RAY of HOPE 54th Draw (Predictions)
- Thread starter Ascent
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KingKurly said:The fact that this thread is not stretching as quickly as the RAY of HOPE 53rd Draw did is a good indication for things to come. Most of the 450's and 460's are cleared. And most importantly this fact aligns with the podcast i watched yesterday evening from 2 RCIC certified consultant which was immediately posted online after Nov 19 changes.
One of the two consultants, the predictions she made with so much confidence, has been the case so far. And if the 54th draw breaks the goddamn benchmark of 450, then it is good news. In her prediction, the consultant said, by the end of 2nd and 3rd quarter of 2017, the norm will be 425-430. And by the end of this year, cut-off score can get up to 390. So far her predictions has been in line with draws so far. She even predicted that the first few rounds after Nov 19 changes CIC will clear up the 460 - 470 candidates and with that there will so much less candidates, 450 cut-off will be breached. Only the next draw will tell us how correct her prediction is. She made her predictions with 2000 ITA's per draw, however we are seeing ITAs' in excess of 3000. The reason she gave was since CIC is so far behind with reaching its target, cut-offs will have go down to accommodate target quota of 70K + via EE and also now the paper applications from the past has been almost all gone. There aren't new candidates with high north of 400s' enough to accumulate 2000 ITAs' in 2 weeks.
FST has been highly affected. Old bulls were going through with the help of LMIA's. Now there chance is next to 0. Their core human capital will stand around 250 and even with LMIA's they can get up to around 300. They don't even have high school diplomas forget about CBL 7 or 8. One of the consultant said before Nov 19, she was only creating EE profile if the client had LMIA. Poor cow cos she only deals with FST clients. Those consultants are suggesting their existing clients with FST, don't even bother with LMIA anymore. In fact, one of the consultant was withdrawing LMIA even after paying for it. Listening to those old cows in the 50 minutes podcast was not pleasurable until the last 5 minutesHence guys, good things are on the way! Wednesday is going to be of significant relevance for her predictions. So far so good
Cheers.
Nice post mate. Some of the seniors and old timers of the forum have been predicting a similar direction for the CRS but with caution. I wish this draw breaks are predictions and myths. I wish all the people who are waiting for an ITA purely on human capital may recieve it soon
Cheers myMan! Also this is the Ray of Logic and Common sense, I like it, there are no trolls because no material to feed the negativity anymore!jackdawn said:
453 can't be new lowest from any possible angle even if the international student got extra points bcz of the number of invitations, immigration targets and the high skilled immigrants Canada need to boom the economy. Moreover international students cant be the only focal point for economic growth let alone the reason for keeping the cut-off at 453.cecfile said:
@KingKurly
Thanks man! I much appreciate your best wish. And all the very best to you too.
Thank you
But I am not a man 
I think points may go higher later in 2017 when students start getting degrees. However, for next 3 months or so, points will go down. How much down is not clear, however my prediction is to go down till ~435.cecfile said:
International Students ain't the only focal point but its is one of the biggest focal point for them. The uni's are literally running because of the fee's they are getting out of the students. Plus Young folks getting canadian degrees or diplomas working here paying taxes this is the kind of population they will need in the coming few years..Ascent said:453 can't be new lowest from any possible angle even if the international student got extra points bcz of the number of invitations, immigration targets and the high skilled immigrants Canada need to boom the economy. Moreover international students cant be the only focal point for economic growth let alone the reason for keeping the cut-off at 453.
@KingKurly
Thanks man! I much appreciate your best wish. And all the very best to you too.
Thank you
This government is far more pro immigration compared to harper government. I hope they breach the score of 450 and go as low as 400 over time
I am not undermining the importance of student immigrants to Canada but this is not the all season available resource for invitation in the pool. Also looking at the fact that in future Canada want to increase number of immigrants entering in Canada. So I believe there is a chance that the cut-off may touch below 400. Moreover this increase number of invitation is a clear indication of downward trend, for time being let c where this trend take us.Rajveer said:
Overall, it looks positive. We are all hoping for decline in CRS till high level of human capital. However, not sure what type of effect US immigration will have on canadian immigration in next three to six months to a year.
it seems unlikely that scores will fall around 400, there would be several thousand people between 400-450 category which will not be easy to flush out... (since score has never fallen below 450)Ascent said:
will be interesting to see how things go from here...
Time for some confidence boosting posts friends. Two days left for the day. This is a crucial draw which breaks the barriers.
My take is 447 CRS or even less and 2.5-3k ITA's
If it goes down in this draw it will go down further in the coming draws
My take is 447 CRS or even less and 2.5-3k ITA's
If it goes down in this draw it will go down further in the coming draws
So nervous. The last time that score was 450 was October 2015, which was ~14 months ago... but I do think there's a fairly good chance that CRS will be 448.
