Agree with you on calling this optimistic rather than realistic. Realistically it can be even worse I guess.
My other concern is what's the order in which the processing will progress?
My guess is, it will be based on Biometrics submission date and VO office in which its being processed now.
My other concern will there be a big influx of COPRs that the job market in Canada will be overflown with candidates.
How are they even going to clear the backlog of applications?
Canada on the whole is frustratingly reserved compared to US and Europe in opening its borders.
Interesting observations.
Here are my thoughts on these-
1.Regarding Order:
Current stage (e.g. those are already approved (COVID PACE Group) could start receiving their COPR's/PPRs
AND based on R10 completion date/Biometrics, Nov 2019 will start seeing first signs of traction.
Hopefully those in other stages, should start seeing their applications moving forward.
And as you said, a lot will depend on VO office.
2.Regarding sudden Influx:
There is always going to be difficult climb for new immigrants. The only silver lining could be that with economies opening up, there are new churns in job markets that should keep us interested. But overall agree, the first couple of years is not going to be easy, gotta prepare for the grind..
3. Backlog:
Yes, there will be some backlog, but we need not worry much because:
1. The backlog is primarily just outland, they have been clearing CEC/inland applications at frantic pace. A friend of mine (CEC) got his card within 60 days of AOR. Also they haven't done many draws on FSW.
2. Getting 1M immigrants in these 3 years is one of the top priority items for CA.
ALL - Doesn't matter how much we try to stay (pretend) to be calm, I am sure most of us run these scenarios in our minds. Please chime in.