Ray of hope 58th draw?

[Adida]

Add me to the list as well...CRS 438

 

[Maverick28]

Add me to the list as well...CRS 438

Added

 

[SoniM]

me too pls - 432

 

[Abby Alex]

I disagree. I have neither Canadian work experience nor Canadian education and my CRS score is 481!

I bet you don't have a wife also (or spouse) to reduce your points

 

[Abby Alex]

I think the scores will be back and forth between 420-450 throughout the year. And there are broadly two reasons for this:

1). Job offer points going down to 50 and for Managerial Level 200. This has been the biggest reason for low scores. Just see the trend from November 2016 onward.
2). Backlog prior to 2015 is more or less over. I again reiterate, that people getting scores between 400-450 isn't easy. Unless you have Canadian education or Canadian work exp, its extremely impossible to go above 450.

But again, CIC has failed all reasonings that we have ever made

what is the possibility of taking in refugees for this year, will it affect.
last year the ITA issued decreased around the time the refugees were taken.
is that already happening for 2017 or will it start all of a sudden. if so will be we see a drop of 500 ITA aprox on EE

 

[ajkidwai]

what is the possibility of taking in refugees for this year, will it affect.
last year the ITA issued decreased around the time the refugees were taken.
is that already happening for 2017 or will it start all of a sudden. if so will be we see a drop of 500 ITA aprox on EE

Refugees have a different quota this year.

 

[Pawshi]

Last yr they said 50% will come from EE. In 2017 they said majority of them will come from EE means 80-85%. With your analysis 33,782 ITAs issued in 2016 and mind you in 6-7 months from april to october the ITAs were 750 because of refugees so take it into account as well.

So now with no refugees 30% increment in ITAs because of backlog decreased. and 6-7K increase in quota we can assume 50% increase of 33,782 so we can assume approx 50K ITAs this yr.

With so much ITAs come so much decline as lots of people make 2 profiles for husband and wife and decline ITA from 1 account and fake profiles were also set up so if we consider rejection at 20% of ITAs it means approx 60K ITAs will be issued.

Considering no more draws in march the current ITAs stand up to 24,652. It means around 35.5K remaining for 9 months. It means around 2000 ITAs on avg per draw which is still a good number to keep this below 450.

Well, the economic immigrants quota for 2017 is 71700 and PNP is 51000. I have removed 2000 from economic immigrants as Atlantic would be in the figure of 2000.

80% (majority) of 71700 is 57360. 30% of PNP is 15300. So total figure is 57360+15300=72660
From my opinion, you have considered 20% (rejection, decline and duplicate rate). However, this is quite conservative. In one of the videos of David Cohen, he says rejection rate is around 40%. Please also consider some profiles after ITA will have delayed police verification etc. I am considering it to be 30% - average. We have seen in last few draws, many people have declined the invite, as they were in the middle of updating the profile and they received the ITA (March 1 - which was a surprised draw). Then there are many applicants, who applied without spouse. But, after seeing the fall in the score they would like to add the family.

Considering 30% for the same is around 21000.

So total figure becomes 72660+21000= 94400. Lets consider 94000 as the total figure.

Let's put a ratio of 1:1.5 for ITA to family ratio. This is from the perspective that most of the candidates in 450+ are single applicants. Hence, the total ITA becomes 70500.

So for 2017, they need to offer 70500 ITAs. This is around 3000 ITAs per draw for the whole year. (12 months).

 

[Abby Alex]

Sorry what? I am married and my wife will be accompanying me to Canada. In fact, she may be the primary applicant as well

that was meant to be a joke!
hope you don't mind it..


481 with out Canadian work experience is gr8.. congrats...

 

[Shaz1]

Guys i think that next two draws will give a picture of how crs would trend in the coming months..Although this draw saw a rise in crs but then it was almost after 3 weeks gap..We will be able to get a clear picture if next 2 draws happen timely

 

[ajkidwai]

How to insert image...I wanted to insert the breakdown of the Immigrants for 2017

 

[ajkidwai]

I disagree. I have neither Canadian work experience nor Canadian education and my CRS score is 481!

Buddy, we are talking generally here. Age is a big factor here too. My wife is the prime applicant, and that's why we are in the pool else, i would have been below 350.

 

[min1]

in spread sheet mine at 130 is 426 pls change to 436

 

[madhouseontheshore]

I do actually mind it because you seem to be implying that my wife is a 'burden' who is not capable of getting a good IELTS score/education which will therefore bring my points down. Probably reflects your attitude towards women in general though, so can't blame you.

Good luck to you too in your application.

Whoa.. wait a minute. No need to get offended. I think Abby is simply pointing out that even if your wife scores in IELTS better than you and you are claiming her qualification points too, as a married applicant, your points are bound to drop. If a person has a spouse, he will have lesser points than a single candidate with a similar profile whether its the wife or husband bringing down the CRS score.
At least that's my understanding of the points calculation mechanism but I could be wrong.

 

[Maverick28]

I do actually mind it because you seem to be implying that my wife is a 'burden' who is not capable of getting a good IELTS score/education which will therefore bring my points down. Probably reflects your attitude towards women in general though, so can't blame you.

Good luck to you too in your application.

I think you got Abby Alex's statement wrong. He did not mean to offend you. What he meant was that when you apply with your spouse, you tend to get lower scores as compared to an applicant who is single. If you look at the CRS table, the scores are different if you accompany your spouse. For example, the maximum score you can get for language is 136 for a single applicant whereas it is 128 for a person applying with a spouse.

 

[Pawshi]

This is the latest sheet the scores from 57 and 58th thread waiting for ITA.

1 tj4canada 384
2 _Aspirant 396
3 Confused2017 402
4 hexvolt 402
5 Wandering Mind 403
6 andieqngel 408
7 limestone 409
8 Umidjon90 410
9 tiwalope 410
10 Umidjon90 410
11 Chinthu 413
12 CANCANADA 413
13 arunroy007 413
14 rcharmed 414
15 Titanium 414
16 Nkaur45 414
17 rukh1980 415
18 preet14 417
19 robb83 418
20 patN 419
21 Kekaritu 421
22 Mui 421
23 Raorulz 420
24 MChahal 420
25 alizaidi 420
26 phameed 420
27 canedapr 421
28 Kekaritu 421
29 shreme77 421
30 dev2255 422
31 ramansingh05 422
32 Prjains 422
33 romrumrira 423
34 robinsonjoel 424
35 chemEmanju 424
36 khushifairy 424
37 arrayofhope 425
38 BoniM 425
39 dabasg 425
40 AP 425
41 jasontan 426
42 Shaz1 426
43 manvir.singh.parmar 427
44 MRE 427
45 SaintNishant 427
46 RohitL 427
47 ExpatingSinceLong 427
48 ameerbil 428
49 hopesarehigh 428
50 hitesh.mulchandani 428
51 Muhammad 428
52 ajkidwai 428
53 eeprofilehelp 429
54 Abby Alex 429
55 CanadianHopeful! 429
56 DubaitoCanada 429
57 Pushpaacna 429
58 Iampositive 429
59 eeprofilehelp 429
60 Gilljiw 429
61 BenLinus6 429
62 specter_3012 430
63 danilongaray 430
64 karanssharma 430
65 yuanteo 430
66 Manylivesmanymasters 430
67 Tatheer 430
68 CENYC 430
69 pr_ptl 430
70 kodam245 430
71 DHRpat 430
72 Nuff_Love 430
73 rohitagg00777 430
74 ajaysharma 431
75 benzboksas 431
76 Boviesam 431
77 irosha 431
78 vakatendeka 431
79 omarimam 431
80 Tamie_British 431
81 ILoveBritishColumbia 431
82 farhanyou123 431
83 Kandy27792 431
84 agta 431
85 rishu006 431
86 Renguski 431
87 kamiar 431
88 Venera 431
89 GajanSoorian 432
90 the_nick24 432
91 Jemin 432
92 Positive+ 432
93 Smclaren 432
94 Jammie418 432
95 Zehra 432
96 ajphoenix 432
97 J_Z 432
98 hawk1301 432
99 SoniM 432
100 happysheriff 432
101 sidpune 433
102 Dave2017 433
103 Tee_man 433
104 thepilot 433
105 SianT 433
106 anirr 433
107 mihirparker 433
108 kamenashi 433
109 Nik2408 433
110 javisam376 433
111 smarreco 433
112 canade 433
113 thepilot 433
114 DelhiGuy427 433
115 paulerdos1729 433
116 Tinka 434
117 PAVANVARMA 434
118 prvisit 434
119 newuser86 434
120 MANISH89 434
121 J Atushi 434
122 ramneek_singh 435
123 Jack Ma 435
124 gzing 435
125 ganny18 435
126 pompeii 435
127 kutt4n 435
128 Dottie321 435
129 smanalik 436
130 min1 436
131 sokaur 436
132 MattyTj 437
133 heynow 437
134 nthom 437
135 gurvinder525 437
136 Jerry0416 437
137 swammingo 437
138 Jerry0416 437
139 shrinivaskk 438
140 uadiele89 438
141 uch_ad 438
142 3idiots 438
143 Adida 438
144 ACanada 438
145 JabNas 438
146 alexwx 439
147 Iprabhjot 439
148 10leanne86 439
149 Lamborg 439
150 prachi.j 439
151 alex 439
152 grapehair 440
153 foreversukhdeep 440
154 jfril 440
155 lambhoney 451
156 kkamel 453
157 wannabecanuck89 456
158 Alii2017 456
159 Maverick28 456
160 elzsb 457
161 madhouseontheshore 463
162 sandeepn 467