Ray of Hope - 115th Draw

[Agarwalparesh26]

Hi All,

I got TRF today only, it is bit strange but good for me have updated the profile

 

[Shishir Chandra Kumar]

I doubt current employee will add last drawn salary or compensation details

Nobody, current or past employer will add that info to your reference letter (with some exceptions). You can show your salary slips from that organization, or a hike letter, or compensation revision letter. That should do the work.

 

[Shishir Chandra Kumar]

Hi All,

I got TRF today only, it is bit strange but good for me have updated the profile

Congratulations ... What is your score now?
All the best for tomorrow !!

 

[Wizzz]

Please who knows the time in UTC when the draw usually takes place?

 

[T80]

Please who knows the time in UTC when the draw usually takes place?

Usually their first half of the day

 

[Agarwalparesh26]

It

Congratulations ... What is your score now?
All the best for tomorrow !!

It was 442, now with my wife's ielts score it will come to 448(as per crs calculator) . I have updated the profile changes are under process

 

[Rangrez]

It

It was 442, now with my wife's ielts score it will come to 448(as per crs calculator) . I have updated the profile changes are under process

In my opinion, tomorrow's cut-off would be 448. All the best. Start gathering all the documents

 

[Agarwalparesh26]

In my opinion, tomorrow's cut-off would be 448. All the best. Start gathering all the documents

Ha ha.. hope so, I wish it goes even below so that more people get ITA

 

[kalex123]

what are predictions for tomorrow
?
449 or 450??
if 450 what is tie breaker rule

 

[Rangrez]

what are predictions for tomorrow
?
449 or 450??
if 450 what is tiebreaker rule

LOL. You will mostly get it in both cases . Prediction just creates anxiety. Just relax and enjoy.

 

[Vp2307]

Hi Guys,

I hope you are having great day. I would like to share my crs score, which is 454. I haven't started gathering the documents as i was supposed to. However, i can have it done all with a week including PCC. It would be helpful if someone can provide me with the checklist of documents needed.

Regards

 

[Rangrez]

Hi Guys,

I hope you are having great day. I would like to share my crs score, which is 454. I haven't started gathering the documents as i was supposed to. However, i can have it done all with a week including PCC. It would be helpful if someone can provide me with the checklist of documents needed.

Regards

A checklist will be generated after ITA on the basis of your profile. In your case, mostly tomorrow . But you will need the following generic documents.

• Get all old/new Passports
• ECA
• IELTS results
• Reference letters from employer
• PCC

If you are married and claiming points for your spouse then you need all of these docs for your spouse too.

 

[Shaanoh]

Wicked Wednesday is back. In another 18-20 odd hours we will know the fate. Hope the damn CRS hovers around 448/449. If its 3900, expecting it cut lower as well. Hope CIC doesn't surprise again with a cut off to 450.

Good luck Everyone. Good Luck to @NikSharma01 @13nimana @SeniorStakes @kalex123.


Cheers
Shan

 

[Vp2307]

A checklist will be generated after ITA on the basis of your profile. In your case, mostly tomorrow . But you will need the following generic documents.

• Get all old/new Passports
• ECA
• IELTS results
• Reference letters from employer
• PCC

If you are married and claiming points for your spouse then you need all of these docs for your spouse too.

Thanks for a speedy reply,
I still have to go and get my pcc for india done from Indian embassy, i m not married yet. Thanks for the info. Really appreciate that

 

[Queenslander88]

I got a 7.5 on that. So it's definitely not a country cap. I avoided using big words and kept it simple. Maybe that helped. I would never know. The writing and speaking scores are very arbitrary.

THIS SEEMS LEGIT!!!!

Okay, this is just theory. But, I was very intrigued at understanding why are there times when there is a round of invitation within a week of the previous one and why is there a gap of upto 3 weeks at a time. The most obvious answer is that there is no specific reason and they just want to slow the intake to clear backlogs. But could there be another reason?

The more I look at it the more it feels like there's an inherent cut-off of around 440 points which CIC maintains by controlling the time between two draws.

So I took data for all draws starting November 8, 2017. I chose this date as this was the time when they started releasing draws with a fixed round figure of Invitations issued (like "2000") Prior to this there was a different method they used to determine the number of invitations to be issued, example 2,757 or 2,801 in the previous ones. After that it was just a matter of a simple scatter plot to see if there was a correlation between the number of days from the previous draw vs. cut-off of the previous draw.

The graph has cut-off score for the previous draw on the Y-Axis and number of days from the previous draw from the X-Axis, From this, you can't really draw a conclusion but if you look closely, it kind of shows that there has never been a single time whenever the previous cut-off was greater than 447 that the draw took more than 2 weeks.

Also the 4 times the score actually went below 440, all 4 times CIC made the next draw after atleast 21 days. This gives time for the pool to fill up and the cut-offs to go up again.

Maybe I'm just seeing this because this theory came to my head. With only 33 data points it is hard to tell what's fact and what's coincidence.

Mr_Chang