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astralsource said:
we thought so also for the 470 and 460 and 450 and look at this, this is sooo much less than we expected

There is not so many people and it is not certainly impossible. This trend shows it.

Exactly 100%
 
I am hoping one of our numbers people will figure out the average number of people per point. Just roughly if we look at today's drop, Average of 370 per point. Has someone already done this for previous draws to get a better rough idea what the population of each point might be?
 
Pippin said:
I am hoping one of our numbers people will figure out the average number of people per point. Just roughly if we look at today's drop, Average of 370 per point. Has someone already done this for previous draws to get a better rough idea what the population of each point might be?

It's all just predictions
370 per point is not an accurate measurement
We are still waiting for 2016 end of year report for the big picture
 
Pippin said:
I am hoping one of our numbers people will figure out the average number of people per point. Just roughly if we look at today's drop, Average of 370 per point. Has someone already done this for previous draws to get a better rough idea what the population of each point might be?

Considering the old data there is around 300 candidates per point yes. Roughly.

https://c.ymcdn.com/sites/www.cerc.ca/resource/resmgr/government_relations/Express_entry_national_stake.pdf
 
I belong to this episode of RAY of Hope. ;D

I wish next draw will be 450 because I'm at 451
 
Let's keep the hope alive! 450 with 3,000 ITAs!
 
Guys when do u think the next draw is?
 
Aal_ said:
Guys when do u think the next draw is?

Jan 18 for the continuous hype :P
 
Well this is the first time I am ever going to write a post in a Ray of Hope thread and I sure am hopeful this time. I am sitting at 456 since June and I am just gonna pray for the next 15 days straight ;).
If they stick with above 2.5k invites, I am guessing a drop of 6-7 points at least. So, I guess it just might be 452 or 453 points the next time.
 
At this point noone knows what will happen next. Cutoff scores have dropped from 497 to 459 since Dec 16th, that's less than a month. Anything is possible at this point.
 
Looking at last year's trend and the dates of draws, here is my prediction for the next draw:


Draw Date 2016 Draw date 2017 Day Score (2017)

January 6th 2016 January 4th 2017 Wednesday 468

January 13th 2016 January 11th 2017 Wednesday 459

January 27th 2016 January 25th 2017 Wednesday 450-455
 
Jameszhaoh said:
I belong to this episode of RAY of Hope. ;D

I wish next draw will be 450 because I'm at 451
let's hope for the best I am sitting at 458 :)
 
I am very hopeful it will go down further because graduation/school completion is by May (well atleast for me, post grad) so maybe in the coming weeks, it will just depend on people completing a minimum of 1 year Canadian skilled job experience and provincial nominations?