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NOC CAP Formula

S7

Hero Member
Jun 10, 2012
218
24
Ottawa, ON
Category........
Visa Office......
London
NOC Code......
2171
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
Application sent on 02 MAY 2014 Received at CIO on 08 May 2014 CC Charged on 9 July 2014 PER 19 AUG 2014 RPRF 8 April 2015
Med's Request
09 April 2015
Med's Done....
11 April 2015
Interview........
24 Mrch2015 Abu Dhabi
Passport Req..
1st May 2015
VISA ISSUED...
30 April 2015 - Passport sent - 5th May 2015 - Passport returned 21 May 2015
LANDED..........
Landed 10 Aug 2015
Hi All,

AS you know that the applciation complete page was recently updated
http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/immigrate/skilled/complete-applications.asp

Total received toward the overall cap: 163


I have done some analysis about the new update, not necessary correct...

Assuming the update reflect the the numbers until the 15th of May... so total days are 11 days since the 4th of May

so if we dig into it and take NOC 2147 as an example, currently the update says 20 were completed.

this means we need 15 times 20 to reach the cap which is 300....

so if we multiply 20 days times 15 times over 30 days we will get the results of 10 months.

this means the cap will reach for NOC 2147 in 5.5 Months from 4th of may which will be sometime in September :)


you can apply the same formula to all NOCs to estimate the CAP date...


This is just my point of view and not necessary correct.. but it does make sense to me

S7
 

Go-Canada-Go

Star Member
May 1, 2013
108
4
I appreciate your analysis, but it doesn't work that way, CIC should have received large number of applications during Mid of May. everyday is not the same. so no matter how much we speculate, its only CIC who can tell us, if we were correct. this is actually like playing THE RUSSIAN ROULETTE - (the bullet being the application numbers, the cylinder being the dates). I'll leave the rest for you to imagine more.
 

S7

Hero Member
Jun 10, 2012
218
24
Ottawa, ON
Category........
Visa Office......
London
NOC Code......
2171
Job Offer........
Pre-Assessed..
App. Filed.......
Application sent on 02 MAY 2014 Received at CIO on 08 May 2014 CC Charged on 9 July 2014 PER 19 AUG 2014 RPRF 8 April 2015
Med's Request
09 April 2015
Med's Done....
11 April 2015
Interview........
24 Mrch2015 Abu Dhabi
Passport Req..
1st May 2015
VISA ISSUED...
30 April 2015 - Passport sent - 5th May 2015 - Passport returned 21 May 2015
LANDED..........
Landed 10 Aug 2015
Go-Canada-Go said:
I appreciate your analysis, but it doesn't work that way, CIC should have received large number of applications during Mid of May. everyday is not the same. so no matter how much we speculate, its only CIC who can tell us, if we were correct. this is actually like playing THE RUSSIAN ROULETTE - (the bullet being the application numbers, the cylinder being the dates). I'll leave the rest for you to imagine more.
lool.. good point