Ray of Hope - 69th Draw

[abhishek_89]

Yeah, exactly. It would be so easy for international students to get 440+ and they have proficiency in English as well as strong tie to Canada. Those are the target for cic.
I.e. A student who graduated from university + 1 yr work + ielts 8777 =460+ is it hard??
But crs can and will drop again to 420 or so when the 2018 quota comes out. But it is just not going to happen this year.

Buddy, why do I feel that you don't want the CRS cut off to go down?

 

[abhishek_89]

Congrats to all who got an ITA assuming they are still on the ROH thread! Suh Putting the pool crs distribution into perspective and I now realise that cic would need to flush out approximately 16k candidates before I can get an ITA*****mouth drop open****........i'm going to be paying for me IELTS resit ASAP!

Lets stay positive and thanks to everyone for the optimism........let the countdown begin!

16K existing candidates and a whole lot of new candidates who enter the pool newly with a CRS above your score..

 

[vkumar7077]

CRS cutoff, Draw date is really getting unpredictable . Sitting at 434 I am not feeling confident enough that I will get an ITA in the next two months for sure.
Does anyone know when CIC will implement any new set of rules that will change the scoring algorithm drastically? I wish I get an ITA before any such changes.

 

[andieangel]

Here we go again, having alive hope and golden opportunity to arrive, I'm still positive and will be. Because there were 3 weeks and CIC agents were on their vacation. Soon they will begin regular draw with big size like 3700-3800-3900 or even 4000 ITAs. Just we have to be patient and hopeful, coz our turn is coming! So, good luck and once again CONGRATULATIONS to the people who got the ITA.

PS: for your ITA, just wait 24 hours, then you will have magic message, in the meantime get ready your documents!

Exactly! Our Light Knight is back!

 

[kuber101]

If you see last year's draws and ITAs, the numbers dropped in the months of July/August/September and then went up again for the remainder of the year. Number of frequent draws and higher number of ITAs are the only way for scores to drop. It is bound to happen. It will happen. It has to happen.
Will it and watch it unfold.

 

[kdeepak003]

Hello,

I received ONIP a month ago and accepted but failed to complete the application in 2 weeks and it got expired.

Is there any chances of getting invite from ONIP one more time ? Has anyone been in my shoes before ?

Thank you in advance

 

[cnrp]

I wish good luck to everyone. This my first post to this forum (long one) and started my express entry journey 2 months ago.
Also I'm an econometrician so I've spent too much time with numbers of previous rounds within these months.

I got some basic conclusions and I'd like to share with you guys:

First of all people are keep saying that 70k immigrant target for federal class they should give about 50k more ITAs. That would be correct if receiving ITAs is enough to reach their targets. I guess people receiving ITAs after round 66 could be able to complete their immigration process in 2018. So bad news for CIC but they already failed to reach their targets. On the other hand as soon as they realise this they should increase the number of rounds, ITAs per round or hire some people to quicken up the evaluation process.

If we look at the Score distribution, the statistics are showing that number of ITAs within periods of 30 days determines the lowest score for invitation:

Below 5000 ITAs per 30 days ---> 450+
Around 5000 ITAs per 30 days ---> 440-450
Around 6500 ITAs per 30 days ---> 430-440
Around 7500 ITAs per 30 days ---> 420-430
More than 9000 ITAS per 30 days ---> 400-420

Verbally, if we see one of these scenarios frequently for example, 6500 ITAs per 30 days all year long so the lowest score would go down around 420s but the new application and ITA number will be balanced soon and not possibly go below 420 line. However, if they do 3 rounds per month as January, April, and May 2017, the score could even go down to 400s.

So my optimistic forecast for this year:

Draw 68 (July 28 - August 2, 2017) 435+
Draw 69 (August 16 - August 18, 2017) 425+
Draw 70 (August 30 - September 1, 2017) 415 +
Draw 71 (September 13 - September 15, 2017) 420+
Draw 72 (September 27- September 29, 2017) 415+
Draw 73 (October 11- October 13, 2017) 420+
Draw 74 (October 25 - October 27, 2017) 415+
Draw 75 (November 8 - November 10, 2017) 410+
Draw 76 (November 22- November 24, 2017) 410+
Draw 77 (December 6 - December 8, 2017) 410+
Draw 78 (December 20 - December 22, 2017) 410+

If we take average ITAs per round 3750 that would make 41250 more ITAs this year.
I guess most of the people lurking around here will be gone by Halloween and will be busy with document preparation!
I only got one concern and that is a possible boom in applications after July as people like me will start to realise that Express Entry is actually pretty possible to do nowadays. I won't share my pessimistic forecast to not to break the positive energy of these threads

I'am at the same page guys.
A second round in August would mean CRS go below 425.
A third round would mean CRS go below 415.

Good luck!

 

[abhishek_89]

I'am at the same page guys.
A second round in August would mean CRS go below 425.
A third round would mean CRS go below 415.

Good luck!

Even if the next draw happens on August 9th, it is almost impossible for the CRS cut off to reach even 430 leave alone 425.

 

[pessacanada]

Exactly! Our Light Knight is back!

As you have nominated me to this position, I'll do everything to turn everyone's hopeless attitudes to the hopeful and joyful manners whatever it takes. @andieangel, look how to be positive Light Knight: everyone I order you to be positive fast and wait delicious BBQ by Andie when we get to Canada

PS: hope next week I'll bring more ITAs with my positivism and determinism, so guys get ready your trucks, coz those ITAs are really heavy ones

 

[ravidgohil@gmail.com]

no you can submit ee profile as soon as you get results online coz, online score also show the IELTS score report number.

Oh really ? I did not notice that while checking my results for the first time.

 

[abhishek_89]

CRS cutoff, Draw date is really getting unpredictable . Sitting at 434 I am not feeling confident enough that I will get an ITA in the next two months for sure.
Does anyone know when CIC will implement any new set of rules that will change the scoring algorithm drastically? I wish I get an ITA before any such changes.

If the next draw happens on August 9th, you would get an ITA. If not, the wait would be longer.
No new rules planned as off now.

 

[shaun75]

Feeling strange today. Not my usual happiness, a little sad and I think I know why.

Draw = Good and Happy
441 = Good and Happy. Only 1 point up after 3 weeks - trend is going down if CIC want to hit annual targets. They cannot keep the cut off high even if they tried - only a matter of time.
Friends moving on = Sad. Really so pleased for them, genuinely am, but didn't think I would feel this way. Will miss those guys and bros.

Sorry to be down on the RoH thread. I promise normal service will be resumed tomorrow. Good night and God bless all.

 

[andieangel]

As you have nominated me to this position, I'll do everything to turn everyone's hopeless attitudes to the hopeful and joyful manners whatever it takes. @andieangel, look how to be positive Light Knight: everyone I order you to be positive fast and wait delicious BBQ by Andie when we get to Canada

PS: hope next week I'll bring more ITAs with my positivism and determinism, so guys get ready your trucks, coz those ITAs are really heavy ones

Hahaha! Awsome! How's wife and baby?

 

[andieangel]

Even if the next draw happens on August 9th, it is almost impossible for the CRS cut off to reach even 430 leave alone 425.

Why not?

 

[canadanumber1]

Hello,

I received ONIP a month ago and accepted but failed to complete the application in 2 weeks and it got expired.

Is there any chances of getting invite from ONIP one more time ? Has anyone been in my shoes before ?

Thank you in advance

Yes theres a chance that you can get another invite when OINP reopens their stream. Why did you miss the 2 week deadline?