Ray of hope 59th draw!

[Boni M]

did u all realize that they gave a distribution of the candidates in the pool!!!
it's on the same page as the ita result. wow now we know better!!

Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of March 29, 2017
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 124
451-600 422
401-450 11,726
441-450 137
431-440 1,927
421-430 2,976
411-420 3,119
401-410 3,567
351-400 21,036
391-400 3,274
381-390 4,008
371-380 4,340
361-370 4,623
351-360 4,791
301-350 15,584
0-300 2,779
Total 51,671

421-430 2,976
According to this the next score should be less than 421
BTW my prediction is 425 with 3800+

 

[AlliBatista]

Interesting .... how you can explain this:

this is the distribution:


Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of March 29, 2017
CRS Score Range Number of Candidates
601-1200 124
451-600 422
401-450 11,726
441-450 137
431-440 1,927
421-430 2,976
411-420 3,119
401-410 3,567
351-400 21,036
391-400 3,274
381-390 4,008
371-380 4,340
361-370 4,623
351-360 4,791
301-350 15,584
0-300 2,779
Total 51,671


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the no. of ITA's for today's draw is 3753 ITA's, and the draw picked up all the candidates from 431 and up, so based on the distribution of the candidates illustrated above the score should be dropped to at least 427, so why the score is still 431 ?

The numbers are from March 29, 2017, so about 1100 people entered the pool this last week.

So the next draw (in 14 days) should have about 2000 new applicants, together with the 2900 already there.

Just a rough prediction though, we'll have a better picture if they keep publishing the distribution together with every draw. ;D

 

[luv2read90]

did you mean 425??

No I meant 415. There's approximately 3000 people currently between 421-430.

In two weeks we will be below 421.. a CRS draw of 417 at least.

Keep the hope alive!!

 

[Pawshi]

Please compare with 2015 end of year report. The data looks similar. 2016 and 2015 both are almost similar. So not much skewness. If the draw size continues to be 3500+, then in by May end, the entire 400+ may be over.

400 - 449 13,537
440 - 449 2,486
430 - 439 2,842
420 - 429 2,185
410 - 419 2,899
400 - 409 3,125

 

[eeprofilehelp]

All eyes on ielts results on 7th. and next draw should take place before 21st (next ielts results date) ...... if not then the score will jump again.

 

[Pawshi]

So this logic that with the increase in draw sizes, H1B issue, trump issue in US, Bre-exit etc. the pool is still not significantly crowded. 400+ defintiely has the chances.

 

[tiwalope]

I stand at 405 but i will get more points after the 20th of July going up to 483 (1 year Canadian work experience). Do you think I have any chances before the 20th of July?

May be,may be not.Keep the hopes alive.You will definitely get ur PR this year.Keep at it

 

[Weststarr]

I know this is ray but its the fastest way to get answer, so ive done the ECA report from IQAS, and the report is showing "completion of a High School Diploma, including technical training. " what should i choose in the CRS ?

 

[Alexios07]

421-430 2,976
According to this the next score should be less than 421
BTW my prediction is 425 with 3800+

No, the pool is not static. New applicants will join the pool, and existing applicants will have their scores changed (new ielts, new work experience, new degree etc.)

 

[mittler83]

May be,may be not.Keep the hopes alive.You will definitely get ur PR this year.Keep at it

Fingers Crossed!

 

[tiwalope]

No, the pool is not static. New applicants will join the pool, and existing applicants will have their scores changed (new ielts, new work experience, new degree etc.)

Expired Ielts,ineligible profile and the likes,

so give or take,I predict 425 for April 19 Draw and if any draw on the 12th it will be 420.

CIC should give us Easter treat.

 

[tiwalope]

So this logic that with the increase in draw sizes, H1B issue, trump issue in US, Bre-exit etc. the pool is still not significantly crowded. 400+ defintiely has the chances.

yes by Gods grace

 

[Northstar88]

An interesting fact also is that the report with the candidates distribution was extracted as on March 29th 2017, that is Wednesday, so i think that the system is designed just to open the hatch for the ITA's to go out only on wednesday, and wednesday only ???

 

[tiwalope]

All eyes on ielts results on 7th. and next draw should take place before 21st (next ielts results date) ...... if not then the score will jump again.

Not necessarily,some IELTS will expire also and not all that take the IELTS are eligible to enter the pool immediately(for peeps without ECA),also not all that enter the pool will have strong points to be within the 400+ range.

Our hopes will not be dashed.

 

[jackbauer]

Hang in there Bros & Hoes,

Its our ITA day today and it will be your day one day sooner if not later.