Absolutely not, wipe off that thought of your head. The applications are not 50/50%. In fact, most of them are approved, since most people are indeed on a genuine relationship when they apply for sponsorship. It depends on each specific case. If you don't have any red flags, the chances are much higher than that. Just wait, depending on the VO, the process can take somewhere between 4 months to 12 if everything is okay and you speed up the process by doing everything as soon as possible and don't delay it by not submitting on time the documents they need.
if there are any red flags with the genuineness of the relationship, usually the applicant will be asked to go for an interview before they are rejected (they have a chance to defend themselves, if there is doubt). I would also not agree that you have a 50% chance of being rejected after AOR2.
Your previous post says that your eligibility has passed and if you already had the interview, likely you are approved. Did the Visa Officer say anything to you after the interview that might lead you to think that you won't be approved?
Again, disregard that comment, ignore it. He is just talking about the spreadsheets people have on this forum. It's irrelevant, it's not actually real. It gives you an idea of how the process goes, but people don't keep those updated, some people just stop updating their information and stop even looking at the forum. Just ignore the first reply you got. If your interview went good, most likely the application is going to get approved.
