In October 2019, many folks had back and forth discussions on the ROH threads.. The Topic was, most of guys felt that Nov and Dec will have 5 draws in total.
Very few guys agreed to my prediction. I said it's a 50-50 chance we might have 4 draws or we might have 3 draws in last couple of months.
Please understand the below facts -
1)IQAS has stopped intake for fresh ECA's for 6 months until June 2020.
2) Try calling WES or CES, the call wait times are now just unreal, plus their turnaround times are just falling apart.
3) Visit the post June AOR threads on this forum or check some trackers on other websites, there is a clear indication that the turnaround times for PR processing is increasing in 85% plus cases, it's just the 15% of the cases which are getting approved very fast under 3 months.
4) Compare the pool size and carefully notice the total number of candidates in the last 10 months.
All the above points are proving just the same thing. It's getting too crowded now, IRCC will not miss any chance to miss a FSW draw be it because they can squeeze a FST draw in between or owe it because of a series of public holidays.
In Aug 2019 during a radio station interview in Surrey B C the EX immigration minister said very clearly " Express entry draws are like a competition, whoever can outshine the others in pool, they are always welcome".. when I heard this quote from that interview, it was clear.. they have no vision to keep the scores in such a range in which CEC or international students are not impacted..
I would request everyone to be very cautious and always keep a buffer going forward with the predictions. The new immigration minister could be the only Ray of hope, if incase he wishes to make some tweaks which at the moment looks like a very slim chance.
Enjoy the last month of the year everyone!! Cheers!!