Ray of hope 58th draw?

[nthom]

I know I am sounding like a whiny baby, but I guess being 36 years old is a dilemma as I have lost a whole 40 points (my current crs points are 437). I get the focus on age, because the older you are the less number of years you have to contribute to the economy. But, here is another way to look at it. I am 36, with a 14 year career, which means that I will enter the market with presumable more skills, more experience and a higher salary - which means higher taxes. I also have more money saved up, and is far better off stability wise than say 10 years ago...Yet my age is used as a disadvantage...I could understand if I am five years away from retirement...sucks so badly...ok end of whining.... ;D ;D ;D

 

[zxymark]

Ministerial Instructions respecting invitations to apply for permanent residence under the Express Entry system #57 – March 24, 2017The Minister of Citizenship and Immigration, pursuant to section 10.3 of the Immigration and Refugee Protection Act, gives the annexed Ministerial Instructions Respecting Invitations to Apply for Permanent Residence under the Express Entry System (March 24, 2017).
Ottawa, March 24, 2017

Ahmed D. Hussen
Minister of Citizenship and Immigration

Ministerial Instructions respecting invitations to apply for permanent residence under the Express Entry system (March 24, 2017)Determination — number of invitations1. (1) For the purposes of paragraph 10.2(1)(b) of the Immigration and Refugee Protection Act, the number of invitations that may be issued during the period beginning on March 24, 2017 and ending on March 25, 2017 is 3,749.
Required rank(2) Foreign nationals who, on March 24, 2017 at 12:38:04 UTC, have been assigned a total of 441 points or more under the Comprehensive Ranking System that is set out in the Ministerial Instructions Respecting the Express Entry System, as published in the Canada Gazette, Part I, on December 1, 2014 and as amended from time to time, occupy the rank required to be invited to make an application for permanent residence.

 

[cmoncanada]

440 points.

 

[fatani]

My optimistic predictions

Draw 58 on 29th March CRS 434 with around 3800 ITAs

Draw 59 on 5th April CRS 428 with around 3800 ITAs

Draw 60 on 19th April CRS 425 with 3500 ITAs

Then it will fluctuate between 425-450.

 

[cmoncanada]

My optimistic predictions

Draw 58 on 29th March CRS 434 with around 3800 ITAs

Draw 59 on 5th April CRS 428 with around 3800 ITAs

Draw 60 on 19th April CRS 425 with 3500 ITAs

Then it will fluctuate between 425-450.

I believe fluctuations will be in 435-445... falling below 430 might not happen...

 

[_Aspirant]

subscribing...

 

[grapehair]

So in a span of 23 days, there were 3,749 new profiles added. That's 163 profiles per day, with a score of 441 or higher. If the trend continues but with only 14 days of interval in between the draws and about 3500+ invites , I predict 2,282 profiles with 441 and higher, and another 1500 profiles at 440 or less. Which will mean the cut off to be about at 435-437.


Please give your suggestions

 

[kryt0n]

It's possible that there has been pr fever these last 2 months. Lost of people who didn't think they had a chance have joined.

 

[Boni M]

430/3800+

 

[Kekaritu]

What do you guys think, is there any chance to get through FSW with CRS 421?
I was feeling quite optimistic until the current draw. The rise is disappointing :-X

 

[MattyTj]

Hey guys! It does feel like a punch to the gut when you have your hopes high and things don't come through. Trust me, I know the feeling!

But, I will choose to remain positive. I understand we all have different point levels. While I feel a little down right now, I'm going to pick myself up and wait for the next draw! As long as they don't wait 3 1/2 weeks to do it, I think good things will come to a lot of us! A lot of PNPs went out over the gap for the last draw.

Let's stay positive! Ray of hope! My heart wants next week but my mind says April 5th. My crazy side say March 29th

 

[grapehair]

Also, we now have a little idea of why CIC was waiting. They don't want the CRS to keep spiraling down. By extending the draw interval by a week, they were able to meet their target ITAs without a significant drop in CRS

 

[nthom]

I believe fluctuations will be in 435-445... falling below 430 might not happen...

That might be true, but falling below 450 was unheard of last year...Seems like they plan to make more changes to the point structure to include those that will be truly able to sustain themselves, so you never really know...

One thing I notice with their last change of changing job offer from 600 points to 50 points is that there is still a loop hole to getting 600 points with a job offer. Many PNP's require job offer, so if you get a job offer and its not enough to give you enough points all you need is to apply for a PNP from that province. If CIC decides to correct this loop hole then its possible the scores will adjust further...

I am 36 years old with 3 science degrees, a well documented work history...living in the US with provable stability both job wise, financial wise, credit wise and everything else, yet I am scrambling, barely scraping at the bottom of the crs scores that they invite (437)....Honestly not to be biased but everyone I speak to (family and friends) assumes it should be too easy for me to move to Canada, only Canada point system thinks I am not that great...

 

[MattyTj]

I know I am sounding like a whiny baby, but I guess being 36 years old is a dilemma as I have lost a whole 40 points (my current crs points are 437). I get the focus on age, because the older you are the less number of years you have to contribute to the economy. But, here is another way to look at it. I am 36, with a 14 year career, which means that I will enter the market with presumable more skills, more experience and a higher salary - which means higher taxes. I also have more money saved up, and is far better off stability wise than say 10 years ago...Yet my age is used as a disadvantage...I could understand if I am five years away from retirement...sucks so badly...ok end of whining.... ;D ;D ;D

I do wish points didn't start dropping until after 35 instead of 30. On the FSW eligibility scale of 100, your age doesn't start hurting you until 36. Maybe this is a change that will happen this year with regard to figuring points. I am in a similar scenario to you (age, experience, language, and education) and it does sting a little that my current age hurts me so much. I have at least 25 working years left in me! Best of luck and stay positive!

 

[MattyTj]

Also, we now have a little idea of why CIC was waiting. They don't want the CRS to keep spiraling down. By extending the draw interval by a week, they were able to meet their target ITAs without a significant drop in CRS

You were the first one I thought of when I saw the cut off was 441. I'm so sorry we both missed it. Let's pray for 58!