so, based on your calculations, the score will never fall down to 460 in the short term.
Ray of Hope - 130th Draw
- Thread starter 13nitinsharma
- Start date
Yeah like veritas1994's answer. Its a separate process with IRCC so you will submit docs again with them but since you did it already for PNP, most likely you have everything ready by now. In the mean time, check the requirements for police check for your country and prepare them all while waiting, scan everything that you haven't done so once the ITA comes through, your good to go. I have also booked my medical check in advance.
rajapanesar
Champion Member
- Jan 31, 2019
- 562
- 36
- Category........
- FSW
- NOC Code......
- 1241
- App. Filed.......
- 19/09/2019
If there is a draw next week then the cut off score would be:
After 30th October draw with 3,900 ITA issued and the cut off 475, the score distribution would have been approximately:
601-1,200 = 0(3,900 -1,520)
451-600 =12,009(14,389-2,380)
441-450= 9,120
Note: As cut off was 475, it means that the 12,009 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-475 only.
475 score = 28
471-474= 344people/score
465-470=189people/score
451-464= 675 (486+189)people/score
CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of November 8, 2019
CRS score:
601-1,200 =757
451-600 =14,180
441-450 =9,060
It means in 9 days from Oct 30th to Nov 8th, there where:
601-1,200 = 84 profile/day (757/9days)
451-600 = 241prof/day (14,180-12,009= 2,171/9days)
441-450 = 9,060-9,120= -60. For this eange we gonna use previous number which is 15profiles per day.
So, by 13th November, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:
601-1,200=1,177(757+420(84x5days))
451-600=15,385(14,180+1,205(241x5d)
441-450= 9,135(9,060+75(15x5days))
Suppose that from the newly added 3,376profile from 30th Oct to 13th Nov, all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 3,376/31=109profile/score
After 13th Nov draw with 3,600 ITA issued and the cut off 472, the score distribution will be approximately:
601-1,200 = 0(3,600 -1,177)
451-600 =12,962(15,385-2,423)
441-450= 9,135
Note: As cut off was 472, it means that the 12,962 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-4672 only.
472 score = 273
465-471=298(189+109)people/score
451-464= 784(675+109)people/score
So, by 20th November, the CRS distribution in the pool will be approximately:
601-1,200=588(84x7days)
451-600=14,649(12,962+1,687(241x7d)
441-450= 9,240(9,135+105(15x7days))
Suppose that from the newly added 1,687 profile from 13th Nov to 27th Nov, all will be distributed equally to (451-481 to 600). So, it will make 1,687/31=55profile/score
With 3,600 ITAs the cut off will be approximately 465-467
3,600 minus:
-588(601-1200)
-55 (of 481-600 newly added score)
-55 (of 480 newly added score)
-55 (of 479 newly added score)
-55 (of 478 newly added score)
-55 (of 477 newly added score)
-55 (of 476 newly added score)
-55 (of 475 newly added score)
-55 (of 474 newly added score)
-55 (of 473 newly added score)
-273(of 472 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 472 newly added score)
-298(of 471 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 471 newly added score)
-298(of 470 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 470 newly added score)
-298 of (469 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 469 newly added score)
-298 of (468 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 468 newly added score)
-298 of (467 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 467 newly added score)
-298 of (466 left after 13th Nov draw)
-55 (of 466 newly added score)
-71 (298 of 465 left after 13th Nov draw).
Hi dear, my calculation is only for the expected next draw which is 27th Nov. For further draw, I need newest CRS data closer to the draw dates. But I believe that CRS will keep going down. Doesn't matter how long it takes, the score will reach 460 eventually.
what are the chances of a draw next week? and how many more draws are we expecting before year end?
Also, is celpip easier than ielts or is it all the same?
Hello all. Finally the draw happened, phew. My score is 473 and have not yet received my ITA. Can anyone tell me how long does it usually take to receive one?
ielts’ hardiest part is writing and celpip’s hardiest part is speaking. If you are not a native speaker, it would be extremely difficult for you to get a good s score in celpip
I'd say, 50/50 chance of draw happening next week,dear.
I think there will be atleast 3 more draws for this year. and I think the dates will be 27th Nov, 11th Dec and 18th Dec or 27th Nov, 4th Dec and 18th Dec.
I haven't done Celpip myself so I can't really say if it's easier or the same level as IELTS.
Give it 24hrs,dear...You should receive your ITA today. Check your EE account regularly if you don't get email from IRCC regarding update on your EE account. All the best for the next stage
Guys i have a question regarding proof of funds.
CIC says that the funds should be in your account at the time when you submit the profile and at the time when we give you the PR visa. Does this mean that once we submit the EAPR then we can use that money somewhere else or do we have to keep that money in the bank untill we get the PPR?
CIC says that the funds should be in your account at the time when you submit the profile and at the time when we give you the PR visa. Does this mean that once we submit the EAPR then we can use that money somewhere else or do we have to keep that money in the bank untill we get the PPR?