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More people than that would have joined the 431-440 range but others who were in that range moved to higher CRS scores with a new IELTS score or any other factor.

Only the net increase in 441-450 range was higher than the net increase in the 431-440 range.

At lower CRS ranges the net increase is lesser as there are lot of folks who improve their CRS scores and go up the ladder!
that is correct like I received my spouse eca and went up to 446 on dec 13 and was denied ITA by tie breaker rule
 
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Hi so i made my EE profile yesterday almost 12 hours before the draw. I have a CRS of 456- You think i made it?
 
Statistician @abhishek_89 let's say if there is 10% increase in ITA's, based on increased numbers for 2018, what would be the cutoff.

Believe me even CIC is is monitor your predictions and taking cue from these numbers, so start changing ITA numbers also:p, and please higher than 2018:)
 
Is it certain that candidates who remain in the pool due to tie breaker will receive ITA in the next draw by being immune to crs score increase?

No. If next draw CRS cut off increases they won't get ITA.
 
What should we expect for CRS cut-off to be in case 2750 invites are issued on 27 December 2017, and another case, if there is no draw on 27 December, but there is a draw on 3 January 2018.

Thanks in advance.

If 27 Dec with 2750 ITAs - CRS cut off in the 430s
If 3 Jan with 2750 ITAs - CRS cut off in the 440s
 
Statistician @abhishek_89 let's say if there is 10% increase in ITA's, based on increased numbers for 2018, what would be the cutoff.

Believe me even CIC is is monitor your predictions and taking cue from these numbers, so start changing ITA numbers also:p, and please higher than 2018:)

I need to spend some time on calculations. More ITA's means lesser cut off. Next prediction onwards will use a higher count of ITAs.
 
Hello friends, based on the statement below. Does it mean I will not get an inviatation since I submitted my profile on the 18th Dec (about 11pm)

Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of December 18, 2017

That is just CRS score distribution table which shows the total number of people in the pool as of 18th Dec. If your CRS is not 446 then you do not have to worry. If it is 446, then you should have created your profile before: October 02, 2017 at 14:56:53 UTC.
 
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