Ray of Hope 68th Draw
- Thread starter WaseemWasii
- Start date
Hi Sachin, I am at 433, do you think I should recreate my profile or wait for ITA. very confused
Hey mate hang on. Had read it shomewhere the only thing constant abour luck is that it changes. You are going to have an ITA very soon. 436 is undoubtedly an amazing CRS looking at the trend. Guess CIC is making for some space to fit your application in. Hope keeps us going on. In 2 years score never went below 450 but people who hoped and waited they got flushed out. Things can change in a split of seconds. I am also hoping at 420 someday an ITA will reflect in my account and the PR card will be in wallet.
Hang on till the next draw. Chances are high that you would get an ITA in that.Hi Sachin, I am at 433, do you think I should recreate my profile or wait for ITA. very confused
If not in this, the following draw would be definitely favorable (I think the next draw is enough for your score though).
Anyway, if your intention for recreating the profile is to get an NOI from Ontario, I'd say wait until next draw and then do it.
Cheers. Good luck
Hello everyone, here we go again, hope to see a draw tomorrow and like everybody I want a big surprise by CIC
I got really fat yesterday because of birthday wishes Many thanks again my friends.
Ohhh Yukon party, loving this so much, of course we will do it next year. Regarding invitation to that, apart ITA, you may ask a permission from our intelligent, lovely, active member and very smart Secretary General Andie
Hope for the best which could be CRS 430 (+-2) with 3400 ITAs. Or optimistic wish would be CRS 425 (+-3) coz I'm truly optimist person
I got really fat yesterday because of birthday wishes
Many thanks again my friends.Ohhh Yukon party, loving this so much, of course we will do it next year. Regarding invitation to that, apart ITA, you may ask a permission from our intelligent, lovely, active member and very smart Secretary General Andie
Hope for the best which could be CRS 430 (+-2) with 3400 ITAs. Or optimistic wish would be CRS 425 (+-3) coz I'm truly optimist person
I have 434 and also got NOI about 10 days back, still I am sure that within next one or two draws I will get an ITA!Hang on till the next draw. Chances are high that you would get an ITA in that.
If not in this, the following draw would be definitely favorable (I think the next draw is enough for your score though).
Anyway, if your intention for recreating the profile is to get an NOI from Ontario, I'd say wait until next draw and then do it.
Cheers. Good luck
Totally makes sense. With that score, it's better to wait for an ITA directly.
I'm on the same boat, I received an NOI last month, but still waiting
Good luck to you Cheers..Hello Friends,
Need your help/suggestions. I have applied through consultant and my EE profile was creating his login credentials, so they cannot share the login details as every profile created by them has common credentials. I have my EE profile number and job seekers code. When ever there are any updates they send me the screenshots.
I had also got NOI from Ontario which I had accepted and my CRS is 413. So I have two questions here. First is that is there any way I can see my profile myself or my consultant can see it only.
Secondly, how it would be confirmed that I have officially accepted the NO from Ontario, as I have no access to login credentials for EE.
Thirdly, how long it would be take for further action for Ontario. I had received NOI on 29th June.
Your replies would be appreciated as I am totally new.
Regards,
hs
Need your help/suggestions. I have applied through consultant and my EE profile was creating his login credentials, so they cannot share the login details as every profile created by them has common credentials. I have my EE profile number and job seekers code. When ever there are any updates they send me the screenshots.
I had also got NOI from Ontario which I had accepted and my CRS is 413. So I have two questions here. First is that is there any way I can see my profile myself or my consultant can see it only.
Secondly, how it would be confirmed that I have officially accepted the NO from Ontario, as I have no access to login credentials for EE.
Thirdly, how long it would be take for further action for Ontario. I had received NOI on 29th June.
Your replies would be appreciated as I am totally new.
Regards,
hs
Well, you can't. Your consultant can only help. Insist him to confirm you these details by all means.
You can ask him to share the Submitted Application Details page which has got all the scores and other information. I guess, this would answer your first 2 questions.
For timelines, I believe it varies per application. Usually it's 30-60 days. You can also check answers from other users on this forum.
For timelines, I believe it varies per application. Usually it's 30-60 days. You can also check answers from other users on this forum.
dont worry buddy, either tomorrow or thereafter, next draw is all yours,, mark my words, good luck
Calculations have got a bit confused
whats your prediction for 26th ?
Made the semantic correction mentioned. Here it is,
After some data mining and applying the principles of Probability and Stochastic processes,
This is my analysis.
601-1200 -> 199 => Average of 30 profiles per day (Rounded up)
451-600 -> 764 => Average of 110 profiles per day (Rounded up)
441-450 -> 1008 => (1008 as on July 6 - 809 as on June 28) means a Average of 30 profiles per day (Rounded up)
431-440 -> 1576 => (1576 as on July 6 - 1082 as on June 28) means a Average of 70 profiles per day (Rounded up)
Keep in mind 440 and above are flushed out.
So as on July 19th (if the trend continues) taking the averages and multiplying by 7 we get
601-1200 210
451-600 770
441-450 210
431-440 2070
Which means atleast 3260 people will have their CRS above 431
If ITA issued are following the current trends of 3200 then, the Cut off can be 433+/-1
If they issue 3300 ITAs then, Cut off could be 430 +/- 1
PS: This is under the assumption that the current trend of nominations is followed and we do not see a spike in the PNPs
If, we do not have a draw on July 19 and it gets pushed to July 26 we get the following distribution
601-1200 420
451-600 1540
441-450 420
431-440 2550
Which means atleast 4944 people will have their CRS above 431
If ITA issued are following the current trends of 3200 then, the Cut off can be 437+/-1
If they issue 3500 ITAs then, Cut off could be 436 +/- 1
PS: This is under the assumption that the current trend of nominations is followed and we do not see a spike in the PNPs
Further, please note, I myself want the cut off to fall as I have not received my ITA. And I hope the cut off continues to fall.
For now, what we all can do is pray that we have back to back draws because that is very much needed.
PS: Please do not bash me for this analysis. I am optimistic but need to be a realist too right?
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Thanks for the suggestion mate
I am giving a go to the hypnosis thing. In past i stopped on four occasions being a cold turkey. But this time around i am finding it very difficult. I tried the e-cig thing but that is bollocks. All it requires is a clear determination and power of self-control. I am trying to stay away from forum in order to prepare for IELTS but it is so difficult now hehehe. Anyone mind if i practice my essays and letters here?