Ray of Hope - 134th Draw

[Vazi]

I reckon its 470 should there be a draw today.

 

[Ramsha Bukhari]

This algorithm is proposed by one of our friends in this group earlier.Can't find her to tag here.
i just populated the values for this draw and predictions come out to be 475.In the worst case if we have around 1200 people above the scores of 600 which is highly unlikely.Also, the draw size here is kept to be 3200 which is also unlikely.


Hence, the worst case for Jan 8th is 475.


After 19 Dec draw with 3,200 ITA issued and the cut off 469, the score distribution will be approximately:
601-1,200 = 0
451-600 =15,917


Note: As cut off was 469, it means that the 15,917, profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-469 only.

looking at the number 0f people joining the pool between the last two draws

So, by 8th January, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:

601-1,200=1760(88x20days)
451-600=14,860(15,917+9300(465x20days)


Suppose that from the newly added 9300 profile all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 9300/31=300 profile/score

With 3,200 ITAs the cut off will be approximately 474-475
3,200 minus:
-1200 (601-1200)
-300 (of 481-600 newly added score)
-300 (of 480 newly added score)
-300 (of 479 newly added score)
-300 (of 478 newly added score)
-300 (of 477 newly added score)
-300 (of 476 newly added score)
-300 (of 475 newly added score)
-300 (of 474 newly added score)
-300 (of 473 newly added score)
-300 (of 472 newly added score)
-300 (of 471 newly added score)
-300 (of 470 newly added score)
-300+500(of last draw) (of 469 newly added score)

 

[ozzyess]

Do they always issue 3200 ITAs? Or does it increase in some draws?
That the scores drop depends heavily on this..

 

[Ramsha Bukhari]

Do they always issue 3200 ITAs? Or does it increase in some draws?
That the scores drop depends heavily on this..

i think draw size isn't predictable for sure but it keeps on varying between the range of 3200-3900.

 

[aonanuga002]

i think draw size isn't predictable for sure but it keeps on varying between the range of 3200-3900.

I think the first draw of the year will be 3900.

 

[sagar0321]

This algorithm is proposed by one of our friends in this group earlier.Can't find her to tag here.
i just populated the values for this draw and predictions come out to be 475.In the worst case if we have around 1200 people above the scores of 600 which is highly unlikely.Also, the draw size here is kept to be 3200 which is also unlikely.


Hence, the worst case for Jan 8th is 475.


After 19 Dec draw with 3,200 ITA issued and the cut off 469, the score distribution will be approximately:
601-1,200 = 0
451-600 =15,917


Note: As cut off was 469, it means that the 15,917, profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-469 only.

looking at the number 0f people joining the pool between the last two draws

So, by 8th January, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:

601-1,200=1760(88x20days)
451-600=14,860(15,917+9300(465x20days)


Suppose that from the newly added 9300 profile all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 9300/31=300 profile/score

With 3,200 ITAs the cut off will be approximately 474-475
3,200 minus:
-1200 (601-1200)
-300 (of 481-600 newly added score)
-300 (of 480 newly added score)
-300 (of 479 newly added score)
-300 (of 478 newly added score)
-300 (of 477 newly added score)
-300 (of 476 newly added score)
-300 (of 475 newly added score)
-300 (of 474 newly added score)
-300 (of 473 newly added score)
-300 (of 472 newly added score)
-300 (of 471 newly added score)
-300 (of 470 newly added score)
-300+500(of last draw) (of 469 newly added score)

@Dheana90 - She made this algorithm for predictions. @Dheana90 could you please provide your new predictions for the upcoming draws based on current trends.

 

[sagar0321]

I don't think anybody is maintaining the tracker.Let me start one, and then we can add.

Latest Internal CRS Tracker:

600+ (Total:1) -> anasalee(976)
475+ (Total:1) -> harismranjot(478)
470+ (Total: 2) -> Nuzhat Ali (473) | ravneet09 (470)| abbieh (471)
465+ (Total :2) -> Vazi(465) | Amrit1234(468)
451-465 (Total: 2) -> satnamsingh2k3(465) | chemistesa(459)

Plz add me at 465

 

[aonanuga002]

466

 

[ravi1212]

467

 

[Daksh1]

455

 

[optimaxx]

Sorry if this message is long. The website is very confusing at explaining valid job offer and LMIA-exempt qualifications.

I have a working holiday open work permit (no employer specified) valid till May 2020. I started working in Jun 2019 and am still employed at the same employer for NOC category B. My employer agreed it is a permanent position and is willing to provide me an employment verification. Do I qualify for the 50 points?

If you want to claim a score with a job offer then you first need the employer offering you a job to provide an LMIA. However, there are also LMIA exempt jobs:

https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/services/immigrate-canada/express-entry/documents/offer-employment/lmia-exempt.html

 

[NivedhithaCibi]

Number of
family members Funds required
(in Canadian dollars)
1 $12,960
2 $16,135
3 $19,836
4 $24,083
5 $27,315
6 $30,806
7 $34,299
For each additional family member $3,492

New funds required issued by cic

I got ITA but the funds I said I Would be bringing were $16,000 . Does anyone know if i can update it now Thanks !

 

[Rohanisha]

Latest Internal CRS Tracker:

600+ (Total:1) -> anasalee(976)
475+ (Total:1) -> harismranjot(478)
470+ (Total: 4) -> Nuzhat Ali (473) | ravneet09 (470)| abbieh (471) | haris_rasheed (474)
465+ (Total :9) -> satnamsingh2k3(465) | Vazi(465) | Amrit1234(468) | Lazybug( 467) 1\ Rangana (468) | KK_the_great (466) | Dr seun (467) | prateek2108 (465) | caddie (466)
451-465 (Total: 8) -> chemistesa(459)| aj534160 (460)| Gurjit13 (464) | canadavisaLanka2019 (463) | bhupifromdelhi (463) | Harsh (462) | Sidh_joy (456) | ozzyess (462)

Add me at 455

 

[Ilyushin76]

Add me at 455

Start looking for other options.

 

[saezien]

It looks like there won't be a draw today