With a little bit of detective, work, here's what I found (drum roll...............)
It's completely wrong!
a) If this were true, the cutoff should have been 440 or lower, not 449 as actually happened
b) Even worse, the numbers they used are actually those from the draw of October 25 (
https://www.canadavisa.com/canada-immigration-discussion-board/threads/ray-of-hope-104th-draw.592128/ )
So basically the author did the exercise once (after the draw on October 25), and afterwards just changed enough details (date, round number) to capture search engine traffic. So unfortunately the information has no value.
------------------- Apparently I have way too much time on my hands
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