Dear xwwangsjtu.Found this link if you guys are interested.
It gives the number of CSQs issued by category each year and the number of PRs issued by category each year.
https://www.quebec.ca/gouv/ministere/immigration/publications/#c11571
https://cdn-contenu.quebec.ca/cdn-contenu/adm/min/immigration/publications-adm/plan-immigration/PL_immigration_2019_MIDI.pdf?1544814030
The plan for this year (2019) is to issue PRs to 18k-20.1k applicants with CSQ under QSW
Did some math and it looks like 151.8k CSQs were issued under QSW from 2013 to 2017. While 128k PRs were issued under QSW. Netting 23k waiting/declined/withdraw-ed who applied before (including) 2017. Assuming most of the 24k CSQs issued in 2018 not given PRs yet. The queue of people having CSQ waiting for PR is as long as 47.6k.
However, based on the Excel, we have finished processing July/2017 applicants. Which gives roughly 5/12 * 30.7k = 12.8k applicants from 2017 still waiting. Adding the 24k applicants from 2018. We have around 37k people in the queue.
I do not have anyway of calculating the people declined/withdraw-ed, or holding CSQ but have not applied PR.The two ways of estimating give a difference of 10k. Anybody can share your idea?
Thanks,
Thanks for taking the efforts to put across a wonderful analysis of the possible number of applications in various stages. I would like to mention only one point at this time. You mentioned that based on the Excel, the applications till July 2017 are processed. Well mine is May 8th 2017 and I even knew at least 25-30 people who are waiting after filing their applications in Feb and March 2017. So this point is disputable.
One more thing, you mentioned that only 1000 CSQ holders will be given PR this year. Actually if you refer to Pg. 7, 1st point in point number 5 (https://cdn-contenu.quebec.ca/cdn-contenu/adm/min/immigration/publications-adm/plan-immigration/PL_immigration_2019_MIDI.pdf?1544814030) it states that it plans to issue PR's to a total of 21700 to 24300 from the economic immigrants category and of which 18000 to 20100 would be from the Skilled Worker category. This skilled worker category would be the QSW category. The 1000 mentioned are from other immigrants category. Please correct me if I am wrong and once again thank you for the analysis.