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Ray of Hope - 118th Draw

SeniorStakes said:
Then just wait for couple of months. At 463, you will get ITA for sure.
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yea i will update once i receive ECA. but crs was going so low as 450 so there are still chances for 455 as well. am i right?
 
mamuso said:
Some hard facts and moment of truth -
1. 99% chances CRS will be more than 450 for next two draws (As per experts analysis with real published data)
2. My birthday on 10th July - 4 possible predicted draws left for me to make it.

Conclusion - Chances of getting ITA before birthday are less than 1% :(
Plan B - Going solo with CRS 464 after next 2 draws, get PR and sponsor wife.
Now good people of this forum, please give me your honest opinions about my plan B.
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If you have reasons for not accompanying your spouse, then you can try.
 
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Nsidhu said:
oh . solo i have 480. But this is extent. now with spouse i have 455 so my DOB is june 4/1993 .. will it go down to 450 ? my age will be 26 on this june which is same points i think
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No it won't go down in your case. You should be 30 at least for losing age based points.
 
SeniorStakes said:
There can be back-to-back draws next week and the one after. If that happens, regardless of next draw, the one after could be 450/451.

By the way, I have a hunch that cut-off may never go below 450 until elections. Look at the speed of 451+ applications - it's more than 250 per day. At this speed, steady state cut-off would be 453 @ 3350 and 451 @ 3500.
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The last fortnight average of 450+, more than 250, would be decreasing in the future draws and definitely in the next draw. On May 1st many candidates got extra points who are supposed to complete their work experience by the end of the month and this is the main reason why cut-off went 450 (Nov tie-breaker) on May 1st despite being only 1790 candidates with 450+ points.
 
Ajib said:
It will definitely get to 447 sometime this year. Please take it easy with the pessimism, albeit i understand your fears
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It will not go below 448 this year.
 
keyur sharma said:
Not this year. If you are eligible for PNP than go for it
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this is what I worry. I am already in Canada with my work permit ending in August.
I'm going to have to redo my CELPIP to get a level 9 on the writing.

I got 12/12/11/8 and I'm British... ridiculous lol
 
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