Ray of Hope - 85th Draw

[Dreamer401]

I did not recieve my ITA yet, getting a bit nervous now .... are there other who did not get the ITA yet?

 

[jayanthvignesh]

@Dreamer401 I did not get it yet. Waiting.

 

[Dreamer401]

@Dreamer401 I did not get it yet. Waiting.

Thanks Mate, I thought I was the only one.

 

[pseetha]

I feel so depressed already ! left my job to move with husband in the US .. been a year.. thgt canada is the only hope.... got under the cut off for PNP but didnt get the call since my profile ws created in december. re created it in march but now the draw and pnp both seem to be out of reach

waiting at 435 !

Why do you think PNP is out of reach?

 

[Sami123]

Calculations I have done on net new applicants entering the pool at different CRS point levels, based on the CRS pool distributions:

From oct 26th to Nov 9th:
above 440: 171 per day
above 430: 239 per day
above 410: 272 per day

From Nov 9th to Nov 30th:
above 440:174 per day
above 430:213 per day
above 410:237 per day

Nov 30th to Dec 18th:
above 440:171 per day
above 430:197 per day
above 410:215 per day

Dec 18th to Jan 4th
above 440:161 per day
above 430:195 per day
above 410:211 per day

Jan 4th to Jan 18th:
above 440:163 per day
above 430:193 per day
above 410:221 per day

from Jan 18th to Feb 1st:
above 440:186 per day
above 430:216 per day
above 410:258 per day

From Feb 1st to Feb 15th:
above 440:227 per day
above 430:257 per day
above 410:278 per day

From Feb 15th to Mar 8th:
above 440:226 per day
above 430:261 per day
above 410:279 per day

For those interested in how the calculations are done, here is a sample:
For example, lets take calculation for above 440 from Dec 18th to Jan 4th:
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Jan 4th= 233+1374+1274=2881
All those with CRS points 440 and above on Dec 18th=420+1211+1260=2891
We know that the Jan 4th value is = Dec 18th value + net entrants into pool (i.e new entrants -
expired entries) - ITAs from Dec 20th
2881=2891 + net entrants - 2750
2881-2891+2750=net entrants
So we have net entrants between Jan 4th and Dec 18th with crs above 440 = 2740
Therefore we have average entrants per day above 440 between Jan 4th and Dec 18th= 2740/17=161

Thank you for this effort but if you can clarify one thing for me please when you said above 410 does it include those holes above 430 and the ones who is above 440
What I mean to say for example the last bro is the people who join the pool with the schools of 410 is 279 only or 279+261+226
One more thing please when you said above 440 do you mean just attend school range or everyone up to 1000 four example

 

[ITA_Warrior]

Lets hope for back to back draws!!!
Thats the only savior

 

[Nene Zim 17]

Congratulations those who got ITAs todayHoping for back to back draws as well from next week

 

[umangkat84]

456. Way to high as expected. Lets see if the draw comes next week as well.

 

[alexross]

Thank you for this effort but if you can clarify one thing for me please when you said above 410 does it include those holes above 430 and the ones who is above 440
What I mean to say for example the last bro is the people who join the pool with the schools of 410 is 279 only or 279+261+226
One more thing please when you said above 440 do you mean just attend school range or everyone up to 1000 four example

Hi, thanks for your question.

above 430=(430 to 440) + above 440.
so if you want only 430 to 440 per day you can calculate that by subtracting above 440 from above 430 value.
i.e) people entering the pool with score between 430 to 440 from feb 15th to march 8th would be 261-226=35 per day

I hope this answers your question. I will update my original post with this explanation as well.

 

[Sami123]

Hi, thanks for your question.

above 430=(430 to 440) + above 440.
so if you want only 430 to 440 per day you can calculate that by subtracting above 440 from above 430 value.
i.e) people entering the pool with score between 430 to 440 from feb 15th to march 8th would be 261-226=35 per day

I hope this answers your question. I will update my original post with this explanation as well.

Thank you so much for your efforts it is very helpful

 

[Sandeep198511]

its all over for us who are in 430's..................................................

To be honest when I saw the result I gave up of migrating to Canada this year... You better hope for next week draw...

 

[Tech_girl123]

Why do you think PNP is out of reach?

just saw the number of people who have entered the pool... already they have published OINP twice. I am hopeful that this cut off will be reached but seems like will take time

 

[move2NA2018]

Congrats to those who received ITAs. It indeed is high cutoff! Seems like stock market situation

Hope the next draw is at lower cutoff and it is next Wed, the 21st!!

What is the advice to increase scores then if am sitting on 450? Give IELTS again?

 

[Rubi111]

Thanks Mate, I thought I was the only one.

I also didnt get it till now

 

[DXB_CAN]

Anyone here located in the UAE and received ITA? lets get in touch.