Yeah, but there are holes to this theory.Good idea
- Wouldn't CIC notice if this was happening?
- How will they meet their target? Because people won't be actually applying.
Or maybe it is actual demand..
Yeah, but there are holes to this theory.Good idea
Same thing happened in draw 110. Scores shot up from 438 to 457 in january, and didn't come below 450 since. I dont feel discredited, don't worry. This is just a discussion forumJump is always gradual. Not this absurd. Besides it would have been understandable if they had a month between the draws. 2 weeks is just to less for such a chaotic upsurge. Now I am not discrediting you. Better candidates would also have been a factor. But it cannot be this much impactful. The assumption is factually not sound.
Your idea sounds very feasible. Did not think about it. May be the opposition is doing that in front of their elections? Actually some people from Canada can do that too to prevent us from coming..Have you guys considered the possibility that there may be "bot" manipulation going on. Create a bunch of fake profiles to keep scores artificially high. Who would do that and why? Group of big agents to sell people on their services and also PNP promises. Just a thought.
Like others, numbers seem to be off.
- Would they actually care?Yeah, but there are holes to this theory.
- Wouldn't CIC notice if this was happening?
- How will they meet their target? Because people won't be actually applying.
Or maybe it is actual demand..
Consider that again. May 31 and July 12 saw two OINP draws. Around 2700 invitations were issued. Now lets say that about 2000 were converted into actual nominations. OINP processing time varies from 2-4 months. It is very likely that the major chunk of those were issued nomination only recently, or at least updated their profiles with 600 points recently, since the build up in 600+ category in the draws since July was never quite as much as expected, given the PNPs. Now add to this AINP and SINP nomination.It’s hard to explain. I’m good in statistics and when strange things like this happen, I can sense something fishy is going on. Does not add up.
The strangest thing is that the rising number of those people with 460 would most likely be reflected by rising activity here and on other forums because people normally have many questions.
If we speak about pnps - we would hear and see these people rising in this percentage and screaming about getting their pnps.
It’s odd because people say that OINP is issued within the 6 month time frame - up to 10 months if you are lucky.Consider that again. May 31 and July 12 saw two OINP draws. Around 2700 invitations were issued. Now lets say that about 2000 were converted into actual nominations. OINP processing time varies from 2-4 months. It is very likely that the major chunk of those were issued nomination only recently, or at least updated their profiles with 600 points recently, since the build up in 600+ category in the draws since July was never quite as much as expected, given the PNPs. Now add to this AINP and SINP nomination.
Besides, 460+ candidates cannot be as high as I said. They don't rain out of nowhere. Not like they were kids coming out from their classes in recess time lol.
I mean, come on. You seem like a logical person, and all you got is gut feeling as evidence?
As for activity for PNP guys, try following Facebook forums. They are coming around in huge numbers!!
Yeah, and profitable for them.PNP will become mainstream I feel. Bad news for people below 460. We can’t justify rely on a random b2b draw to try out luck, 456 is a bad score for now.
That's because the time period between draw #110 (438) and #111 (457) was of 21 days, whereas between draw #109 and #110 was of 7 days.Same thing happened in draw 110. Scores shot up from 438 to 457 in january, and didn't come below 450 since. I dont feel discredited, don't worry. This is just a discussion forum
No not really. They have sped up the process quite much. A friend of mine was issued invitation in May. Recieved nomination in Aug, second week.It’s odd because people say that OINP is issued within the 6 month time frame - up to 10 months if you are lucky.
True. Before this #110 draw, 440s were the norm, then 450s became the norm from january. Now it looks like 460 might become the new normal in terms of the cut offs. And at 454, I feel like there is no way I will get an ITA by the end of this year.That's because the time period between draw #110 (438) and #111 (457) was of 21 days, whereas between draw #109 and #110 was of 7 days.
They control the scores from tie break last time. I knew there will be a hike.Who on earth can explain what just happened here? Why are the scores 463 ?? After a b2b draw we have 457 , then normalization to the 2 weekly draw we now have 463. Could someone kindly help with a logical explanation? I’m utterly confused!