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May 2018 AOR - join here

JeMaAnd

Star Member
Mar 2, 2018
99
20
Not for the purpose of verifying points acquired but as a part of the background check.
Thanks.

My spouse asked her employer but they said no one is contacting them about my spouse. Our application is going 5months on the 23rd of October.
 

EE456

Champion Member
Jul 4, 2018
1,095
448
Thanks.

My spouse asked her employer but they said no one is contacting them about my spouse. Our application is going 5months on the 23rd of October.
The longer your application has been processed the less the likelihood of it getting refused. I guess you should be getting your passport request within the next 6 weeks.
 

cansha

VIP Member
Aug 1, 2018
6,676
5,855
Thanks.

My spouse asked her employer but they said no one is contacting them about my spouse. Our application is going 5months on the 23rd of October.
I think cases in which employers are contacted are extremely rare. Do you know your visa office?
You're closer to your PPR. At max one more month may be.
 

JeMaAnd

Star Member
Mar 2, 2018
99
20
The longer your application has been processed the less the likelihood of it getting refused. I guess you should be getting your passport request within the next 6 weeks.
Thanks hoping for that one too. Goodluck and God Bless
 

JeMaAnd

Star Member
Mar 2, 2018
99
20
I think cases in which employers are contacted are extremely rare. Do you know your visa office?
You're closer to your PPR. At max one more month may be.
Hi, we are stucked in IPI since MEP. I have no idea what VO. AOR may 23. Thanks
 

cansha

VIP Member
Aug 1, 2018
6,676
5,855
Not yet. Our representative said she will contact them if passed 6months already. Thanks
Ok .. my personal view is that one should order GCMS notes at 3/4 month mark if they don't receive PPR by then. Given it takes 30 days to get GCMS notes it is little bit late to order after the 6 month mark. But hopefully you will receive your PPR by then.
 

JeMaAnd

Star Member
Mar 2, 2018
99
20
Ok .. my personal view is that one should order GCMS notes at 3/4 month mark if they don't receive PPR by then. Given it takes 30 days to get GCMS notes it is little bit late to order after the 6 month mark. But hopefully you will receive your PPR by then.
Thanks. I hope we all get our PPRs in the soonest time.
 
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cansha

VIP Member
Aug 1, 2018
6,676
5,855
Thanks. I hope we all get our PPRs in the soonest time.
Yeah .. I hope for that everyday but I know in my case I will have to wait till December atleast given my application is at Montreal and they seem to not give PPRs before 5.5 months.
 

rondp21

Full Member
Sep 26, 2018
47
6
Don't worry.
I have also completed 150+ days.
Still in IP1.
Not sure if I will get it wiltin 6 months mark.
Did not order notes.
Looks like Winnipeg VO is very slow.
 

AlexandraO

Hero Member
Jul 8, 2016
426
50
Originally posted in June thread but this thread may also find useful

%age statuses by month as

  • Yes the immitracker data may not be accurate, as not all people enter or update their data
  • Immitracker ignores inactive cases. And yes it does impact %ages. However, I think immitracker is correct in ignoring inactive cases.
  • Having said all of above, I think this data can still be used to see trends which are useful. The %ages may not be accurate but overall movement is definitely indicative of progress
  • And lastly, if you disagree just ignore!




Added two more months to observe trending better
and make sure the trend holds.

Based on the data, here are my observations

The Good
  1. As expected June is showing an upward trend. Lots of movement. As I have said before 4th month after AOR is most productive for PPRs.
The Bad
  1. March is stagnant! Nothing has moved and CIC seems to be missing the 80% mark for sure.
  2. July is stagnant too. I expected some movement in July. Let’s see if it picks up in coming weeks.
The Ugly

THE SLOWDOWN MAY BE REAL!

I think if this data is any indication, CIC may have to revise that 6 month timeline sooner or later unless they really pick up. Why do I say that? Read below a bit carefully

Focus on the two shaded columns .. PPR% at end of August (29-Aug) and PPR% at end of September (28-Sep)

  • At end of August which is almost month 6 for Feb 85% people from Feb and received PPR. This is good as this is what is expected. Rather CIC seems to beat the 80% target. For march at end of August (5th month from AOR) the number is 68%.
  • So you expected March to give 12% more PPRs in one month and meet 80%. BUT March is stuck at 75%. And if I compare it to at same point vs Feb it is 10% slower than Feb.
  • If we compare March Vs April. March at the end of Month 5 was at 68% whereas April at Month 5 is only 61% .. again 7% slower. And April doesn’t seem to move!
  • Comparing April vs May. April was 48% at 4th month mark whereas May was only able to reach 45%.

We will see how this goes with two additional months added to data. BUT it is a clear indication that application processing is slow from March onward.

By end of October we will know if April can even hit 75% like March or falls short. Or if May is able to buck the trend and prove me wrong.

Over and out!
Great analysis, thank you!
But it sad for me as I am from May and it's only 48%
 
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AlexandraO

Hero Member
Jul 8, 2016
426
50
Ordered GCMS notes after waiting for update since 2nd June 2018 (Medical Pass), All Fees paid in advance while applying
AOR 23rd May
Medical Passed 2nd June
Nothing since then. hope to receive the PPR before GCMS.
I thing better to pay FEE when CIC ask, at least they look into your file for fees. other wise they are sitting on on most of file, who have paid fees in advance.
my CPC is Ottawa (the most slow office).
The similar here. AOR 16th of May. I didn't pay in advance but they asked to pay on 2nd of June. I thought it was good sign but no movement from than
 
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