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Ray of Hope - 113th Draw

Shaanoh

Hero Member
Nov 2, 2018
285
250
Hey SeniorStakes,
I don't agree with you. Look at the following calculations-

2017 targeted ITAs = 71400, issued = 86023 around 120.48%
2018 targeted ITAs = 74900, issued = 89800 around 119.89%

2019 targeted ITAs = 81400. They should issue either 97590 (119.89%), or 93610 (115%), or 91168 (112%), or 89540(110%).

I agree that ITA decline rate could be lower as compared to 2017 or 2018 but not 00.00%

Let's say if it is 10% then, also, there would be 89540 ITAs.
Till now ITAs issued = 17850. Remaining ITAs = 71690. Remaining draws, let's assume 2 in a month, =19. Which means 63650 more ITAs with 3350 ITAs or 81500 total ITAs in 2019. This does not make sense to me as the target is 89540 with 10% ITAs decline rate.

Now, if they have to accommodate 8040 additional candidates, they must increase the 423 ITAs starting from next draw or wait for 2-3 draws and continue issuing 3900 ITAs or conduct B2B draws.

Please let me know if I made any bigger mistake.

Thanks
skg
Reading this post put smile on my face. Esp the "hey must increase the 423 ITAs starting from next draw or wait for 2-3 draws and continue issuing 3900 ITAs or conduct B2B draws". Gives me slight hope to get picked in next draw. :p


Cheers
Shan
 
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Shishir Chandra Kumar

Hero Member
Jan 9, 2019
275
226
Pune, India
Category........
FSW
NOC Code......
2174
App. Filed.......
26-09-2019
Nomination.....
17-09-2019
AOR Received.
26-09-2019
IELTS Request
24/11/2018
Med's Done....
26-09-2019
Hey SeniorStakes,
I don't agree with you. Look at the following calculations-

2017 targeted ITAs = 71400, issued = 86023 around 120.48%
2018 targeted ITAs = 74900, issued = 89800 around 119.89%

2019 targeted ITAs = 81400. They should issue either 97590 (119.89%), or 93610 (115%), or 91168 (112%), or 89540(110%).

I agree that ITA decline rate could be lower as compared to 2017 or 2018 but not 00.00%

Let's say if it is 10% then, also, there would be 89540 ITAs.
Till now ITAs issued = 17850. Remaining ITAs = 71690. Remaining draws, let's assume 2 in a month, =19. Which means 63650 more ITAs with 3350 ITAs or 81500 total ITAs in 2019. This does not make sense to me as the target is 89540 with 10% ITAs decline rate.

Now, if they have to accommodate 8040 additional candidates, they must increase the 423 ITAs starting from next draw or wait for 2-3 draws and continue issuing 3900 ITAs or conduct B2B draws.

Please let me know if I made any bigger mistake.

Thanks
skg
This is no more a Ray of Hope. This looks like a floodlight of hope.. Feeling hopeful of getting ITA sooner than what the current draw trend says. Thanks @skg1988 !!!!
 
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jasmin-alladin

Star Member
Mar 21, 2018
172
77
Hey nolimits,
I am in the same boat as well, @445 with the birthday in sep..LOL!
By seeing the last year trend, I believe that they will increase the number of ITAs in April. Let's wait and pray for the increased number of ITAs as back to back draws seems illogical to me and completely depend on LUCK!
Same boat with you. 445 my birthday is on May. Still lucky for you both
 
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Ali1122

Full Member
Nov 15, 2018
32
9
Guys I’m at 447 and my ielts expires in October this year. I’ve cleared my masters today. So I’m
Expecting my crs to boost up to 479. But the things is my bachelors degree is not accepted by Wes, Although I’ve already got an eca for
My bachelors degree of iqas in 2018. Now what should I do to get an ECA ASAP. My masters degree or the university is recognised by Wes but not my bachelors
 

Shaanoh

Hero Member
Nov 2, 2018
285
250
Guys I’m at 447 and my ielts expires in October this year. I’ve cleared my masters today. So I’m
Expecting my crs to boost up to 479. But the things is my bachelors degree is not accepted by Wes, Although I’ve already got an eca for
My bachelors degree of iqas in 2018. Now what should I do to get an ECA ASAP. My masters degree or the university is recognised by Wes but not my bachelors

Your IELTS expires by Oct. ECA from IQAS takes 6 month on avg. Go and file it asap and with the Master's evaluation, your CRS of 479 will be an automatic pick anytime the draw happens. I am not sure if you can submit two ECA's from each institution for Bachelor's and Master's. Or else I'd suggested to go with WES. Good luck to you.

Cheers
Shan
 

13nitinsharma

Champion Member
Apr 17, 2012
2,568
3,163
Canada
Thank you so much. I have a question regarding gift deed. As I don't have sufficient funds in my account right now, so can I get a gift deed from my sister or it must be given by parents only ?
Yes, you can get a gift deed from your parents or sister both. Please make sure you follow the right format. See the below link:

http://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/a-complete-way-to-nail-source-of-fund-dilemma-t349224.0.html;msg4634069#msg4634069
 

13nitinsharma

Champion Member
Apr 17, 2012
2,568
3,163
Canada
Guys I’m at 447 and my ielts expires in October this year. I’ve cleared my masters today. So I’m
Expecting my crs to boost up to 479. But the things is my bachelors degree is not accepted by Wes, Although I’ve already got an eca for
My bachelors degree of iqas in 2018. Now what should I do to get an ECA ASAP. My masters degree or the university is recognised by Wes but not my bachelors
Get your Masters evaluated. No need to include bachelors. You’ll be fine.
 

bluehorse

Hero Member
Dec 1, 2017
464
263
USA
Category........
PNP
Visa Office......
CIO - Sydney, NS
NOC Code......
2174
App. Filed.......
26-01-2021
AOR Received.
06-07-2021
Passport Req..
17-01-2022
LANDED..........
27-04-2022
Hey SeniorStakes,
I don't agree with you. Look at the following calculations-

2017 targeted ITAs = 71400, issued = 86023 around 120.48%
2018 targeted ITAs = 74900, issued = 89800 around 119.89%

2019 targeted ITAs = 81400. They should issue either 97590 (119.89%), or 93610 (115%), or 91168 (112%), or 89540(110%).

I agree that ITA decline rate could be lower as compared to 2017 or 2018 but not 00.00%

Let's say if it is 10% then, also, there would be 89540 ITAs.
Till now ITAs issued = 17850. Remaining ITAs = 71690. Remaining draws, let's assume 2 in a month, =19. Which means 63650 more ITAs with 3350 ITAs or 81500 total ITAs in 2019. This does not make sense to me as the target is 89540 with 10% ITAs decline rate.

Now, if they have to accommodate 8040 additional candidates, they must increase the 423 ITAs starting from next draw or wait for 2-3 draws and continue issuing 3900 ITAs or conduct B2B draws.

Please let me know if I made any bigger mistake.

Thanks
skg
The targets which you quoted(71400 and 74600) are not ITA targets. They are the approved PR number target. Thats the reason they issue far more number of ITAs by taking into account the rejection rate.

But your calculation makes perfect sense on the ITA numbers which IRCC need to issue, in order to meet their targets for this year.
 

13nitinsharma

Champion Member
Apr 17, 2012
2,568
3,163
Canada
Hey SeniorStakes,
I don't agree with you. Look at the following calculations-

2017 targeted ITAs = 71400, issued = 86023 around 120.48%
2018 targeted ITAs = 74900, issued = 89800 around 119.89%

2019 targeted ITAs = 81400. They should issue either 97590 (119.89%), or 93610 (115%), or 91168 (112%), or 89540(110%).

I agree that ITA decline rate could be lower as compared to 2017 or 2018 but not 00.00%

Let's say if it is 10% then, also, there would be 89540 ITAs.
Till now ITAs issued = 17850. Remaining ITAs = 71690. Remaining draws, let's assume 2 in a month, =19. Which means 63650 more ITAs with 3350 ITAs or 81500 total ITAs in 2019. This does not make sense to me as the target is 89540 with 10% ITAs decline rate.

Now, if they have to accommodate 8040 additional candidates, they must increase the 423 ITAs starting from next draw or wait for 2-3 draws and continue issuing 3900 ITAs or conduct B2B draws.

Please let me know if I made any bigger mistake.

Thanks
skg
Very logical and interesting to read. +1 for your analysis.
 

Ali1122

Full Member
Nov 15, 2018
32
9
Get your Masters evaluated. No need to include bachelors. You’ll be fine.
The thins is I have a bachelors in electrical engineering but I’ve done my masters (MA)
In English literature. Now MA English can be done done by doing a two years bachelors degree or it could be done after doing a 4 years bachelors degree, now my question is how would WES know that I’ve done a 4 years bachelors degree prior to compelting my masters degree? As they dnt recognises my university from whom I’ve got a bachelors in engineering from. Would they award me an equivalency of a bachelors degree in Canada ??
 

13nitinsharma

Champion Member
Apr 17, 2012
2,568
3,163
Canada
The thins is I have a bachelors in electrical engineering but I’ve done my masters (MA)
In English literature. Now MA English can be done done by doing a two years bachelors degree or it could be done after doing a 4 years bachelors degree, now my question is how would WES know that I’ve done a 4 years bachelors degree prior to compelting my masters degree? As they dnt recognises my university from whom I’ve got a bachelors in engineering from. Would they award me an equivalency of a bachelors degree in Canada ??
If you’ve Masters degree (the higher in your case), only get it evaluated. No need to worry about bachelors. Send your Masters degree for ECA and it will be equivalent to Masters Canada.
 
Nov 30, 2018
235
76
The thins is I have a bachelors in electrical engineering but I’ve done my masters (MA)
In English literature. Now MA English can be done done by doing a two years bachelors degree or it could be done after doing a 4 years bachelors degree, now my question is how would WES know that I’ve done a 4 years bachelors degree prior to compelting my masters degree? As they dnt recognises my university from whom I’ve got a bachelors in engineering from. Would they award me an equivalency of a bachelors degree in Canada ??

I am SORRY to say that , you will be REJECTED during the PR process , if you DONOT have ECA for Bachelors.

To get points for Maters degree, it is MANDATORY to have ECA for both Bachelors and Masters
 

Ali1122

Full Member
Nov 15, 2018
32
9
If you’ve Masters degree (the higher in your case), only get it evaluated. No need to worry about bachelors. Send your Masters degree for ECA and it will be equivalent to Masters Canada.
I understand brother but my concern is that the masters I’ve done could be done by doing a two years bachelors degree but I’ve done it after doing a four years degree. Now WES dnt recognise my bachelors degree as the university is not on their portal but they do
Accept my masters. I know I can only send my masters degree but how would I get an eca equivalent to a masters in Canada when my masters programe could have been done after doing a 2 years bachelors degree. I