Ray of Hope - 83rd Draw

[shersingh]

Yeah... i would still prefer this from my edited post:

If we come back to 3500 ITA's per draw then the 2 weeks difference is 800 positions = 10 draws to hit 430 border.

To get a quick drop in the CRS we need about 140 candidates entering the pool above 430.That gives us 700 candidates difference from above calculation & 750 in total so CRS at 430 some time in beginning of July.

Best is to get both! ITA's increase and decrease of new applications. DO NOT APPLY LOL

Continuing with this scenario that we might see 430 by July....
431-440 -> 4,439
Atleast 50% of these people who are waiting for a long time now i.e 2,220 will get a 5 point penalty for their birthdays(assuming equal distribution of birthdays throughout the year). So, that may also be another factor to consider ...I don't intend to be funny - I myself will get hit with this too.

 

[Thay]

Continuing with this scenario that we might see 430 by July....
431-440 -> 4,439
Atleast 50% of these people who are waiting for a long time now i.e 2,220 will get a 5 point penalty for their birthdays(assuming equal distribution of birthdays throughout the year). So, that may also be another factor to consider ...I don't intend to be funny - I myself will get hit with this too.

Both may happen (i whis) then 430's will be sometime May.

 

[at4446]

totally lost my hope with 426! no way I can get ITA right?

 

[Thay]

totally lost my hope with 426! no way I can get ITA right?

Do not loose your hope, CIC is unpredictable and really anything can happen... They can increase ITA's there is less people joining a pool recently. Are you eligable for FSW?
Can you improve your score?

 

[closingtime]

Do not do that.
That one will just rule you out of any Ontario NOI. It seems that they have a bug in that section and if you try to select specific provinces it will let you do so without deselecting "all" option.
However at the same time some provinces (like Ontario or BC) have data collection clause (that you agree, that they will collect your data) and that one is programmed the way, that it will disappear if you do that double selection (which does not make sense anyway).
So either select Ontario and any other province you wish; or select ALL

Thank you for the advice, I selected all again and transmitted again and you were right.

That is a pretty terrible bug to have in the system.

 

[at4446]

Do not loose your hope, CIC is unpredictable and really anything can happen... They can increase ITA's there is less people joining a pool recently. Are you eligable for FSW?
Can you improve your score?

I am applying under CEC ...and yes for celpip i got l8 r8 s8 r9 If i bump up the other 3 to 9 I can be at 462...I just do not wanna sit for another celpip

 

[TanakaM]

Congrats to all those who got an ITA today. To the rest hang in there, your time is coming.

#staypositive

 

[Thay]

I am applying under CEC ...and yes for celpip i got l8 r8 s8 r9 If i bump up the other 3 to 9 I can be at 462...I just do not wanna sit for another celpip

Honestly, I would - if you want to go to Canada or stay there in near future study hard for a month and there you go! You can do it, its just a month of hard work and focus on this and it will save you all this anxiety. Believe me many people here, like me for example wish they can improve CELPIP/IELTS scores to boost their CRS...

 

[premchandar.au]

Brace up for stiff competition. Now maximising IELTS score to score full CRS for language is a must to be anywhere in the race. If IDP and BC were listed companies i would invest in them for sure..

 

[keyur sharma]

my score is 444 and i submitted my profile on 7th December 2017, does that mean i got an ITA?

Ya you did . Wait for 24 hours

 

[krunal2904]

Ya you did . Wait for 24 hours

Yes...You will get it..

I got mine within 15 min after Draw happened...

 

[Contactnisha]

It is very clear that we are going to see the same number of ITAs for every draw. 2750*2= 5500 ITAs in a month.
And 5500*12= 66000 in 2018.
Since there is a target for 72000 , we may see a max of 3 back to back draws(72000-66000=6000)
Hence there is only possibility for higher crs to get an invitation in the near future.
Guys am not being pessimistic as I have been in pool since June and seen many ups and downs.
In the mean time if anybody below 442 gets a PnP noi please go for it, because direct ita is a mere luck for you.
Am also losing my hopes for direct ita as I have to learn French(which is impossible for me at this stage)... and eagerly hoping for oinp.

 

[Tony20182017]

The fixed

I don't understand and don't like this fixed 2,750 number, there should be more invitation this year than last year

The fixed number is because of the tie breaking rule. Earlier they will set a minimum threshold and it will be out of their control how many applicants receive ITA. There is quite a crowd around scores of 400-450. So hundreds of applicants with a single score. Plus now they have extensive data on working of EE system and number of dependants that cinema with each applicant, percentage of ITA who submit vAlid applications, percentage who further pass, and then how many land.

So in sum they are better able to control the total number of ITA with more data and tie breaking rule. I do not expect he total number of ITA per year to increase from now on. That would be consistent with their increased targets over the next few years. It is because last year saw a dramatic jump in PR issued. Now most of them will start landing in 2018. And many will bring dependants and then other members through family unification.

This should last till a new government is formed in early 2020. If Liberals again come to power PR intake might even increase or at least remain steady.

 

[radlat]

They had three draws in January 2017 I believe, so a back to back draw is technically not 100% out of the question.

Let us keep our fingers crossed. If there is a draw on Jan 31st, we both will be in I guess.
then

on me

 

[harshb079]

I am at 438.
Profile created 27th Nov 2017. Should I re-create to get eligible for OINP?