I wouldn't expect too much tho.. AU system is even more unpredictable..
Ray of Hope - 126th Draw
- Thread starter NikSharma01
- Start date
As far as i understand the express entry system is not controlled by cic except for the number of invitations, that too based on the load they have and the backlogs they have against their target of intake. The entire process is dynamic and the crs depends on the number of people joining with dynamic and competent capabilities. More and more people with competitive age, education and work experience, marital status, spouse credentials (in case of married) joining the pool will influence the scores and vice versa. The number of days between the draws will also effect the score since the new entrants to the pool during this period will swell and if the candidates are of high scores the more the score. Out of all the more than 50 programs canada has, fsw has the highest quota since the number of applicants through this stream is so high and has been increasing and hence the increase in scores.
Government immigration and visa policies in major immigration destination countries is also effecting this score, as people look up to Canada as their new destination.
These is always a way out, just be persistent with your efforts.
Good luck to all hoping to make it next.
Government immigration and visa policies in major immigration destination countries is also effecting this score, as people look up to Canada as their new destination.
These is always a way out, just be persistent with your efforts.
Good luck to all hoping to make it next.
Nope.. I have already done a Masters a few years back from Australia. Now I'm doing a diploma now.
Sadly I am not that positive about Australian PR tbh. Even doing all of those don't get you any closer. Australian's are anti-immigration on a good day as it is; and we are way past the golden era of immigration in Australia. There are a lot of policies & steps taken to lock in newly granted PR holders to regional areas. & as you would expect not many people are ready to take the route of working on farms, milking cows for the foreseeable future.
Exactly the same score and noi of the same date. I am submitting my noi application this weekend.
And yes you can still get an ITA.
Yes. Strongly agree.
If I have to do my calculation again for 4th Sept CRS cut off estimation with the method I use now and without the information of 30th August CRs distribution in the pool, we can see that there was a huge number of candidates who were sitting at 450+ improved their score to 460+.
That can be seen in the comparison of CRS score distribution pool on 15th Aug and 30th Aug in 441-450 score range where there were not many candidates. The 451-458 range were decreasing fast and moved up to 461+ range as seen after 12th August draw pool distribution (7,355) compare to 15th Aug CRS pool (7,038). 7,038-7,366 = -317. Some of those who were taken off the range 451-600 might be those who received PNP nominations and improvement in IELTS score as well as work experience. Some might have decrease in score because of age factor,too.
After 12th Aug draw, with 3,600 ITAs issued and cut off 466, the CRS score distribution would have been:
601-1,200 = 0 (3,600-994=2,606)
451-600 = 7,355 (9,961- 2,606)
441-450 =8,021
August 15, 2019 CRS score range
601-1,200 =127
451-600 =7,038
441-450 =8,084
It means, in 3 days from 12th Aug to 15th Aug, there were:
601-1,200 = 42profile/day (127/3)
451-600 = -106prof/day(7,038-7,355=-317/3)
441-450 =21prof/day (8,084-8,021=63/3)
As it os impossible to have minus figure in the range of 451-600, I will use previous 314 profile/day instead to calculate the profile added after 15 Aug to 20 Aug
So, by 20th August, the score distribution would have been approximately:
601-1,200 =337 (127+210(42x5days)
451-600 =8,608(7,038+1,570(314x5days))
441-450 = 8,189(8,084+ 105(21x5days))
After 20th Aug draw, with 3,600 ITAs issued and cut off 457, the CRS score distribution would have been:
601-1,200 = 0 (3,600-337=3,263)
451-600 = 5,345(8,608-3,263)
441-450 =8,189
Note: As cut off was 457, it means that the 5,345 profiles left on 451-600 range are those who have score 451-457 only. Let's assume that 5,345 are distributed equally to 451-457 score range. Thus, it makes 5,345/7=763 profile per score.
So, by 4th September, the score distribution will be approximately:
601-1,200 = 630 (42x 15days)
451-600 =10,055(5,345+4,710(314x15days))
441-450= 8,399(8,084+315(21x15days))
Suppose that from 4710 newly added profile from 20th August to 4th Sep, it will be distributed equally through 451-484 to 600 ( our own CRS internal tracker manage by
@Angel1113 listed someone who have score of 484 in the range of 451-600) so I will use that as a highest in the range of 451-600. Therefore, it makes 4710/34=138 profile per score.
So, if CIC still gonna issue 3,600 ITAs the cut off score will be approximately 463-464
3,600 minus:
-630(601-1200)
-138 (of 138 of 484-600score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 483score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 482score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 481score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 480score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 479score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 478score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 477score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 476score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 475score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 474score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 473score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 472score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 471score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 470score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 469score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 468score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 467score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 466score newly added)
-138 (of 138 of 465score newly added)
-138(of 138 of 464score newly added)
-72(of 138 of 463score newly added)
As you can see, out of 4,710 newly added profiles more than 3,000 profiles are having 461+ score. Together with the high PNP nominations (630) approved before the draw, with only 3,600 ITAs issued, it made sense that the cut off score went up again.
Last edited:
Not true. Once a person accepts nomination, they are again back in the pool with additional 600 points and ITA in the next draw post nomination.
Why are u doing diploma again?
Aren't your master get Canadian master equivalency?
Last edited:
I second that.I wouldn't expect too much tho.. AU system is even more unpredictable..
Yeah. I guess there won't be much or even close to none employment opportunity for accountant in regional areas.
I understand your pain my friend, and can relate all this with so many applicants here who're striving for ITA since beginning of this year. Trust me, I was also part of this journey and you guys know that.
You know what, you've absolutely done a GREAT job if I look at your journey so far. 455 is a very good score and now, don't become sad at this stage. Undoubtedly, this is a temporary phase, and shall too pass for sure. Like I said earlier, you'll see all type of people around you with different mindsets around you - shouting, screaming, praising, demotivating, dragging, irritating, frustrating, motivating (trust me, list may go on & on). But, at the end, what really matters is - how well you deal with these people in all such situations? It's a game of patience and of course, your attitude towards these draw.
Once 3,900 ITAs are set, then you'll see how quickly it may touch 450 below scores too. As I always say, Q3 and Q4 will change the whole game with increased ITAs and significant drop in upcoming scores.
Stay strong ALWAYS and hope for the best. BELIEVE IN YOURSELF, BELIEVE IN GOD
REMEMBER THAT IT'S NOT OVER UNTIL YOU WIN !
Yeah.. I already have a positive equivalency for my AU Masters.. But I decided to stay back here and work on my Canadian PR as this way I can earn quite a bit more money.. Every little bit helps when you're moving to another country
That's true. All the best dear...Hope we all can reach Canada soon and have meet and greet. Haha