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Ray of Hope - 129th Draw

Currently at 459 but wld decrease to 454 due to birthday in November..any chances this yr we can expect a cut off till 454..
 
shergill12 said:
Were there less people added to 451-600 then you expected if I'm correct?
Click to expand...

Yes, comparing the CRS distribution data after 2nd October draw and from the published 11th October and 25th October CRS distribution, there were 314people/day added after 2nd Oct until 11th October. Then it reduce to 241/day from 11th to 25th Oct. The calculation is as per below:
After 2nd October draw with 3,900 ITA issued and cut off 464, the score distribution would have been approximately:

601-1,200 = 0(3,900 -839)
451-600 =6,810(9,871-3061)
441-450= 8,739


CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of October 11, 2019
CRS score range Number of candidates
601-1,200=509
451-600=9,632
441-450=8,833

It means in 9 days from Oct 2nd to Oct 11th, there where:
601-1,200 = 57 profile/day (509/9days)

451-600 = 314 prof/day (9,632-6,810 = 2,822/9days)

441-450 = 10 prof/day(8,833-8,739= 94/9days)

CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of October 25, 2019:
601-1,200= 1,255
451-600=12,999
441-450= 9,045

It means in 14 days from Oct 11nd to Oct 25th, there where:
601-1,200 = 53 profile/day (1,255-509=746/14days)

451-600 = 241prof/day (12,999-9,632= 3,367/14days)

441-450 = 15 prof/day(9,045-8,833= 212/14days)
 
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Rashigaur said:
Thanks,W8ng for the same...u got nominated by which province?do you have any time estimate for process after submitting the file?
Click to expand...
Got nominated by Alberta. No clue mate, probably 6-8 months if everything goes smoothly.
 
hi all..very sad with 465 crs... how long to wait for our turn and what can be the prediction and fall in the next draw and when will be the next draw.. How frequently pnp draw opens, can anyone please tell
 
Rohitbnaik said:
Hi experts i am currently on 452 and NOC 1112.
Which is a better NOC to get pnp invite 1112 or 1114 as my profile fits into both codes so just need to use whichever can help me get invite!
Any help is highly appreciated.
Click to expand...
Did you get a clarity on this? My brother is also confused between 1114 and 0111. Please let me know.
 
Dheana90 said:
Yes, comparing the CRS distribution data after 2nd October draw and from the published 11th October and 25th October CRS distribution, there were 314people/day added after 2nd Oct until 11th October. Then it reduce to 241/day from 11th to 25th Oct. The calculation is as per below:
After 2nd October draw with 3,900 ITA issued and cut off 464, the score distribution would have been approximately:

601-1,200 = 0(3,900 -839)
451-600 =6,810(9,871-3061)
441-450= 8,739


CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of October 11, 2019
CRS score range Number of candidates
601-1,200=509
451-600=9,632
441-450=8,833

It means in 9 days from Oct 2nd to Oct 11th, there where:
601-1,200 = 57 profile/day (509/9days)

451-600 = 314 prof/day (9,632-6,810 = 2,822/9days)

441-450 = 10 prof/day(8,833-8,739= 94/9days)

CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of October 25, 2019:
601-1,200= 1,255
451-600=12,999
441-450= 9,045

It means in 14 days from Oct 11nd to Oct 25th, there where:
601-1,200 = 53 profile/day (1,255-509=746/14days)

451-600 = 241prof/day (12,999-9,632= 3,367/14days)

441-450 = 15 prof/day(9,045-8,833= 212/14days)
Click to expand...
It's good news then for next few rounds :)
 
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Dheana90 said:
Yes, comparing the CRS distribution data after 2nd October draw and from the published 11th October and 25th October CRS distribution, there were 314people/day added after 2nd Oct until 11th October. Then it reduce to 241/day from 11th to 25th Oct. The calculation is as per below:
After 2nd October draw with 3,900 ITA issued and cut off 464, the score distribution would have been approximately:

601-1,200 = 0(3,900 -839)
451-600 =6,810(9,871-3061)
441-450= 8,739


CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of October 11, 2019
CRS score range Number of candidates
601-1,200=509
451-600=9,632
441-450=8,833

It means in 9 days from Oct 2nd to Oct 11th, there where:
601-1,200 = 57 profile/day (509/9days)

451-600 = 314 prof/day (9,632-6,810 = 2,822/9days)

441-450 = 10 prof/day(8,833-8,739= 94/9days)

CRS score distribution of candidates in the Express Entry pool as of October 25, 2019:
601-1,200= 1,255
451-600=12,999
441-450= 9,045

It means in 14 days from Oct 11nd to Oct 25th, there where:
601-1,200 = 53 profile/day (1,255-509=746/14days)

451-600 = 241prof/day (12,999-9,632= 3,367/14days)

441-450 = 15 prof/day(9,045-8,833= 212/14days)
Click to expand...
Thanks for these calculations. Would it be possible for you to calculate the people entering the pool between every draw for the last one year with a score above 450? For example you mentioned 314 per day and 241 per day for the last couple of draws. Could you please publish such calculations for the last one year? So that we can see the patterns and trends. Thank you!
 
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I don't want to get everyone's hopes high but there is a system maintenance notice scheduled on Tuesday. Hoping for a B2B so scores come down.
 
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