Ray of Hope - 128th Draw

[Ilyushin76]

Hi guys .. I finally got my desired score in IELTS in the 6th attempt
L: 8.5
R: 7.5
W: 7
Speaking: 7

My CRS score now is 458, Just wanted to know if this score is good enough to get an ITA? I know the current trend is above 460, and I have really worked hard to get 8777 don't know if I should aim for CLB10.

For the CLB 10, you would really have to put in alot of time and effort. Your scores should be R-8/W 7.5/L-8.0/S-7.5.

Might be quite a challenge to pull it off, especially the writing part.

 

[vmsanthosh.chn]

OINP nominations have started pouring in since yesterday. Another resistance in the CRS drop!

Oh no..not again!! sorry for those in line, but this is too much for regular crs!

 

[Ilyushin76]

OINP nominations have started pouring in since yesterday. Another resistance in the CRS drop!

Just when we all needed a break.

 

[Shawan]

Hi guys .. I finally got my desired score in IELTS in the 6th attempt
L: 8.5
R: 7.5
W: 7
Speaking: 7

My CRS score now is 458, Just wanted to know if this score is good enough to get an ITA? I know the current trend is above 460, and I have really worked hard to get 8777 don't know if I should aim for CLB10.

Great score.

 

[NataliaBazz]

Yep, it night be another 500 + people with crs 600-1200

 

[NataliaBazz]

Yep, it night be another 500 + people with crs 600-1200

*Might be) which means -600 noi for those who are waiting without pnp (

 

[ahsanshahbaz]

I think with all this PNP pushing score up why cant FSW or CEC have program specific draws.

 

[ahsanshahbaz]

so now what is the prediction?

Without any calculations a rough prediction would be 463+ given the trend of last few draws.

 

[ahsanshahbaz]

*Might be) which means -600 noi for those who are waiting without pnp (

I would say -1000. As there are other province PNPs to account for as well.

Since OINP has not updated their nominations numbers (5200 nominations) since 12th September. The only hope for 460 or less is that OINP gets exhausted after this draw, as we can not be certain unless we know the exact numbers that have been issued. Given the NOI of 6950 issued. 1750 NOIs are still awaiting nomination as of September 12th. So assuming 750 got nominated last draw there are still 1000 left for Ontario alone. Even if Ontario issues 600 the other provinces assuming issue 400 in total. 1000 PNPs in pool as of 16th October is what it will look like.

Ideally, 30 October will be good draw to judge the actual impact 460-600 scores are causing. If not much the scores should drop to 460 by end of November in December draw falling down to 457-459 with bi weekly. If there is b2b in Dec we can see 455-456 (Being optimistic here). Anything below looks like no chance in 2019.

Trend is pretty obvious now that PNP is the main factor in keeping scores high.

 

[Tousif_27]

Aug 01 ONIP batch getting nominated. Brace for another Impact.

https://myimmitracker.com/en/ca/trackers/ontario-human-capital-priorities-stream-tracker

If you see the status they have received NOI in the month of August and must have been cleared in earlier draws ..how is it relevant to the upcoming draw?

 

[mrs.Saifee]

I would say -1000. As there are other province PNPs to account for as well.

Since OINP has not updated their nominations numbers (5200 nominations) since 12th September. The only hope for 460 or less is that OINP gets exhausted after this draw, as we can not be certain unless we know the exact numbers that have been issued. Given the NOI of 6950 issued. 1750 NOIs are still awaiting nomination as of September 12th. So assuming 750 got nominated last draw there are still 1000 left for Ontario alone. Even if Ontario issues 600 the other provinces assuming issue 400 in total. 1000 PNPs in pool as of 16th October is what it will look like.

Ideally, 30 October will be good draw to judge the actual impact 460-600 scores are causing. If not much the scores should drop to 460 by end of November in December draw falling down to 457-459 with bi weekly. If there is b2b in Dec we can see 455-456 (Being optimistic here). Anything below looks like no chance in 2019.

Trend is pretty obvious now that PNP is the main factor in keeping scores high.

this means the draw cut off will be 470 or something if 1000 NOI are.issued

 

[ahsanshahbaz]

If you see the status they have received NOI in the month of August and must have been cleared in earlier draws ..how is it relevant to the upcoming draw?

sort by nomination received and you will see a surge from yesterday. With 3 more working days do the math also there 900+ nominations from August 15 as well that will also be getting some nominations.

 

[Tousif_27]

If you see the status they have received NOI in the month of August and must have been cleared in earlier draws ..how is it relevant to the upcoming draw?

Upon filtering I could see only 10 of them receiving the nomination post the last draw(Oct 2 2019)

 

[EnthuChap]

Just when we all needed a break.

They r still issuing nominations to 01 Aug NOIs. 15th Aug NOI applications r still pending. However, the 01 Aug NOIs were only 990. The OINP impact will start to subside from November. From the last draw of Oct i.e. 30th Oct, the impact shall start to diminish.

 

[EnthuChap]

Isn't the quota of oinp over for this year??

Well, it is only logical that they will issue nominations to those who have applied. Presently, they r issuing nominations to 01 Aug submissions and 15 Aug submission is next in queue.