Ray of Hope - 130th Draw

[Dr Seun]

It really depends on the simplicity of your profile and how straightforward it is to verify. My processing time was 3 months whereas there are still people from my AOR date, which is more than a year now, waiting to complete security.

How simple? How do you mean?

 

[PrasadK]

It really depends on the simplicity of your profile and how straightforward it is to verify. My processing time was 3 months whereas there are still people from my AOR date, which is more than a year now, waiting to complete security.

What I think it depends on is luck and the visa office/officer. I spent months trying to devise patterns to reason how IRCC must work behind the scenes, yet there are single applicants with a single job accompanied by a clean reference letter and no travel history, that are taking longer than me. There are applicants 8-10 months in, that don't have their eligibility in review or security being screened, but the officer is yet to start processing their application.. On the other hand, there are those with your experience. It's all luck of the draw.

What's the probability that Ahmed Hussen will be retained in the post when a new government is formed by November 20th? Because that also determines if the second November draw will take place

Ahmed Hussen is still the minster.. not sure if anything changes in that regard or how it may or may not affect any future draws

 

[gabriel900]

Since everyone is sharing predictions, I honestly believe the drop will be big and sharp for the next draw, my prediction is:

• Nov 13 - 468
• Nov 27 - 463
• Dec 11 - 460
• Dec 18 - 457

Less than 2 days to go

 

[dgnbach]

I completely understand and that's why I have been hesitating so far. Sitting at 453, maxed out on everything, I don't have any other options. I couldn't choose between US and Canada. As for the US, I have L1A for 5 years in which I have already wasted 2 years. Thinking of going back with L1A so I could try EB1-C at least. What is your opinion?

Well then you are in a different situation than I was. I was solely trying for H1B and failed the lottery. In your case I think for the next few years you should try for eb1c or pnp in canada, as 453 is not a realistic score at the moment.

 

[chemistesa]

Since everyone is sharing predictions, I honestly believe the drop will be big and sharp for the next draw, my prediction is:

• Nov 13 - 468
• Nov 27 - 463
• Dec 11 - 460
• Dec 18 - 457

Less than 2 days to go

B2b draw expected in December?

 

[GG12345]

Not comfortable with accepting 5 spousal exp. points received in a month advance of work anniversary. IRCC replied (on tweeter) that one can use work exp. points only if the exp. is actually achieved at the time of profile submission.
However, others also received IRCC confirmation (tweeter or inquiry) that CRS points should be justified based on profile at the time of e-apr.
it's a big confusion! My score is now dropped from 475 to 470. Now, I will be able to peacefully accept ITA If I get one. lol

 

[aikay]

My prediction

• Nov 13 - 470
• Nov 27 - 468
• Dec 11 - 466
• Dec 18 - 459

I doubt the score can ever get as low as 459 again .. there is a huge accumulation of scores above 460 over the past 5-6wks .

 

[bambisp]

Since everyone is sharing predictions, I honestly believe the drop will be big and sharp for the next draw, my prediction is:

• Nov 13 - 468
• Nov 27 - 463
• Dec 11 - 460
• Dec 18 - 457

Less than 2 days to go

I PRAY!!!!! IN JESUS' NAME. AMEN

 

[bambisp]

I doubt the score can ever get as low as 459 again .. there is a huge accumulation of scores above 460 over the past 5-6wks .

that's really negative thinking i would say...they'll definitely reach 455...

 

[badri.sri139]

PREDICTION FOR NEXT FOUR DRAWS
13TH NOV 2019 469-470
27TH NOV 2019 466 -467
11TH DEC 2019 463 -464
18TH DEC 2019 459 -460
BUT IN JANUARY THE CRS MIGHT INCREASE SINCE THE DRAW WILL.BE HELD.AFTER .3 WEEKS

I think the scores will not drop that much. In May 2019, when scores reduced after 470, it went down only to 459 (a 11 point drop over a period of 4 consecutive 2 week draws). But now there is an increased entry of pnp, foreign applicants overall and also these applicants have high scores, so the drop would not be 11 points. Therefore, we would be extremely lucky if by this year end the points drop by 11 points to around 464. I just hope it stats below 470.

 

[brs.123]

460 add me

 

[bambisp]

I think the scores will not drop that much. In May 2019, when scores reduced after 470, it went down only to 459 (a 11 point drop over a period of 4 consecutive 2 week draws). But now there is an increased entry of pnp, foreign applicants overall and also these applicants have high scores, so the drop would not be 11 points. Therefore, we would be extremely lucky if by this year end the points drop by 11 points to around 464. I just hope it stats below 470.

even considering the b2b on the 18th? i think it should.

 

[vinodkt7]

B2b draw expected in December?

I doubt. Everyone is preditcting based on B2B assumption in dec, but i doubt its going to happen.

 

[rajapanesar]

@rajapanesar can you please help me with this if you have any idea?

https://government.ae/en/information-and-services/justice-safety-and-the-law/police-clearance-certificate
Get here and check.
All thanks to @Not_Your_Donkey_Kong

 

[kast29]

Just choose one for simplicity
Thats what I did

I know everyone is very high on today's draw but if someone is kind of enough to clear a doubt I had about NOC. I qualify under two NOC codes for 5.5 years of experience. My job profile needed me to work as per the duties under these two NOCs in equal proportion. I have been in the pool since July with one NOC code only though my experience letter mentions the other in three of my experience letters. How do I update my profile to include both NOC codes under the 5.5 years in three different employments? Please advise. Many thanks in advance.