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Ray of hope 59th draw!

arrayofhope

Hero Member
Jan 14, 2017
296
39
CANADA
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
Ottawa
NOC Code......
5227
App. Filed.......
07-06-2016
AOR Received.
18/05/2017
Med's Request
Upfront
Med's Done....
04-15-2017
nsharma22 said:
Guys, I have a question ..... how much time it usually takes after ITA to get the PR? Pls advise. Thank you!
Once you submit your e-APR , it could take anywhere from 3 weeks to 6 months.
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,621
3,038
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
Shaz1 said:
What are the chances for 426??
If the draw happens next Wednesday, you are surely in.If not, you might have to wait till Draw 60.
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,621
3,038
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
hamiltondreamer said:
Have you predicted draws in the past? How close has it been so that I can where to place this in my heart :D
I have done random guesses previously, this is based on the data shared by CIC. Still, the numbers won't be exact as the number of people entering the pool each week varies..
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,621
3,038
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
arrayofhope said:
How are you able to predict 3700+ ITA's for CRS 435 on April 26?
I used the below data for coming up with my predictions:

From Mar 1 to Mar 24, in 23 days 3749 people got added with 441 and above CRS.
From Mar 29 to Apr 05, in 7 days 1143 people got added with 431and above CRS.
From Mar 24 to Mar 29, in 5 days 683 people got added with 441 and above CRS.
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,621
3,038
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
nsharma22 said:
Guys, I have a question ..... how much time it usually takes after ITA to get the PR? Pls advise. Thank you!
3-6 months is the average time taken after e-APR to receive PPR.
 

tractorinio

Full Member
Apr 5, 2017
38
14
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
Yeah but now we have like tens of thousands applications invited just during the first quarter only, which never was before. Does anybody modelled the possible processing time increase? Hope these increased quantities won't affect CIC performance but still..
 

abhishek_89

Champion Member
Feb 9, 2017
1,621
3,038
Toronto, Canada
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2173
App. Filed.......
26-05-2017
AOR Received.
26-05-2017
Med's Done....
22-05-2017
Passport Req..
24-07-2017
VISA ISSUED...
04-08-2017
LANDED..........
16-03-2018
tractorinio said:
Yeah but now we have like tens of thousands applications invited just during the first quarter only, which never was before. Does anybody modelled the possible processing time increase? Hope these increased quantities won't affect CIC performance but still..
Previously too CIC was processing similar quantity of applications (as they had paper applications pending). So the average processing time is going to be more or less the same.
 

robinsonjoel

Star Member
Jul 3, 2016
138
3
Kuwait
Category........
FSW
Visa Office......
ottawa
NOC Code......
2133
AOR Received.
01-07-2017
Passport Req..
11-01-2018
VISA ISSUED...
15-02-2018
LANDED..........
8-04-2018
Anyone expecting a draw this week? I am not ;D and I think the next will be in April 26th with 3500 +/- ITAs issued. Good luck to all!
 

robb83

Hero Member
Jul 4, 2016
254
19
What if we see 12th and 26th - or another 2 draws this month.

Does anyone think we will be at 420 in 2 draws time?
 

Abby Alex

Star Member
Feb 14, 2017
102
3
robinsonjoel said:
Anyone expecting a draw this week? I am not ;D and I think the next will be in April 26th with 3500 +/- ITAs issued. Good luck to all!
I am not expecting one but hopeing for one this Wednesday.
 

CANCANADA

Star Member
Feb 8, 2015
170
5
India
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
1123
App. Filed.......
20-02-2017
Nomination.....
31-05-2017
AOR Received.
06-08-2017
Med's Done....
27-07-2017
abhishek_89 said:
I used the below data for coming up with my predictions:

From Mar 1 to Mar 24, in 23 days 3749 people got added with 441 and above CRS.
From Mar 29 to Apr 05, in 7 days 1143 people got added with 431and above CRS.
From Mar 24 to Mar 29, in 5 days 683 people got added with 441 and above CRS.
along with the above data it is also imperative to deduce a correlation with the IELTS examination results date to get a fare estimate as to when new candidates are added to the pool.
i think draw dates are more or less synced with IELTS result dates also along with the host of unpredictable IRCC systems and policies
 

Abby Alex

Star Member
Feb 14, 2017
102
3
CANCANADA said:
along with the above data it is also imperative to deduce a correlation with the IELTS examination results date to get a fare estimate as to when new candidates are added to the pool.
i think draw dates are more or less synced with IELTS result dates also along with the host of unpredictable IRCC systems and policies
I have a feeling that we have a lot at applications return into the pool from those who declined the ITA
what do you all think
That is why I believe that we had the extra 1143 applicants got above 431 in one week (29th march to 5th april)
 

manvir.singh.parmar

Star Member
Sep 8, 2016
84
8
Category........
NOC Code......
2132
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
I have been reading that some people are predicting next draw after 3 weeks and giving their prediction and calculations for next cutoff.
Friends, the draw on 1st march was not expected by anyone and then 23 days of lull was also not expected.
Such kind of scenarios have rarely happened in the past and they won't happen anytime soon, at least not before the changes that are gone happen on 6th June.
As per my understanding next few draws would happen after a gap of 2 weeks and the draw of 19th April would be somewhere between 424(
+1,-1) with around 3700+ ITA.
So all who are in this range, please get ready because you are next on this roller coaster ride.... :D