Ray of hope 61st draw

[omarkhan]

May 3rd.. score back to (CRS... 425 to 430)..
May 10th.. CRS... 447+4-2

Hard luck guys :'(

Where did you know that from? No draw has been done yet today.

 

[Gado]

Where did you know that from? No draw has been done yet today.

We are back to predictions, this is his nothing more.

 

[Northstar88]

Re: Ray of hope 61th draw

This guy is back!!!! He sees the future folks. Count on him.

Thank you man.
+1 for you

 

[andieangel]

May 3rd.. score back to (CRS... 425 to 430)..
May 10th.. CRS... 447+4-2

Hard luck guys :'(

On basis of that did you come to that conclusion? If there is 49t people in the pool and their qouta is 75t people or more in 2018 how will they fill in qouta if not by decreasing points and having large draws? Pure logic and math! Also someone here in this forum has mentioned that in 2017 rejection rate is 80%.

 

[garyastudent]

On basis of that did you come to that conclusion? If there is 49t people in the pool and their qouta is 75t people or more in 2018 how will they fill in qouta if not by decreasing points and having large draws? Pure logic and math! Also someone here in this forum has mentioned that in 2017 rejection rate is 80%.

Rejection rate of 80% is purely impossible...... bogus news.....

 

[josejaram]

Rejection rate of 80% is purely impossible...... bogus news.....

Yes.. that's hard to believe, actually in this same topic someone posted a video where the immigration dude said it is 40%

And since there is no official data I must say that that data is also based on a calculation...

 

[andieangel]

According to Open Government Data (available online at open . Canada . ca) last updated in Feb 2017 highlights key figures mentioned as follow:


1) Number of PR Admissions Completed (All Categories)

2015: Total 271,820 (Till Feb 29,345)
2016: Total 296,340 (Till Feb 59,310)
2017: Till Feb 44,675 - Dec Forecast: 300,000


2) Number of ITA's issued vs Number of Applicants Accepted their ITA (Express Entry Only)

2015: Total ITA's 31,063 vs Applicants Accepted ITA 18,625 (40% Rejection Rate)

2016: Total ITA's 34,009 vs Applicants Accepted ITA 22,300 (35% Rejection Rate)

Till Feb 2017: Total ITA's 16,999 vs Applicants Accepted ITA 3,530 (80% Rejection Rate)

The results for 2017 will change by time, as there are still a large number of applicants whose ITA is not expired. There is still a possibility that Rejection Rate will be higher this year.

I hope this analysis will give an insight of what CIC is up to. Will update as soon as new figures are made available.

I don't think is bogus news.

 

[minghang]

On basis of that did you come to that conclusion? If there is 49t people in the pool and their qouta is 75t people or more in 2018 how will they fill in qouta if not by decreasing points and having large draws? Pure logic and math! Also someone here in this forum has mentioned that in 2017 rejection rate is 80%.

What do you expect next draws crs score to be ?

 

[andieangel]

What do you expect next draws crs score to be ?

I believe that it will be 409 or 410. On 3rd of May with 3700 ITA due to that there is 2 week gap. And draw after that on May 17th 404 or 405. In June it will go below 400.

 

[garyastudent]

According to Open Government Data (available online at open . Canada . ca) last updated in Feb 2017 highlights key figures mentioned as follow:


1) Number of PR Admissions Completed (All Categories)

2015: Total 271,820 (Till Feb 29,345)
2016: Total 296,340 (Till Feb 59,310)
2017: Till Feb 44,675 - Dec Forecast: 300,000


2) Number of ITA's issued vs Number of Applicants Accepted their ITA (Express Entry Only)

2015: Total ITA's 31,063 vs Applicants Accepted ITA 18,625 (40% Rejection Rate)

2016: Total ITA's 34,009 vs Applicants Accepted ITA 22,300 (35% Rejection Rate)

Till Feb 2017: Total ITA's 16,999 vs Applicants Accepted ITA 3,530 (80% Rejection Rate)

The results for 2017 will change by time, as there are still a large number of applicants whose ITA is not expired. There is still a possibility that Rejection Rate will be higher this year.

I hope this analysis will give an insight of what CIC is up to. Will update as soon as new figures are made available.

I don't think is bogus news.

[quote author=andieangel link=topic=486252.msg5965030#msg5965030

Please read the comment again It is people who applied for the PR has rejected the ITA not RCIC who rejected the applications......

 

[garyastudent]

I believe that it will be 409 or 410. On 3rd of May with 3700 ITA due to that there is 2 week gap. And draw after that on May 17th 404 or 405. In June it will go below 400.

In June the CRS will increase due to Sibling & Francophone Points (Francophones will not make a lot of impact but Applicants with siblings will.......

 

[canada_dreamer]

How big an effect do you think the rule changes in june have? My guess is that crs may go up for a draw or two at the max and should come back down after that.

 

[Weststarr]

How big an effect do you think the rule changes in june have? My guess is that crs may go up for a draw or two at the max and should come back down after that.

Yeah i think the same, after 1 or 2 draws the points will again go down

 

[andieangel]

I read it and understood it well, thanks it means that a lot of people are rejecting ITA for what ever reason and that means statistically that in every draw 80% will reject ITA which is bad for filling quota, so they need to dig deeper to invite more people, especially around and below 400 since there is majority of candidates in the pool.

 

[andieangel]

In June the CRS will increase due to Sibling & Francophone Points (Francophones will not make a lot of impact but Applicants with siblings will.......

These changes will not have huge impact, since not many points are awarded, so my guess 1% of whole pool will get higher points due to that and this is not enough to push crs cut off to go up.