Reference to 18th Jan data; 431-460 have 6600 applicants and monthly on average 4500 profiles add up in this range...
So in my view below will be happening if two draws occured with 2750 ITAs:
Feb: 7000 current profiles - 5000 ITA/mon + 4500 new profiles/mon
March: 6500 - 5000 + 4500
April: 6000 - 5000 + 4500
May: 5500 - 5000 + 4500
June: 5000 - 5000 + 4500.....
So, there is higher probability that CRS score will drop below 430 from April-May 2018
So in my view below will be happening if two draws occured with 2750 ITAs:
Feb: 7000 current profiles - 5000 ITA/mon + 4500 new profiles/mon
March: 6500 - 5000 + 4500
April: 6000 - 5000 + 4500
May: 5500 - 5000 + 4500
June: 5000 - 5000 + 4500.....
So, there is higher probability that CRS score will drop below 430 from April-May 2018
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