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I know man, I understand the tie-breaker concept, just getting my frustration out :)
But seriously, this tie-breaker is a really heartbreaking concept, especially for those who have birthday shortly afterwards. Why couldn't they decide they will give out about 3900 ITAs, see that it means CRS cut-off is coming to 439 and then increase the draw size a bit to accommodate everyone with 439? The way they used to do till 2017.:confused:
Lets hope Mr. Abhishek is correct and we get 430s again in next draw.
 
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I'm so happy for everyone who finally got their ITA after months of waiting. I know how it feels to wait for that one draw.

Congratulations to everyone!
 
I have got my invitation at 441. Best of luck to everyone waiting, as per their requirement projections till 2021 things are looking good....
I am over the moon.
 
Historically the year end weeks (Christmas and New Year) have resulted in lesser numbers of applicants entering the pool than normal. I am not sure if it is due to lesser ECA outcomes due to Christmas holidays or any other reason.

You can do a quick check on last years draw data and see the situation.
Nov 15 - Dec 6: 3 week gap - 2750 applicants got into pool with CRS 452 and above
Dec 20 - Jan 10: 3 week gap - 2750 applicants got into pool with CRS 446 and above

Hence, I have accounted lesser than normal average intake of 265-270/day for CRS 441 and above.

That's a real ray of hope mate :) Maybe, even there are less/no IELTS tests during this period? But on the other hand, 2nd Jan is too close to the holiday period, and last year also they had a 3-week gap between these two draws :(
 
Everyone seems so happy that nobody asked for 108 ray of hope thread yet :) Happy holiday everyone.