171 per day
above 430: 239 per day
above 410: 272 per day

From Nov 9th to Nov 30th:
above 440:174 per day
above 430:213 per day
above 410:237 per day

Nov 30th to Dec 18th:
above 440:171 per day
above 430:197 per day
above 410:215 per day

Dec 18th to Jan 4th
above 440:161 per day
above 430:195 per day
above 410:211 per day

Jan 4th to Jan 18th:
above 440:163 per day
above 430:193 per day
above 410:221 per day

from Jan 18th to Feb 1st:
above 440:186 per day
above 430:216 per day
above 410:258 per day

From Feb 1st to Feb 15th:
above 440:227 per day
above 430:257 per day
above 410:278 per day

From Feb 15th to Mar 8th:
above 440:226 per day
above 430:261 per day
above 410:279 per day

From Mar 8th to Mar 20th:
above 440:181 per day
above 430:226 per day
above 410:252 per day

For those interested in how the calculations are done, here is a sample:
For example, lets take calculation for above 440 from Dec 18th to Jan 4th:
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Jan 4th= 233+1374+1274=2881
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Dec 18th=420+1211+1260=2891
We know that the Jan 4th value is = Dec 18th value + net entrants into pool (i.e new entrants - expired entries) - ITAs from Dec 20th
2881=2891 + net entrants - 2750
2881-2891+2750=net entrants
So we have net entrants between Jan 4th and Dec 18th with crs above 440 = 2740
Therefore we have average entrants per day above 440 between Jan 4th and Dec 18th= 2740/17=161

The values listed are cumulative:
above 430=(430 to 440) + above 440.
so if you want only 430 to 440 per day you can calculate that by subtracting above 440 from above 430 value.
i.e) people entering the pool with score between 430 to 440 from feb 15th to march 8th would be 261-226=35 per day

 

[muthupiping]

Congrats to all who got the ITA!!
ATB to others for 87th draw....

 

[dh5689]

Received NOI from Ontario.
Job offer from Ontario employer
CRS-405

is anyone who got NOI from Ontario??

 

[special3220]

With the recent data it seems the no of new profile above 440+ has decreased between March 08 and March 20. So the high influx during the end of Feb to the first end of march was an anomaly? It seems that way isnt it?

 

[Fhussain]

R

Received NOI from Ontario.
Job offer from Ontario employer
CRS-405

is anyone who got NOI from Ontario??

Really? Their website has not disclosed anything on NOIs.. what is your NOC?

 

[Kollina]

Received NOI from Ontario.
Job offer from Ontario employer
CRS-405

is anyone who got NOI from Ontario??

Hello. When did you receive the OINP and is it a must to have a job offer? Thanks

 

[Kollina]

R

Really? Their website has not disclosed anything on NOIs.. what is your NOC?

They usually announce it on their website the next day.

 

[dh5689]

R

Really? Their website has not disclosed anything on NOIs.. what is your NOC?

yeah, that's what I checked and didn't find anything but received PT letter in my CIC account.
NOC-6211-retail store supervisor

 

[shersingh]

yeah, that's what I checked and didn't find anything but received PT letter in my CIC account.
NOC-6211-retail store supervisor

When did you create your profile ?

 

[BEA78]

R

Really? Their website has not disclosed anything on NOIs.. what is your NOC?

I suspect he's in the Employer Job Offer stream and not the Human Capital stream, because he mentioned having a job offer.

 

[Kollina]

yeah, that's what I checked and didn't find anything but received PT letter in my CIC account.
NOC-6211-retail store supervisor

Hello. Congrats ! What is your CRS score?