Ray Of Hope-86th Draw

[alexross]

Calculations I have done on net new applicants entering the pool at different CRS point levels, based on the CRS pool distributions:

From oct 26th to Nov 9th:
above 440: 171 per day
above 430: 239 per day
above 410: 272 per day

From Nov 9th to Nov 30th:
above 440:174 per day
above 430:213 per day
above 410:237 per day

Nov 30th to Dec 18th:
above 440:171 per day
above 430:197 per day
above 410:215 per day

Dec 18th to Jan 4th
above 440:161 per day
above 430:195 per day
above 410:211 per day

Jan 4th to Jan 18th:
above 440:163 per day
above 430:193 per day
above 410:221 per day

from Jan 18th to Feb 1st:
above 440:186 per day
above 430:216 per day
above 410:258 per day

From Feb 1st to Feb 15th:
above 440:227 per day
above 430:257 per day
above 410:278 per day

From Feb 15th to Mar 8th:
above 440:226 per day
above 430:261 per day
above 410:279 per day

From Mar 8th to Mar 20th:
above 440:181 per day
above 430:226 per day
above 410:252 per day

For those interested in how the calculations are done, here is a sample:
For example, lets take calculation for above 440 from Dec 18th to Jan 4th:
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Jan 4th= 233+1374+1274=2881
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Dec 18th=420+1211+1260=2891
We know that the Jan 4th value is = Dec 18th value + net entrants into pool (i.e new entrants - expired entries) - ITAs from Dec 20th
2881=2891 + net entrants - 2750
2881-2891+2750=net entrants
So we have net entrants between Jan 4th and Dec 18th with crs above 440 = 2740
Therefore we have average entrants per day above 440 between Jan 4th and Dec 18th= 2740/17=161

The values listed are cumulative:
above 430=(430 to 440) + above 440.
so if you want only 430 to 440 per day you can calculate that by subtracting above 440 from above 430 value.
i.e) people entering the pool with score between 430 to 440 from feb 15th to march 8th would be 261-226=35 per day

 

[ITA_Warrior]

Glad to share happiness...got my ITA!!!
Best of luck everyone waiting

 

[special3220]

Calculations I have done on net new applicants entering the pool at different CRS point levels, based on the CRS pool distributions:

From oct 26th to Nov 9th:
above 440: 171 per day
above 430: 239 per day
above 410: 272 per day

From Nov 9th to Nov 30th:
above 440:174 per day
above 430:213 per day
above 410:237 per day

Nov 30th to Dec 18th:
above 440:171 per day
above 430:197 per day
above 410:215 per day

Dec 18th to Jan 4th
above 440:161 per day
above 430:195 per day
above 410:211 per day

Jan 4th to Jan 18th:
above 440:163 per day
above 430:193 per day
above 410:221 per day

from Jan 18th to Feb 1st:
above 440:186 per day
above 430:216 per day
above 410:258 per day

From Feb 1st to Feb 15th:
above 440:227 per day
above 430:257 per day
above 410:278 per day

From Feb 15th to Mar 8th:
above 440:226 per day
above 430:261 per day
above 410:279 per day

From Mar 8th to Mar 20th:
above 440:181 per day
above 430:226 per day
above 410:252 per day

For those interested in how the calculations are done, here is a sample:
For example, lets take calculation for above 440 from Dec 18th to Jan 4th:
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Jan 4th= 233+1374+1274=2881
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Dec 18th=420+1211+1260=2891
We know that the Jan 4th value is = Dec 18th value + net entrants into pool (i.e new entrants - expired entries) - ITAs from Dec 20th
2881=2891 + net entrants - 2750
2881-2891+2750=net entrants
So we have net entrants between Jan 4th and Dec 18th with crs above 440 = 2740
Therefore we have average entrants per day above 440 between Jan 4th and Dec 18th= 2740/17=161

The values listed are cumulative:
above 430=(430 to 440) + above 440.
so if you want only 430 to 440 per day you can calculate that by subtracting above 440 from above 430 value.
i.e) people entering the pool with score between 430 to 440 from feb 15th to march 8th would be 261-226=35 per day

Awesome work buddy. Thanks for your handwork. So according to the calculations There were definitely some increase in high scoring profile between Feb 1st to March 08. But in the recent weeks that trend has subsided and from March 08 to March 20 we are more or less back to normal which is 180 profile above 440. Now is it just one week thing or we are going to see the same for the coming weeks? I guess time will tell but for now it is good to see a decrease in the intake of high scoring profile.

 

[Swordwater]

This is insane. I got into the pool on Feb 24th and missed the 85th draw with a score of 448. With a draw score of 456 I was worried and asked my wife to get her diploma verified and do an IELTS to get another 20 points and she just paid for everything last week and now all of a sudden we are in....

You can cancel the ielts test, u know.

 

[prpurohit]

What an unexpected draw!!! It's past 1 am and just learnt about the draw... today of all the days I did not come onto the forum after 6 in the evening. Happy to share that we got the ITA ...to be honest I was really looking forward to the draw on Wednesday with all banter and predictions on this thread...anti climatic in a way. Congratulations to all those who received the ITA today. Goodluck to all others who're waiting ...hope you all get ITA soon.

 

[Dr. Khan]

Congratulations to everyone who got their ITA’s today. God already blessed us and will bless rest of us soon. I was submitting my application after having my ITA but come up with few questions:
Can I change the information in the PR application after submitting once? Like, I have already sent my wife’s Ph.D to WES and expected date is 9th of April.
She also registered for IELTS on 7th of April, she will get her TRF around 27th April.
After receiving ITA, Can I add or update this information once I submit the application.
I have a real uncle in Canada but don’t have any contact with him, is it OK not to provide his details in the application?

 

[Varunaimar]

Congratulations to everyone who got their ITA’s today. God already blessed us and will bless rest of us soon. I was submitting my application after having my ITA but come up with few questions:
Can I change the information in the PR application after submitting once? Like, I have already sent my wife’s Ph.D to WES and expected date is 9th of April.
She also registered for IELTS on 7th of April, she will get her TRF around 27th April.
After receiving ITA, Can I add or update this information once I submit the application.
I have a real uncle in Canada but don’t have any contact with him, is it OK not to provide his details in the application?

When you've already received ITA, you do not need to add any of the above stuff. Go ahead and upload documents only related to what you previously claimed. Good luck;

 

[Eli31]

Hi, I was admitted into the Pool recently but my score is just 367 points. I have seen last rounds of invitations and minimum points to be invited for PR is around 450. Do I have any option or I won't receive the invitation? Thank you for feedback you can provide me

 

[nns14]

Hi, I was admitted into the Pool recently but my score is just 367 points. I have seen last rounds of invitations and minimum points to be invited for PR is around 450. Do I have any option or I won't receive the invitation? Thank you for feedback you can provide me

I have a similar score but I am retaking my IELTS to get me to 435-447 score depending on what CLB level I get (9 or 10). Have you maxed out your IELTS?

I am afraid, the only option with that score is through PNP.

 

[fmk8890]

Wasn't expecting an ITA this week with 447 points but I made it! WoohoO!

 

[FMT]

Congratulations to everyone who got their ITA’s today. God already blessed us and will bless rest of us soon. I was submitting my application after having my ITA but come up with few questions:
Can I change the information in the PR application after submitting once? Like, I have already sent my wife’s Ph.D to WES and expected date is 9th of April.
She also registered for IELTS on 7th of April, she will get her TRF around 27th April.
After receiving ITA, Can I add or update this information once I submit the application.
I have a real uncle in Canada but don’t have any contact with him, is it OK not to provide his details in the application?

You can decide not to add your Uncle's detail since you did not claim points for it.
The issue of adding up your wife's ielts is not needed. Just go ahead by providing those relevant documents that gave you your ITA

 

[jisho]

we have two profiles, one in which I am the primary and the other in which I am the dependent. For both these profiles, I had selected “NO” to the option “have you applied to IRCC before” and enetered nothing for UCI #. Recently received ITA for profile 2, and I could see a UCI # for that profile. Out of curiosity logged into the other profile and I could see a UCI there as well.

I am worried now, if I should have double checked profile 1 for UCI # and entered that while creating profile 2 and also if I should have anwered “yes” to the question option “have you applied to IRCC before” for profile 2. Would this be considered misrepresentation? Technically, i still havent applied yet, atleast for profile 1, for which I don’t even have an ITA yet.

 

[jisho]

we have two profiles, one in which I am the primary and the other in which I am the dependent. For both these profiles, I had selected “NO” to the option “have you applied to IRCC before” and enetered nothing for UCI #. Recently received ITA for profile 2, and I could see a UCI # for that profile. Out of curiosity logged into the other profile and I could see a UCI there as well.

I am worried now, if I should have double checked profile 1 for UCI # and entered that while creating profile 2 and also if I should have anwered “yes” to the question option “have you applied to IRCC before” for profile 2. Would this be considered misrepresentation? Technically, i still havent applied yet, atleast for profile 1, for which I don’t even have an ITA yet.

 

[Canada4me2]

Is there a Ray of hope 87 started ..

 

[zagcollins]

Is there a Ray of hope 87 started ..

https://www.canadavisa.com/canada-i...-of-hope-87th-draw.551053/page-2#post-6822340