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Ray of Hope - 129th Draw

Hey y’all..Best of luck to all the members..I say it’ll be somewhere between 465 - 470..!!
BTW, by what IST would we generally know the cutoff score today?
 
cdddelhi said:
Please update my score from 455 to 461 . My birthday is on 25 dec. I have max 3 draws. Feeling Demotivted. Dear experts Please shed some light on my situation any chance before my birthday
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I'm on 461 as well but only way we can get a invite this year is B2B draw! I don't see it going below 463-465 anytime soon.
 
shergill12 said:
B2B draw will only flush out these 470s.
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They are lagging behind as compared to previous years(2018) ITA count as well as number of draws. Last year by this time they had issued around 70300 ITA's as compared to 67800 this year, also they had 27 draws in total which is also the average number of draws until now and we had only 21 draws until now.

So technically we have 6 draws left including today's draw. Going by the numbers we have 23400 ITA's to be issued (3900x6) which would account to 91200 (67800+23400) ITA's in 2019 as compared to 89800 ITA's in 2018 which can be practically expected.

Thus having 6 draws in 8 Wednesday's (before 25 Dec holidays) we can surely either expect a B2B draw if the draw size is 3900 or 5 draws with 4680 ITA's.

So stay positive guys , CRS score will definitely touch 460 n below if the inflow is reduced/ high score ppl losing points due to age.

P.S : This analysis is purely based on previous year's draw count per draw , ITA count and number of draws. They can increase/decrease the number of draws or ITA count which is highly unlikely.
 
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Tousif_27 said:
They are lagging behind as compared to previous years(2018) ITA count as well as number of draws. Last year by this time they had issued around 70300 ITA's as compared to 67800 this year, also they had 27 draws in total which is also the average number of draws until now and we had only 21 draws until now.

So technically we have 6 draws left including today's draw. Going by the numbers we have 23400 ITA's to be issued (3900x6) which would account to 91200 (67800+23400) ITA's in 2019 as compared to 89800 ITA's in 2018 which can be practically expected.

Thus having 6 draws in 8 Wednesday's (before 25 Dec holidays) we can surely either expect a B2B draw if the draw size is 3900 or 5 draws with 4680 ITA's.

So stay positive guys , CRS score will definitely touch 460 n below if the inflow is reduced/ high score ppl losing points due to age.

P.S : This analysis is purely based on previous year's draw count per draw , ITA count and number of draws. They can increase/decrease the number of draws or ITA count which is highly unlikely.
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I see a probability of increased ITA count rather than 2 B2B draws since there's more work involved in conducting a draw as compared to inviting more people in a single draw.
 
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Woqi114 said:
I see a probability of increased ITA count rather than 2 B2B draws since there's more work involved in conducting a draw as compared to inviting more people in a single draw.
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If any of the above scenarios becomes true it leads to the dip in CRS which is obviously a good thing. Let us hope for the best.
 
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Woqi114 said:
I see a probability of increased ITA count rather than 2 B2B draws since there's more work involved in conducting a draw as compared to inviting more people in a single draw.
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I would prefer an extra b2b before December B2B it will give a sharp fall in CRS that can give us late 450s a chance before year end. If 20% increased invites is to happen like last 2 years then there should be 7 draws at 3900 per draw.
 
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Increased ITA numbers per draw is better than weekly draws because it would dip into the current pool of people, and there won't be any effect of even a one-week build-up of candidates.

Regardless, any of these would be quite welcome.
 
Please add me- I joined the pool 2 weeks ago. I am at 466 and aparently that means today is a slim chance for me. But I remain hopeful! Good luck everybody
 
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