My rants have done something good. It has stopped people giving artificial advises just to boost other people's hope for a short time.
Since calling the experts out, they are now a lot more realistic in how they give advise. Its a great thing for new comers as they wont get false hopes like i got initially when i first joined this forum. It makes things worse.
Now u can tell yourselves how beautiful ya'll is or how empowered ya all is.
Im sorry but u u r not.
Openly making fun of someone or bullying them is not a sign of maturity. I've learned from my experience and have grown as a person and hope the same for u.
I guess you got another very good advice, do not trust too much in too optimistic forecast. Do the hard calculations by yourself. Some of the predictions are more like wishful thinking. Others are accurate when taken standard pattern, but since the whole system is more dynamic, certain events (like IELTS results, holiday season or formal end of the school year), can have temporary impact on the whole score.
Interestingly the high amount of ITA during first half of 2017 were taken without much questioning (if it was a standard trend or just an anomaly) and some predictions used them to predict increases.
Again, because the quota for the year is known, only amount of the wasted ITA and the family size can influence amount of total ITA. But also these 2 variables are not know, some data can be collected from different sources. And those data were pointing to the system overheating. Provinces did it as well (Ontario in 2016 with their NOI; Quebec with the non French speakers) and then they had to deal with the situation (Ontario shut down new NOI for more than a year; Quebec has suddenly changed the point system with a backward validity).
And I think, those 3 weeks draws might be the way how to cool down the whole system.
I was posting about this warning signs (that too many ITA might have been issued last year) good 2 to 3 months ago, but then I was considered having too much negativity and a not wanted element.
ITA is a pure competition game, and competition is not always fair. Almost everything is permitted as long as you are not caught.
If you check several success stories they are most like this:
I had CRS X which was too low.
I was waiting and hoping for CRS to come down (this is optional and depends on the score and how much was that person willing to do)
Then I did actions A, B, C (IELTS, TEF, ECA for the spouse, LMIA, PNP, finished work year in Canada...).
My score went up and i got ITA.
Yes there are few lucky ones that were on the right time in the right place. But they are not that many. And if you check some who presented themselves as lucky, you would find out, that they did the hard work in advance and they just so happened to enter the EE with a high enough score.
anyway good luck