I am seeing 3 approaches of IRCC to address the backlog. Think of it as a piece of large cake which has been divided into 3 large slices (still cant take a bite as those slices are still big enough..lol):
1- Online applications:
These are processes separately so to not to pile it up. That is why we are seeing Dec 2020 applicants getting test and interviews. IRCC set a end line of November 2020 which goes to the next 2 slices (number 2 and 3 below).
For cake lovers, this section is the tempting part of the cake (those strawberries? Almonds, pineapple you see on the cake?)
2- A time based approach (those timelines we are seeing about processing applications between March to April 2019), or call it First in First Out (FIFO):
Looks like that is where the major chunk is and IRCC has set some starting point to make some progress on those old sitting applications as most are already 2 years old as of now. We are seeing many test invites, fingerprint requests from this pile.
The progress is slow and one of the reason is *if such files are in physical possession of officers* which I believe is the case, and since officers are working from home, naturally they can take limited number of client files to home.
So for cake lovers, this is the largest chunk of cake.
3- The visible section of cake, which is where Sept, Oct and Nov 2019 applications are being finalized:
As everyone has noticed, Sept to Dec 2019 applicants have been getting test invites, fingerprints, and interviews as well some Oaths.
All in all, that is the kind of trend I am seeing. You never know there may be more slices coming off the cake in coming months.
Having said that, IRCC has limited resources and limited staff. Honestly, I feel that IRCC is doing it's best to get over it and we should give them a credit for it.
For summary lovers, the trend line is :
1- Online applications processes quickly from Dec 2020 onwards
2- Work on a large chunk on FIFO basis from March 2019 to August 2019
3- Try to complete Sep 2019 to November 2020 applications in 18 to 24 months timeline
Lets hope for the best and good luck to everyone!