Remember that some cec are just people who worked in Canada on a working holiday visa, without studying. So that adds some lower scores. But it will definitely start to run low on cec at some point. I was surprised it dropped 7 points todayreposting this from previous thread
I think CEC draws may run out of candidates in a few more CEC only draws. My logic is
- Most CEC candidates are likely to have more than 433 on CRS score. Most international students in Canada are masters students and are in their 20s and likely to have IELTS score of more than 6. They should have a minimum of 1 year Canadian work experience to be eligible as CEC candidates. Even If they don’t have any foreign experience they will be at 433.
- CEC candidates make up only a small percentage of express entry pool, approx 15%(https://wenr.wes.org/2019/01/canada...nt-pool-and-behavior-after-its-implementation). Another proof for this is that there were more FSW candidates left behind in the score range that CEC candidates were picked up in the recent CEC only draws.
- Cut of crs score decreased 27 points from 467 to 440 in six draws. So, if they continue CEC draws, the score will drop to 433 in one or two more draws and after that there might be very few CEC candidates.
So, below 433, IRCC will either switch to general draws or stop the draws all together till the pandemic subsides in all the countries.
What do you all think?