Ray of Hope - 136th Draw

[zee90999]

I also do believe last draw was good news even with the tie breaking rule. Also, there will need to have more draws this year because of their goal (so, in my opinion, there's a high chance of a draw next week)

Unless there’s a back to back draw I don’t look at it as a good news to be honest. Imagine there are many who’re still in the pool with a score of 471+ who have entered the pool on or after May 9 2019. Moreover 4000+ people have entered the pool with a CRS of 450+ after Jan 8 2020. The number of people with a CRS of 600+ is only going up with each draw.

 

[Sheryar]

I entered the Pool on 20th December 2019 with 445 points, this month January 2020 my points are 470 because of two years of work experience in Canada.
My post graduate Work Permit is expiring 18th March 2020.

What do you guys suggest?

My celpip score is
L- 10
R- 10
W - 10
S- 7

I have achieved this score on 4th attempt.

should I wait for couple of more draws or give celpip again right away?
What if I can’t increase the celpip/ielts score?
I am already working for an Accounting firm.
What are my other options to stay here ? Or should i be ready to leave the country?

 

[eld43]

since the last draw around 1000 people added to the score above 473
from 451 -470 almost 16000 people are there if there is b2b draw on next Wednesday the score may even drop to 464 (as long as we don't know the distribution of 16000 people between 451- 470) and this is the reason no one is predicting the score hope for the best cheers mates. I would say there is a chance above 460 till FST on may.

451-460 -10000
461-470 -6000
471-600 - 800 I am assuming(based on reasonable calculation) this is the distribution on 29 let see what happens

 

[thephdguy]

I entered the Pool on 20th December 2019 with 445 points, this month January 2020 my points are 470 because of two years of work experience in Canada.
My post graduate Work Permit is expiring 18th March 2020.

What do you guys suggest?

My celpip score is
L- 10
R- 10
W - 10
S- 7

I have achieved this score on 4th attempt.

should I wait for couple of more draws or give celpip again right away?
What if I can’t increase the celpip/ielts score?
I am already working for an Accounting firm.
What are my other options to stay here ? Or should i be ready to leave the country?

It doesn't hurt to try to get a better score. You can wait for a few more draws, I think 470 is a good score. Just think about it this way, if you get a higher score on your exam you will receive ITA 100%. But, obviously, that requires a lot of studying and preparation on your part. You can start studying now and wait for a few weeks to see if you get ITA. Good luck!

 

[abbieh]

Unless there’s a back to back draw I don’t look at it as a good news to be honest. Imagine there are many who’re still in the pool with a score of 471+ who have entered the pool on or after May 9 2019. Moreover 4000+ people have entered the pool with a CRS of 450+ after Jan 8 2020. The number of people with a CRS of 600+ is only going up with each draw.

But your score is 470 if I am correct. You should be hopeful, who knows the next draw (Feb 5) might drop to 469

 

[Cookie13]

I entered the Pool on 20th December 2019 with 445 points, this month January 2020 my points are 470 because of two years of work experience in Canada.
My post graduate Work Permit is expiring 18th March 2020.

What do you guys suggest?

My celpip score is
L- 10
R- 10
W - 10
S- 7

I have achieved this score on 4th attempt.

should I wait for couple of more draws or give celpip again right away?
What if I can’t increase the celpip/ielts score?
I am already working for an Accounting firm.
What are my other options to stay here ? Or should i be ready to leave the country?

You Should be fine. it should definitely reach 469/470 on the next draw. If its a B2B then its a near guarantee to reach 470!

Study for the exam just in case something wild happens but I wouldn't rush to resit the exam this week or anything.

 

[Sheryar]

It doesn't hurt to try to get a better score. You can wait for a few more draws, I think 470 is a good score. Just think about it this way, if you get a higher score on your exam you will receive ITA 100%. But, obviously, that requires a lot of studying and preparation on your part. You can start studying now and wait for a few weeks to see if you get ITA. Good luck!

Thats the thing, i have already achieved max score in LRW , the only thing I can improve is speaking but I have already given it 4 times and i am scared that I wouldn’t do that good in writing again.
But I wouldn’t have any other option if I don’t get ITA in the next 1-2 draws.

 

[zee90999]

But your score is 470 if I am correct. You should be hopeful, who knows the next draw (Feb 5) might drop to 469

You’re right. A score once appreciated is on the borderline. Moreover I created my profile only in Jan 2020. I’m just worried that the tie breaker may kill the opportunity (I hope not)

 

[Sheryar]

You Should be fine. it should definitely reach 469/470 on the next draw. If its a B2B then its a near guarantee to reach 470!

Study for the exam just in case something wild happens but I wouldn't rush to resit the exam this week or anything.

You Should be fine. it should definitely reach 469/470 on the next draw. If its a B2B then its a near guarantee to reach 470!

Study for the exam just in case something wild happens but I wouldn't rush to resit the exam this week or anything.

That’s exactly what I am hoping!

This system is so unfair for the people who came here to do bachelor’s degree, they should give more points to the people who study here for 4 years! I spent $150K in fees and expenses and now even have a job for the last 2 years, but still have to leave the country if score doesn’t come down.

 

[immonger]

Quick and probably a dumb question: How does one know If they were invited to apply under FSW or CEC program?

Edit: My bad. They already mention the program in the downloadable pdf.

 

[zee90999]

Predictions for next draw:
If a back to back draw happens, then next draw can be anytime next week. Expected CRS cut-off: 465 - 467
If the draw is at its regular interval it’ll be on February 5 2020. Expected CRS cut-off: 468 / 469

Hope for the best.

Good luck!

 

[YiHello]

I’m here again

Same here. Lol

 

[eld43]

Quick and probably a dumb question: How does one know If they were invited to apply under FSW or CEC program?

Technically both are same, classification based on the funds I guess, CEC doesn't needs to show funds

 

[MABZ]

Predictions for next draw:
If a back to back draw happens, then next draw can be anytime next week. Expected CRS cut-off: 465 - 467
If the draw is at its regular interval it’ll be on February 5 2020. Expected CRS cut-off: 468 / 469

Hope for the best.

Good luck!

my prediction is 1 point extra on all the numbers in yours

 

[Dr Seun]

Predictions for next draw:
If a back to back draw happens, then next draw can be anytime next week. Expected CRS cut-off: 465 - 467
If the draw is at its regular interval it’ll be on February 5 2020. Expected CRS cut-off: 468 / 469

Hope for the best.

Good luck!

467 here, I pray this happens