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Ray of Hope - 134th Draw

S

SAMSAG6116

Full Member
Sep 1, 2015
45
34
My crs score will be 474 in February.. do you think I stand any chance? Because my pgwp is going to expire soon..
 
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prateek2108

Full Member
Dec 24, 2018
25
9
Wrath said:
Trust me dont believe these people saying score is gonna come down in 2 or 3 weeks. That's the exact mistake I did in past and look at me now at 468 no ita yet. And always remember cut off will creep up it will never come down unless b2b.
Click to expand...

Yeah even if only 3200 ITAs were issued still it came down only by 3 points. Moreover, the 451+ bracket is invrwasinc day by day roughly 300+ getting added everyday with 451+ crs
 
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Landrover88

Full Member
Feb 23, 2019
35
8
I am pretty sure that CRS will fall in the coming weeks. Even to 460's, Here's why.
If you see the trend, CRS has increased because of higher candidates within 451-600. Even to that, almost 2500 were adding to this on a weekly basis. But within the draw of 11th Dec to 19th Dec, only 300 have added to this list.
So going by the theory of back to back draws in Jan, it will fall even if it rises in Jan 8th draw.
 
Z

Zara-sh

Member
Nov 27, 2019
13
6
Landrover88 said:
I am pretty sure that CRS will fall in the coming weeks. Even to 460's, Here's why.
If you see the trend, CRS has increased because of higher candidates within 451-600. Even to that, almost 2500 were adding to this on a weekly basis. But within the draw of 11th Dec to 19th Dec, only 300 have added to this list.
So going by the theory of back to back draws in Jan, it will fall even if it rises in Jan 8th draw.
Click to expand...
More than 300 candidates have been added during this period . Don’t forget that before the 11th of December draw there where almost 15,900 people in the pool , and after the draw which included almost 3000 of them, the number of candidates where almost 16,200 (prior to this draw). That means more than 3000 people have joined the pool during this period.
 
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Landrover88

Full Member
Feb 23, 2019
35
8
Zara-sh said:
More than 300 candidates have been added during this period . Don’t forget that before the 11th of December draw there where almost 15,900 people in the pool , and after the draw which included almost 3000 of them, the number of candidates where almost 16,200 (prior to this draw). That means more than 3000 people have joined the pool during this period.
Click to expand...
Yes. But I'm pretty sure that the draw number is "before" the ITA's being given. In other words, 3200 candidates are reduced from 16000 once the ITA's are given.
Secondly, and the bigger factor is that instead of 1250 people (2500 every 2 weeks), only 300 have been added since last 1 week. So that is a good sign for CRS to drop in future. Considering that this number was really high since October.
 
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Lazybug

Star Member
May 1, 2019
148
124
canbnd said:
I believe the next draw will be sometime in January and the score would be:

495 - 3200
493 - 3600
490 - 3900
Click to expand...
I dont think that's likely. Even if there are more PNP candidates, the score could be 600+ cut off. But 490s is not a common score. Its either less than 480s or more than 600. Lets hope its less than 480s.
 
U

Ujaved21

Full Member
Nov 22, 2019
23
7
I dont think number of new applications will increase massively as WES and other agencies will also be closed for the festive period. But I do think the cut off will be 470+.

Hoping it comes down to 464 before july 2020
 
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