My question really is, should I apply to renew NOW (before my PR card expires) or AFTER my PR card expires (when I am able to move to Canada)?
Overall:
Probably NOT.
Generally a new PR card will NOT fix the situation if you continue to remain outside Canada. NOT much point in making a request for H&C relief for a breach of the Residency Obligation UNTIL you are ready to STAY in Canada. Further explanation below.
Some aspects of this question are simple, including what several here have clearly stated:
you must be IN Canada to make a PR card application.
Other aspects of this are complex and subject to the influence of other factors. Outcomes can vary depending on particular details and subject to contingencies, and yeah, that includes contingencies like how much longer you are actually outside Canada.
Explanation With Further, Longer Observations:
As noted, some aspects of this are complex and subject to the influence of other factors. Some of this has also been addressed by others here. There are several variables which can influence how these things go. Some of the variables are yet to be determined, like how many days you have been IN Canada compared to the number of days outside Canada the next time you are examined in a Port-of-Entry while returning to Canada . . . this will change day-to-day, and yes, even with a solid H&C case (assuming such a thing exists), the actual numbers can matter and make a difference in the outcome.
Be aware, NO matter what H&C reasons you have for failing to comply with the RO, the actual numbers play a big role in assessing whether such reasons are sufficient to allow the PR to keep PR status despite failing to comply with the RO. This can pose something of a dilemma, making it seem a good idea to make the H&C case soon, before the numbers get worse (comparing number of days outside Canada to number of days IN Canada). But it is almost always premature to seek H&C relief unless and until the PR is actually ready to settle and STAY in Canada.
In particular, one of the factors that can be important to how you approach this is how long it will be before you relocate to Canada, to settle and STAY in Canada.
Remember, a new PR card will NOT restart the clock on calculating compliance with the Residency Obligation. If, for example, you visited Canada and while here applied for a new PR card relying on H&C relief for the breach of the RO, and you were issued and delivered a new PR card, even with a new PR card in order to be in compliance with the RO going forward you will still need to be here, IN Canada, at least 730 days within the preceding five years, as of any day, as of EVERY day.
So, if you get the new PR card but continue to stay outside Canada, you will continue to be in breach of the RO and thus could be subject to inadmissibility proceedings the next time you are examined in a Port-of-Entry when coming into Canada. Even if you have an almost brand new PR card.
This is perhaps the key reasoning behind advice to NOT make a PR card application relying on H&C relief for a breach of the RO UNTIL the PR is actually back IN Canada and ready to STAY in Canada. This is similar to what you report an immigration lawyer initially advised, except if you are in the U.S. and can travel to Canada in a private vehicle, there would be no need to make an application for a PR Travel Document. (There is generally a higher risk of a negative decision when seeking H&C relief in a PR TD application than by a PR who is currently in Canada, or even for a PR being examined at a PoE when returning to Canada.)
Generally I will defer to advice from lawyers. They are the experts, not me. However, the advice you got in a call back, as you report it, is suspect to me. As I have noted, in most situations, and generally, there is not much to be gained by making an application for H&C relief UNLESS, and not until, the PR is prepared to settle and STAY in Canada. But as I also noted, some aspects of this are complex and subject to the influence of other factors, and if that advice (in the call back) was based on an in-depth analysis of YOUR particular situation and facts, it could be that in your particular situation it would be prudent to proceed with coming to Canada while your PR card is still valid and making an application for a PR card sooner, even if you do not stay here and you are not moving to Canada soon.
MAYBE. Just maybe.
There are many possible explanations for the call back advice. Those get tangled in some of the more complex and variable aspects of such situations.
That said, a big factor is whether or not this was advice you PAID for (consultations are generally worth little more than what you pay for them), and the extent to which YOUR specific circumstances were considered.
Note, for example, as I previously noted, since the risk of a negative outcome is significantly higher when making a PR TD application from abroad, and depending on how long it has been since the PR was last IN Canada it might be difficult to return to Canada for an appeal, the call back advice might be about avoiding that, avoiding being stuck outside Canada. With a new PR card that would enable the PR to return to Canada a year or even years later, and at that time fight to save PR status from within Canada rather than being stuck abroad. BUT any PR who can travel to Canada from within the U.S. does not need to worry about this.
There are other explanations.
A new PR card gives the PR better odds of being waived through the PoE the next time the PR is returning to Canada. BUT it does NOT change the RO calculation if the PR is questioned about RO compliance.
A positive H&C decision to issue a new PR card also carries significant weight the next time a PR is questioned about RO compliance (again, main example would be PoE examination when returning to Canada). HOWEVER this is NO blank cheque. A lengthy absence from Canada after being issued a new PR card based on H&C relief changes things. Again, the numbers matter. H&C relief for not returning to Canada sooner granted in the summer of 2024 does NOT offer much insurance that there will again be H&C relief allowed if the PR is questioned about RO compliance during a PoE examination in 2025, after being outside Canada for most of the previous year. The numbers have changed significantly. This is what the courts refer to as a change in circumstances.
Among other tangents in this. It can get rather complicated.
H&C Relief Skepticism:
Meanwhile, several of the responses here have expressed or indirectly alluded to skepticism about relying on getting H&C relief. In contrast, your posts seem to suggest there are no reservations, no doubt, that you will be allowed H&C relief.
There are good reasons for the skepticism. H&C cases are almost always tricky and even in the strongest cases there are NO guarantees there will be H&C relief.
It warrants noting, with emphasis, that "
a legitimate H&C reason" for not returning to Canada sooner is just ONE factor considered when CBSA or IRCC officials are evaluating whether to allow a PR to keep PR status despite failing to comply with the RO. Other factors will be considered. I have referenced one of the biggest factors, the numbers, the number of days IN Canada compared to the number of days outside Canada. But there are others, including how much hardship will the loss of PR impose.
Again, H&C cases are almost always tricky; even the strongest H&C case can be tricky; there are NO guarantees of H&C relief.