Ray of hope 58th draw?

[specter_3012]

Think they wanted to clear off all people with higher ITA'S. Now once they are cleared they will focus on 420's to 430.

 

[Srushti]

Good news is lot of Backlogs for the previous years have been cleared.
Hence, ITAs will continue to be 3500+ for the coming months.
Source: One of the known immigration lawyers.

 

[omar_ahmed21]

Good news is lot of Backlogs for the previous years have been cleared.
Hence, ITAs will continue to be 3500+ for the coming months.
Source: One of the known immigration lawyers.

Old news but still positive ;D

 

[romrumrira]

Let keep our heads high

Meanwhile, I plan to apply oinp soon ;D

 

[andieangel]

Yes it's a long way, but with hope and faith we can achieve our goal.... Canada

Optimism is the way to go!

Like your saying in the signature!

 

[ajaysharma]

I don't doubt this, but I'm curious what your source is. Based on the 2015 report, I would have guessed more like 200-300. Can you give more information?

I based this assumption using figures from Feb-end and March 1 draws. In one week, points dropped from 441 to 434 with 3800 ITAs.

This works out to 500 people per point if we assume 300 new applicants came in the pool that week with over 441 points.

Since today's draw saw a huge influx of people above 441 points, I just calculated 600-900 people per point rather than 500 per point. Maybe 900 is a stretch, but 600 people per point below 434 is reasonable I believe.

 

[TianCNCA]

Has anyone received the ITA in their CIC account? I created my EE profile on Mar 1 and my score is 500+, but I don't see an ITA in my account? Anyone in the same situation?

 

[ajaysharma]

There is no way we can guess how many applicants at what scores. His score is 431. That is why he mentioned till 432 :'(

You are right. Mine is just a guess. I mentioned up to 432 because I believe, everyone 433 and above will receive an ITA on April 5. I believe you will get an ITA too. Again, it's just a guess.

As for me, I believe I may get an ITA on April 19 if they have two consecutive draws at 3,500+ ITAs. Also, additional variables like PNPs and IELTS not making a major dent.

 

[nthom]

Has anyone received the ITA in their CIC account? I created my EE profile on Mar 1 and my score is 500+, but I don't see an ITA in my account? Anyone in the same situation?

Most people here don't have an ITA, so its best to post in the main forum.

 

[grapehair]

What are the chances that CRS actually climbs up further more?

 

[kryt0n]

What are the chances that CRS actually climbs up further more?

About the same as it dropping.

 

[Alexios07]

About the same as it dropping.

lol, one double double ready for ms.kryt0n

 

[kryt0n]

lol, one double double ready for ms.kryt0n

Yes! I need that Thank you!

 

[grapehair]

Thank God for that 57th draw. Had it gone a little more into the next week, the score surely would've went further north!

 

[tj4canada]

I based this assumption using figures from Feb-end and March 1 draws. In one week, points dropped from 441 to 434 with 3800 ITAs.

This works out to 500 people per point if we assume 300 new applicants came in the pool that week with over 441 points.

Since today's draw saw a huge influx of people above 441 points, I just calculated 600-900 people per point rather than 500 per point. Maybe 900 is a stretch, but 600 people per point below 434 is reasonable I believe.

Ok, I see where you got it. I have assumed that at least half of the ITAs go new entrants above the old cutoff, with many fewer available to the lower numbers. But your guess is probably more informed than mine.

What I also see is that if the numbers I was using were correct at the end of 2015, and very, very few have been removed from the lower numbers through nomination, job offer, or IELTS increase, it might be quite reasonable to assume those numbers have doubled at a minimum.

It's mostly academic for me, as I am too old without canadian ties. But I'm working to increase points where I can.